| Jun 12, 03:13 AM | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.019 | $1,350 | —— |
| Jun 12, 03:06 AM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.201 | $6,016 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 4, 02:22 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.360 | $11.0K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 4, 02:22 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.600 | $11.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 03:34 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $2,287 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 03:33 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.900 | $2,287 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 08:31 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.310 | $2,400 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 26, 08:24 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.824 | $7,296 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 08:24 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.817 | $5,104 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 06:26 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.502 | $2,462 | —— |
| May 23, 06:25 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.670 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 05:38 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.670 | $4,243 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 05:38 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.740 | $4,243 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 05:32 AM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.410 | $10.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 03:49 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $2,160 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 03:49 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $2,160 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 03:47 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.680 | $3,899 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 02:59 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.870 | $3,897 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 06:43 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.730 | $1,009 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 06:40 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.730 | $4,821 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 06:39 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.530 | $4,821 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 06:36 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY NO | 0.903 | $14.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 5, 05:41 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.630 | $1,840 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 5, 05:39 AM | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL NO | 0.790 | $14.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 3, 06:05 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.876 | $2,335 | — (SELL) |
| May 3, 06:05 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $1,044 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 3, 05:55 AM | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? | BUY YES | 0.670 | $1,005 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 23, 03:42 AM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY NO | 0.490 | $12.0K | —— |
| Apr 20, 06:21 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $2,248 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 20, 06:21 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.655 | $2,234 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 20, 06:09 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.699 | $1,733 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 17, 03:30 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.600 | $2,045 | —— |
| Apr 17, 03:27 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.710 | $6,459 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 17, 02:42 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.360 | $1,200 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 17, 02:42 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.746 | $4,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 17, 02:07 AM | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.122 | $1,000 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 13, 02:39 AM | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY NO | 0.621 | $8,656 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 13, 02:19 AM | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY NO | 0.600 | $2,909 | —— |
| Apr 12, 04:07 PM | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL YES | 0.810 | $1,282 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 8, 01:35 AM | 0x4c5701bc | SELL YES | 0.996 | $1,494 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 7, 03:04 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.570 | $4,187 | —— |
| Apr 4, 06:20 AM | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 4, 06:16 AM | US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | BUY YES | 0.721 | $9,005 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 4, 06:07 AM | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $3,800 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 4, 06:00 AM | US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | BUY YES | 0.714 | $10.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 2, 10:27 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.330 | $1,409 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 29, 04:54 PM | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY YES | 0.662 | $1,058 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 28, 06:06 AM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.610 | $2,166 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 28, 06:06 AM | 0x705479cc | SELL NO | 0.896 | $1,841 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 27, 12:13 PM | 0x58714c07 | BUY | 0.710 | $1,233 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 27, 02:16 AM | 0x854f2be2 | SELL | 0.999 | $2,179 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 26, 04:21 PM | 0x854f2be2 | BUY | 0.550 | $1,200 | —— |
| Mar 26, 05:30 AM | 0xebd89832 | BUY NO | 0.592 | $1,800 | —— |