Back to whale feed
DonChon
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xd4da…3175 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
19
lifetime
PnL per $
+77%
historical realized
Win rate
80.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$57.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.
Trades (90d)
67
Distinct markets
47
Volume (90d)
$330.0K
avg $4,925 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$330.0K / $0
net direction
Recent trades
last 67 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 11:58 PM | Ecuador leading at halftime? | BUY YES | 0.670 | $1,612 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 07:53 PM | Germany leading at halftime? | BUY YES | 0.530 | $4,414 | — |
| Jun 20, 07:44 PM | Germany leading at halftime? | BUY YES | 0.520 | $4,600 | — |
| Jun 20, 07:27 PM | Germany leading at halftime? | BUY YES | 0.510 | $10.9K | — |
| Jun 20, 07:07 PM | Germany leading at halftime? | BUY YES | 0.520 | $8,182 | — |
| Jun 20, 06:58 PM | Germany leading at halftime? | BUY YES | 0.520 | $2,729 | — |
| Jun 20, 06:45 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.680 | $27.5K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 10:37 PM | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY YES | 0.470 | $1,469 | — |
| Jun 8, 05:57 PM | Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5 | BUY NO | 0.450 | $1,958 | — |
| Jun 8, 03:26 PM | De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5 | BUY NO | 0.520 | $1,282 | — |
| Apr 28, 03:06 PM | Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres | BUY YES | 0.480 | $1,079 | — |
| Apr 28, 01:36 PM | Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 | BUY YES | 0.460 | $4,909 | — |
| Apr 28, 01:23 PM | Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 | BUY YES | 0.521 | $1,297 | — |
| Apr 28, 12:34 PM | Hawks vs. Knicks | BUY YES | 0.680 | $6,483 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 27, 04:50 PM | Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | BUY YES | 0.800 | $2,691 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 06:10 PM | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5 | BUY YES | 0.440 | $2,260 | — |
| Apr 26, 06:07 PM | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5 | BUY YES | 0.440 | $1,848 | — |
| Apr 26, 06:05 PM | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5 | BUY YES | 0.440 | $2,582 | — |
| Apr 26, 06:00 PM | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5 | BUY YES | 0.440 | $1,090 | — |
| Apr 26, 05:48 PM | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5 | BUY YES | 0.440 | $2,346 | — |
| Apr 26, 05:44 PM | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5 | BUY YES | 0.440 | $2,458 | — |
| Apr 26, 05:38 PM | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5 | BUY YES | 0.440 | $2,267 | — |
| Apr 26, 05:32 PM | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5 | BUY YES | 0.440 | $3,277 | — |
| Apr 26, 05:31 PM | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5 | BUY YES | 0.440 | $3,277 | — |
| Apr 26, 05:27 PM | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5 | BUY YES | 0.440 | $2,449 | — |
| Apr 26, 05:13 PM | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5 | BUY YES | 0.440 | $1,143 | — |
| Apr 26, 05:10 PM | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5 | BUY YES | 0.440 | $2,930 | — |
| Apr 26, 04:54 PM | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5 | BUY YES | 0.440 | $2,930 | — |
| Apr 24, 07:31 PM | Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | BUY YES | 0.490 | $12.3K | — |
| Apr 21, 02:22 PM | Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.440 | $4,884 | — |
| Apr 19, 04:26 PM | 0x26f8bdec | BUY | 0.210 | $7,651 | Conviction tier |
| Apr 19, 04:20 PM | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.430 | $3,407 | — |
| Apr 19, 02:03 PM | 0x26f8bdec | BUY | 0.210 | $3,746 | Conviction tier |
| Apr 17, 10:10 PM | 0x83af3969 | BUY | 0.480 | $4,872 | — |
| Apr 16, 11:21 PM | 0xd30b8499 | BUY | 0.470 | $2,961 | — |
| Apr 16, 02:04 PM | 0x0917c9ee | BUY | 0.510 | $2,349 | — |
| Apr 15, 10:44 PM | 0xdbd81fff | BUY | 0.380 | $1,923 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 15, 09:50 PM | 0xdc977cc5 | BUY | 0.420 | $2,444 | — |
| Apr 14, 02:41 PM | 0x7e871c46 | BUY | 0.440 | $1,786 | — |
| Apr 12, 03:13 PM | 0x3b28a554 | BUY | 0.640 | $3,827 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 01:48 PM | 0xb10980a4 | BUY | 0.580 | $3,999 | — |
| Apr 8, 12:48 PM | 0xaf480339 | BUY | 0.500 | $1,592 | — |
| Apr 6, 10:47 PM | 0x313db9b2 | BUY | 0.480 | $4,867 | — |
| Apr 6, 09:01 PM | 0xf30055a3 | BUY | 0.470 | $2,838 | — |
| Apr 1, 11:34 PM | 0x98c93075 | BUY | 0.360 | $1,458 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 1, 11:34 PM | 0x98c93075 | BUY | 0.360 | $1,188 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 1, 04:23 PM | 0xfb18acd9 | BUY YES | 0.538 | $1,208 | — |
| Apr 1, 03:12 PM | 0x66ded490 | BUY | 0.440 | $4,629 | — |
| Mar 31, 11:51 PM | 0x77772330 | BUY | 0.710 | $1,052 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 31, 02:19 PM | 0xc095eb22 | BUY | 0.380 | $1,771 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 30, 04:48 PM | 0x43ec63bd | BUY | 0.530 | $3,419 | — |
| Mar 26, 02:22 PM | 0xf819e127 | BUY | 0.480 | $9,816 | — |
| Mar 26, 01:46 PM | 0x65cbd09f | BUY | 0.500 | $3,030 | — |
| Mar 25, 09:02 PM | 0x4273b2e5 | BUY YES | 0.550 | $1,319 | — |
| Mar 25, 08:57 PM | 0x4273b2e5 | BUY NO | 0.550 | $3,755 | — |
| Mar 25, 08:56 PM | 0x4273b2e5 | BUY NO | 0.550 | $3,755 | — |
| Mar 25, 08:53 PM | 0x37e55389 | BUY | 0.200 | $4,669 | Conviction tier |
| Mar 25, 02:32 PM | 0xaf9460cd | BUY | 0.490 | $4,949 | — |
| Mar 24, 10:43 PM | 0x3e15bfe9 | BUY | 0.540 | $4,879 | — |
| Mar 24, 07:59 PM | 0xbd4c47f2 | BUY | 0.690 | $22.7K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 24, 07:01 PM | 0x5c47e7b1 | BUY | 0.620 | $16.8K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 24, 03:34 PM | 0xd044d30b | BUY | 0.510 | $1,097 | — |
| Mar 24, 02:38 PM | 0x8d940577 | BUY | 0.610 | $7,869 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 24, 12:49 PM | 0x7361ccaf | BUY | 0.530 | $8,681 | — |
| Mar 23, 09:31 PM | 0x9e5f2ffb | BUY | 0.870 | $42.5K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 04:01 PM | 0x79756274 | BUY | 0.620 | $1,001 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 12:26 PM | 0x249b906d | BUY | 0.560 | $1,110 | — |
Markets active in
47 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9e5f2ffb | — | 1 | $42.5K | +$42.5K |
| San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5 | Other | 13 | $30.9K | +$30.9K |
| Germany leading at halftime? | Other | 5 | $30.8K | +$30.8K |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Other | 1 | $27.5K | +$27.5K |
| 0xbd4c47f2 | — | 1 | $22.7K | +$22.7K |
| 0x5c47e7b1 | — | 1 | $16.8K | +$16.8K |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | Other | 1 | $12.3K | +$12.3K |
| 0x26f8bdec | — | 2 | $11.4K | +$11.4K |
| 0xf819e127 | — | 1 | $9,816 | +$9,816 |
| 0x4273b2e5 | — | 3 | $8,829 | +$8,829 |
| 0x7361ccaf | — | 1 | $8,681 | +$8,681 |
| 0x8d940577 | — | 1 | $7,869 | +$7,869 |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Other | 1 | $6,483 | +$6,483 |
| 0xaf9460cd | — | 1 | $4,949 | +$4,949 |
| Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 | Other | 1 | $4,909 | +$4,909 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals | Other | 1 | $4,884 | +$4,884 |
| 0x3e15bfe9 | — | 1 | $4,879 | +$4,879 |
| 0x83af3969 | — | 1 | $4,872 | +$4,872 |
| 0x313db9b2 | — | 1 | $4,867 | +$4,867 |
| 0x37e55389 | — | 1 | $4,669 | +$4,669 |
| 0x66ded490 | — | 1 | $4,629 | +$4,629 |
| 0xb10980a4 | — | 1 | $3,999 | +$3,999 |
| 0x3b28a554 | — | 1 | $3,827 | +$3,827 |
| 0x43ec63bd | — | 1 | $3,419 | +$3,419 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros | Other | 1 | $3,407 | +$3,407 |
| 0x65cbd09f | — | 1 | $3,030 | +$3,030 |
| 0xd30b8499 | — | 1 | $2,961 | +$2,961 |
| 0xf30055a3 | — | 1 | $2,838 | +$2,838 |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Other | 1 | $2,691 | +$2,691 |
| 0x98c93075 | — | 2 | $2,646 | +$2,646 |
Showing top 30 by volume.