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athelstan

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xcfb6…06da with our methodology badges per row.

0xcfb69f94b3764e75228515ad9d169570d5f906da·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
20
lifetime
PnL per $
+119%
historical realized
Win rate
89.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$303.5K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
74
Distinct markets
10
Volume (90d)
$669.6K
avg $9,049 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$669.6K / $0
net direction

Recent trades

last 74 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 13, 06:54 AMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY NO0.420$4,200
Jun 13, 06:54 AMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY NO0.420$8,400
Jun 13, 05:02 AMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?BUY NO0.450$13.1K
Jun 13, 05:02 AMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?BUY NO0.450$21.2K
Jun 13, 04:58 AMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY NO0.420$2,635
Jun 13, 04:57 AMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY NO0.420$16.9K
Jun 13, 04:57 AMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY NO0.420$10.7K
Jun 13, 04:57 AMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY NO0.420$14.4K
Jun 13, 04:40 AMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?BUY NO0.440$10.4K
Jun 13, 04:40 AMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?BUY NO0.440$7,418
Jun 13, 04:40 AMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?BUY NO0.440$14.6K
Jun 13, 04:38 AMWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?BUY YES0.190$18.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 13, 04:28 AMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?BUY NO0.440$22.0K
Jun 13, 04:27 AMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?BUY NO0.440$15.0K
Jun 13, 04:27 AMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?BUY NO0.440$7,046
Jun 12, 09:30 AMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.470$37.6K
Jun 12, 09:29 AMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.470$47.0K
Jun 11, 04:11 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.021$8,400
Jun 11, 04:11 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.021$1,334
Jun 11, 04:11 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.021$7,066
Jun 11, 10:57 AMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.086$4,181Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 10:16 AMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.085$4,027Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 10:15 AMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.085$21.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 10:14 AMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.085$34.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 10, 04:03 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.085$17.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 10, 04:02 PMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.020$6,000
Jun 10, 03:54 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.085$34.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 06:57 PMWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.007$1,134
Jun 9, 06:57 PMWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.007$1,158
Jun 9, 06:06 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.084$25.6KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 06:06 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.084$25.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 05:11 PMWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.007$1,232
Jun 9, 04:43 PMWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.007$1,399
Jun 9, 04:39 PMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.020$4,000
Jun 8, 09:17 PMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.020$4,000
Jun 8, 03:11 PMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.020$4,000
Jun 8, 02:56 PMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.020$4,000
Jun 8, 02:05 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.084$8,400Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 11:25 AMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.084$16.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 10:13 AMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.019$3,800
Jun 8, 08:38 AMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.021$4,200
Jun 8, 08:38 AMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.019$3,800
Jun 8, 08:01 AMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.021$4,200
Jun 8, 08:00 AMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.019$1,900
Jun 8, 07:55 AMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.019$1,900
Jun 8, 07:55 AMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.021$4,200
Jun 8, 07:50 AMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.019$1,900
Jun 8, 07:41 AMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.019$1,900
Jun 7, 05:47 PMWill UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-07?BUY YES0.450$12.3K
Jun 7, 05:24 PMWill UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-07?BUY YES0.440$8,241
Jun 7, 05:23 PMWill UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-07?BUY YES0.430$11.6K
Jun 7, 03:42 PMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.018$3,600
Jun 7, 03:42 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.020$4,000
Jun 7, 03:28 PMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.018$3,600
Jun 7, 03:26 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.020$4,000
Jun 7, 01:19 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.020$4,000
Jun 7, 01:18 PMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.018$7,200
Jun 7, 01:11 PMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.015$3,004
Jun 7, 12:59 PMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.015$3,750
Jun 7, 12:56 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.020$4,000
Jun 7, 12:52 PMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.015$3,000
Jun 7, 12:52 PMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.018$3,600
Jun 7, 12:52 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.020$4,000
Jun 7, 12:49 PMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.015$3,000
Jun 7, 12:48 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.020$4,000
Jun 7, 12:41 PMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.018$3,600
Jun 7, 12:40 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.083$11.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 7, 12:39 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.083$8,300Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 7, 12:17 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.083$8,300Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 7, 11:28 AMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.018$1,800
Jun 7, 11:26 AMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.083$8,300Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 7, 11:24 AMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.018$3,600
Jun 7, 11:21 AMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.018$1,800
Jun 6, 06:36 AMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.018$1,800

Markets active in

10 markets · sorted by volume