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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xd3e5…2f97 with our methodology badges per row.

0xd3e57cd3091df7b00e8c05a975e61ddfeed02f97·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
13
lifetime
PnL per $
-69%
historical realized
Win rate
30.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$158.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 13 resolved trades · -69% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
44
Distinct markets
8
Volume (90d)
$405.7K
avg $9,221 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$147.7K / $258.0K
net direction

Recent trades

last 44 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Apr 17, 04:05 PMWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?SELL YES0.893$4,467— (SELL)
Apr 17, 04:05 PMTrump out as President by April 30?SELL NO0.995$4,975— (SELL)
Apr 17, 04:05 PMXi Jinping out before 2027?SELL NO0.932$6,463— (SELL)
Apr 17, 04:05 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL NO0.930$9,300— (SELL)
Apr 17, 04:04 PMPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL NO0.888$17.8K— (SELL)
Apr 17, 04:03 PMTrump out as President before 2027?SELL NO0.830$45.6K— (SELL)
Apr 17, 04:03 PMTrump out as President by June 30?SELL NO0.940$59.6K— (SELL)
Apr 17, 04:03 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?SELL NO0.988$39.8K— (SELL)
Apr 17, 04:03 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?SELL NO0.989$54.3K— (SELL)
Apr 17, 11:08 AMTrump out as President by June 30?BUY NO0.950$9,486Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 11:07 AMTrump out as President by June 30?BUY NO0.950$9,486Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 10:51 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY NO0.988$1,061Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 09:44 AMTrump out as President by June 30?BUY NO0.950$4,743Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 04:27 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY NO0.990$21.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 03:17 AMXi Jinping out before 2027?BUY NO0.932$1,702Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 03:17 AMTrump out as President by April 30?BUY NO0.993$4,866Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 12:43 PMWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY YES0.910$4,550Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 04:14 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY NO0.930$9,300Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 01:49 AMTrump out as President before 2027?BUY NO0.840$4,200Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 01:25 PMTrump out as President by June 30?BUY NO0.950$4,743Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 01:22 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY NO0.979$4,559Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 01:22 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL NO0.910$4,550— (SELL)
Apr 15, 04:52 AMTrump out as President by April 30?SELL NO0.992$9,920— (SELL)
Apr 13, 10:03 AMTrump out as President before 2027?BUY NO0.840$4,200Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 09:59 AMTrump out as President before 2027?BUY NO0.840$4,200Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 08:05 AMTrump out as President by April 30?BUY NO0.983$1,032Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 07:02 AMTrump out as President by April 30?BUY NO0.982$6,321Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 06:51 AMTrump out as President by April 30?BUY NO0.982$1,281Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 06:50 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?SELL NO0.981$1,281— (SELL)
Apr 8, 04:37 AMTrump out as President by April 30?BUY NO0.982$6,997Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 02:49 PMTrump out as President before 2027?BUY NO0.840$2,763Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 10:46 AMTrump out as President before 2027?BUY NO0.840$4,200Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 10:34 AMTrump out as President before 2027?BUY NO0.840$4,200Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 02:45 PMPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY NO0.900$6,997Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 01:41 PMPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY NO0.900$5,317Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 03:15 PMTrump out as President before 2027?BUY NO0.850$3,493Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 11:35 AMTrump out as President before 2027?BUY NO0.850$3,189Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 05:01 AMTrump out as President before 2027?BUY NO0.840$1,092Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 03:32 AMTrump out as President before 2027?BUY NO0.840$1,996Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 06:11 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY NO0.840$3,319Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 05:12 PMTrump out as President by June 30?BUY NO0.940$2,068Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 07:58 AMTrump out as President by June 30?BUY NO0.930$2,495Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 02:28 AMTrump out as President by June 30?BUY NO0.920$1,029Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 11:07 AMTrump out as President by June 30?BUY NO0.930$1,057Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

8 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Other6$122.7K$-67,907
Trump out as President by June 30?Politics9$94.8K$-24,540
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics11$79.2K$-12,117
Trump out as President by April 30?Politics7$35.4K+$5,601
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics3$30.1K$-5,439
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Other4$26.5K$-1,231
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics2$9,017+$83
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Other2$8,166$-4,761