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qianmo6
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xd975…a205 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
13
lifetime
PnL per $
-16%
historical realized
Win rate
65.8%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$59.5K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 13 resolved trades · -16% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
14
Distinct markets
8
Volume (90d)
$113.2K
avg $8,089 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$51.5K / $61.7K
net direction
Recent trades
last 14 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 04:48 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.989 | $11.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 04:04 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.870 | $1,377 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 03:58 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.990 | $17.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 03:56 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.991 | $9,910 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 06:59 AM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.982 | $5,008 | — (SELL) |
| May 1, 02:06 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.954 | $20.1K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 31, 06:38 PM | 0x19858b84 | SELL NO | 0.999 | $3,996 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 31, 06:27 PM | 0xf963ec4b | SELL NO | 0.999 | $8,006 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 02:02 PM | 0x337e5c84 | SELL NO | 0.996 | $2,785 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 02:02 PM | 0x844c6215 | SELL NO | 0.998 | $2,266 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 28, 10:53 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.484 | $2,499 | — |
| Mar 27, 03:29 PM | 0x306d10d4 | BUY NO | 0.820 | $15.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 27, 01:36 PM | 0x306d10d4 | BUY NO | 0.840 | $9,996 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 24, 12:45 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $3,973 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
8 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | Other | 6 | $67.4K | $-19,187 |
| 0x306d10d4 | — | 2 | $25.0K | +$25.0K |
| 0xf963ec4b | — | 1 | $8,006 | $-8,006 |
| 0x19858b84 | — | 1 | $3,996 | $-3,996 |
| 0x337e5c84 | — | 1 | $2,785 | $-2,785 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Other | 1 | $2,499 | +$2,499 |
| 0x844c6215 | — | 1 | $2,266 | $-2,266 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Other | 1 | $1,377 | $-1,377 |