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one8tyfive

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xcf6c…7e66 with our methodology badges per row.

0xcf6c5492124794394dd9eac46498a8babbe47e66·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
42
lifetime
PnL per $
-3%
historical realized
Win rate
61.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$273.7K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 42 resolved trades · -3% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
200
capped at 200
Distinct markets
132
Volume (90d)
$2.04M
avg $10.2K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$1.47M / $566.8K
net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 20, 10:20 PMWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?SELL NO0.945$22.9K— (SELL)
Jun 20, 08:24 PMGermany leading at halftime?BUY NO0.670$10.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:17 PMGermany leading at halftime?BUY NO0.620$2,973Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:16 PMGermany leading at halftime?BUY NO0.600$1,718
Jun 20, 08:13 PMGermany leading at halftime?BUY NO0.570$1,612
Jun 20, 08:08 PMGermany leading at halftime?BUY NO0.540$1,359
Jun 13, 07:00 AMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY NO0.420$10.3K
Jun 11, 07:24 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY NO0.150$2,352Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 6, 02:48 PMWill Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?BUY YES0.999$1,837Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 07:18 AMWill Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?SELL YES0.095$1,370— (SELL)
May 30, 07:11 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY NO0.999$5,022Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 04:28 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY NO0.790$3,953Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 04:25 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY NO0.770$17.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 04:16 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY NO0.750$5,354Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 04:14 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY NO0.760$7,065Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 04:11 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY NO0.790$13.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 04:09 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY NO0.779$5,698Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 07:56 PMWill Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY NO0.999$1,736Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 03:46 PMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?BUY NO0.300$9,544Cheap band — no rep
May 23, 02:15 PMWill Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY NO0.997$6,212Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 03:56 PMWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.962$9,436— (SELL)
Apr 28, 01:13 PMMadrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper RuudBUY YES0.420$2,730
Apr 28, 09:43 AMMadrid Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur FilsBUY YES0.850$1,885Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 09:25 PMSpread: Nuggets (-10.5)BUY YES0.540$2,018
Apr 26, 09:06 PMSpurs vs. Trail BlazersBUY YES0.770$8,412Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 08:13 PMSan Diego Padres vs. Arizona DiamondbacksBUY YES0.480$4,429
Apr 26, 06:34 PMMadrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Arthur RinderknechBUY YES0.586$5,787
Apr 25, 07:00 PMPistons vs. MagicBUY YES0.730$3,100Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 04:28 PMHurricanes vs. SenatorsBUY YES0.540$3,010
Apr 25, 03:08 PMMadrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Jasmine PaoliniBUY YES0.700$3,815Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 02:54 PMNuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5BUY YES0.500$5,225
Apr 25, 01:27 PMWill Kayserispor win on 2026-04-25?BUY YES0.400$2,195Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 25, 12:54 PMWill FC Südtirol win on 2026-04-25?BUY NO0.690$4,100Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 12:32 PMMadrid Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Iva JovicBUY YES0.730$5,793Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 10:53 AMMadrid Open: Jaume Munar vs Casper RuudBUY YES0.280$2,817Cheap band — no rep
Apr 25, 10:07 AMMadrid Open: Laura Samson vs Anna BondarBUY YES0.510$4,755
Apr 25, 10:06 AMMadrid Open: Laura Samson vs Anna BondarBUY YES0.530$1,755
Apr 24, 07:04 PMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?BUY NO0.470$12.2K
Apr 22, 06:34 PMWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?BUY NO0.490$24.8K
Apr 22, 05:22 AMKings vs. AvalancheBUY YES0.620$1,206Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 22, 05:22 AMKings vs. AvalancheBUY YES0.630$3,983Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 22, 05:04 AMRockets vs. LakersBUY YES0.180$4,389Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 22, 04:57 AMRockets vs. LakersBUY YES0.680$17.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 09:33 PM76ers vs. CelticsSELL0.880$26.4K— (SELL)
Apr 21, 09:33 PM76ers vs. CelticsSELL YES0.880$26.4K— (SELL)
Apr 21, 09:08 PMKings vs. AvalancheBUY0.710$12.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 09:08 PMKings vs. AvalancheBUY YES0.710$12.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 06:58 PMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?BUY NO0.690$6,539Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 05:23 PMMadrid Open, Qualification: Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina KalininaBUY0.580$4,834
Apr 21, 03:57 PMMadrid Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Venus WilliamsBUY0.940$4,035Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 03:53 PMMadrid Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Venus WilliamsBUY0.910$7,645Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 03:45 PMMadrid Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Venus WilliamsBUY0.940$11.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 11:57 AMDota 2: 1win vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group ABUY0.798$1,031Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 04:47 AM0xa9a9acb4BUY0.270$1,862Cheap band — no rep
Apr 20, 06:09 PM0x2e639f6cBUY0.360$1,274Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 20, 02:22 PM0x03fda59bBUY NO0.550$11.0K
Apr 20, 02:22 PMMadrid Open, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Jaime FariaSELL0.999$9,990— (SELL)
Apr 20, 02:01 PMMadrid Open, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Jaime FariaBUY0.983$9,825Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 10:16 PMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesBUY0.139$1,725Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 19, 10:14 PMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesBUY0.109$1,127Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 19, 09:26 PMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesBUY0.828$2,922Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 09:26 PMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesBUY0.838$16.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 07:26 PM0x29bbaf36SELL0.450$25.7K— (SELL)
Apr 19, 03:57 PMBarcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur FilsSELL0.999$14.2K— (SELL)
Apr 18, 05:58 PM0x2381df68SELL0.490$2,352— (SELL)
Apr 18, 11:47 AMBarcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad MedjedovicSELL0.380$3,397— (SELL)
Apr 18, 11:41 AMBarcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad MedjedovicBUY0.370$10.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
Apr 18, 01:55 AM0x83af3969BUY0.510$10.2K
Apr 17, 02:37 PM0x940f0142SELL YES0.620$3,112— (SELL)
Apr 17, 01:46 PMPorsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco GauffBUY0.660$2,252Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 05:20 PMWashington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBUY0.570$9,182
Apr 16, 05:16 PMOeiras 3: Roman Safiullin vs Luca Van AsscheBUY0.530$2,840
Apr 14, 04:30 PM0x2b0a012eBUY0.220$2,497Cheap band — no rep
Apr 14, 04:28 PM0x2b0a012eBUY0.170$1,227Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 14, 03:04 PM0x99700d8bSELL0.800$6,011— (SELL)
Apr 14, 02:55 PM0x99700d8bBUY0.520$5,125
Apr 14, 02:54 PM0x99700d8bBUY0.520$7,688
Apr 14, 03:11 AM0x36cbfd34BUY0.900$29.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 01:39 AM0x8ae4272aBUY0.780$1,557Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 06:01 PM0x66d6e730BUY0.590$6,815
Apr 13, 09:26 AM0xd3ecf839BUY0.620$3,488Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 01:15 AM0xb1a0c0e3BUY0.630$7,165Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 12:43 AM0x0278fe95SELL0.470$1,798— (SELL)
Apr 12, 01:54 PM0x3b28a554SELL0.370$8,143— (SELL)
Apr 12, 10:52 AM0x3b28a554SELL0.390$8,080— (SELL)
Apr 12, 02:28 AM0x3b28a554SELL0.430$1,385— (SELL)
Apr 11, 01:35 PM0x0b112c9aBUY0.400$1,303Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 11, 10:05 AM0x536de230SELL NO0.410$2,653— (SELL)
Apr 11, 03:48 AM0x22f265fdSELL0.700$1,807— (SELL)
Apr 11, 03:41 AM0x22f265fdBUY0.310$4,372Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 11, 03:19 AM0x0d192797BUY0.400$1,221Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 10, 04:40 AM0xfb4c3d96BUY0.397$1,561Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 10, 03:35 AM0x96067943SELL0.790$9,411— (SELL)
Apr 10, 03:27 AM0x96067943SELL0.760$2,526— (SELL)
Apr 9, 09:06 AMWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY NO0.978$2,056Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 07:14 PM0xe6799933SELL0.480$2,175— (SELL)
Apr 8, 07:06 PM0x04a2b19cBUY NO0.850$8,831Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 06:58 PM0x04a2b19cBUY NO0.830$11.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 06:56 PM0x04a2b19cBUY NO0.830$26.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 05:32 PM0xe6799933SELL0.390$1,469— (SELL)
Apr 8, 06:39 AM0x2796e75aBUY0.997$3,321Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 02:04 AM0x4cbccc3cBUY0.360$1,871Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 7, 02:08 AM0x035d5903BUY0.430$2,113
Apr 7, 12:39 AM0xfee70407BUY YES0.740$9,303Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 12:38 AM0x51c5e5e7BUY NO0.740$86.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 12:37 AM0xfee70407SELL NO0.260$4,207— (SELL)
Apr 7, 12:35 AM0x51c5e5e7BUY NO0.739$11.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 12:34 AM0x51c5e5e7BUY NO0.737$21.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 03:30 AM0xd73929e5BUY0.519$2,315
Apr 6, 12:27 AM0xb8633de4BUY0.530$10.5K
Apr 5, 03:11 PM0x6a190e5dBUY0.540$1,070
Apr 5, 03:10 PM0x6a190e5dBUY0.546$1,346
Apr 5, 01:58 AM0x940f0142SELL YES0.390$3,182— (SELL)
Apr 5, 01:45 AM0x50294abcBUY0.466$1,390
Apr 4, 03:16 AM0x66b04618BUY0.599$4,737
Apr 4, 01:35 AM0xbb074fa7BUY0.999$38.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 3, 09:21 AMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY YES0.848$1,822Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 3, 03:51 AM0x8dcf8d4aBUY0.850$2,511Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 3, 03:16 AM0x9df00692BUY0.999$33.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 3, 03:15 AM0x9df00692BUY0.998$3,886Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 3, 03:06 AM0x9df00692BUY0.997$19.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 3, 01:52 AM0x9df00692BUY0.840$3,674Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 08:07 PMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY NO0.800$8,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 07:51 PM0xa7a2a564BUY0.500$1,947
Apr 2, 01:48 PMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY YES0.730$1,247Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 02:42 AM0x2e7ba296BUY0.380$2,965Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 2, 01:17 AM0xb8dd1257SELL0.999$93.7K— (SELL)
Apr 2, 01:10 AM0xa2e8bc59BUY0.570$1,069
Apr 2, 01:07 AM0xb8dd1257BUY0.999$47.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 01:06 AM0xb7d751a6BUY0.570$13.2K
Apr 2, 12:12 AM0x6d7386cbBUY0.764$1,489Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 04:13 PM0x903332d6BUY NO0.520$11.0K
Apr 1, 04:10 PM0x903332d6BUY NO0.520$5,148
Apr 1, 02:24 PM0x11a3b207BUY0.600$2,964
Apr 1, 02:23 PM0x11a3b207BUY0.590$3,499
Apr 1, 04:12 AMOver $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?SELL YES0.999$181.2K— (SELL)
Apr 1, 02:24 AM0x36d106d3BUY0.820$3,481Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 01:31 AM0xca82a0cfBUY0.830$2,257Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 01:21 AM0xca82a0cfBUY0.840$1,162Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 01:17 AM0xca82a0cfBUY0.620$1,402Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 12:44 AM0x32156857BUY0.700$10.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 11:59 PMOver $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?BUY YES0.999$55.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 11:57 PMOver $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?BUY YES0.776$5,251Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 11:54 PMOver $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?BUY YES0.978$1,939Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 11:43 PMOver $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?BUY YES0.947$1,342Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 11:27 PMOver $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?BUY YES0.949$3,056Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 08:35 PMOver $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?BUY YES0.959$1,486Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 04:12 AM0x26bcc867BUY0.670$3,907Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 04:09 AM0x26bcc867BUY0.690$2,425Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 03:48 AM0xd24bc118BUY0.600$1,611
Mar 31, 03:34 AM0x26bcc867BUY0.180$1,778Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 31, 03:14 AM0x0ebc88f9BUY0.999$35.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 02:04 AM0x0ebc88f9BUY0.940$1,010Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 04:51 AM0xe3b714e9BUY0.720$1,080Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 03:58 AM0xc41ada61BUY0.860$1,720Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 03:56 AM0xc41ada61BUY0.740$1,194Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 03:50 AM0xc41ada61BUY0.780$1,581Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 03:13 AM0xc41ada61BUY0.454$2,694
Mar 30, 02:37 AM0xc41ada61BUY0.210$2,090Cheap band — no rep
Mar 30, 01:54 AM0xb7127680BUY0.309$1,671Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 30, 01:17 AM0xb7127680BUY0.770$1,968Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 01:16 AM0xb7127680BUY0.770$38.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 03:00 PM0x29c49781SELL0.660$4,326— (SELL)
Mar 29, 03:00 PM0x29c49781SELL0.679$4,056— (SELL)
Mar 29, 10:04 AM0x7061a16bBUY0.160$1,664Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 29, 08:45 AM0x9e578239BUY0.480$1,851
Mar 29, 03:57 AM0x8376d714BUY0.650$1,365Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 03:29 AM0xb1088f1aBUY0.920$11.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 01:59 AM0x173c8f56BUY0.590$14.5K
Mar 29, 01:56 AM0x5d029f55BUY0.530$4,772
Mar 29, 01:27 AM0xee5cbbe8BUY0.470$8,318
Mar 28, 09:36 AMOver $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?BUY YES0.999$53.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 04:27 AM0x68120254BUY0.999$24.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 02:32 AM0x2d735c86BUY0.890$8,206Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 02:20 AM0x358e8518BUY0.910$9,052Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 02:05 AM0x5b84fbaeBUY0.999$44.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 01:47 AM0x2453ea84BUY0.999$64.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 11:33 PM0xcdedd446SELL0.450$10.3K— (SELL)
Mar 27, 05:56 PM0x594d9b1fBUY0.500$2,119
Mar 27, 03:56 AM0x0846ea47SELL0.999$50.0K— (SELL)
Mar 27, 03:52 AM0x0846ea47BUY0.998$49.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 02:48 AM0x742cccb8BUY0.590$1,597
Mar 26, 02:26 PMOver $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?BUY YES0.997$8,710Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 02:03 AM0x9b51d021BUY0.480$1,224
Mar 25, 01:15 AM0xbd4c47f2BUY0.690$3,947Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 01:14 AM0x2f10f76dBUY0.780$5,343Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 12:59 AM0x9b51d021BUY0.480$1,996
Mar 24, 04:37 PM0x4cca9956BUY0.840$1,637Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 03:36 AM0x7b55feeeBUY0.999$25.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 02:56 AM0x774b70f3BUY0.700$2,364Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 02:29 AM0x3542af94BUY0.500$20.1K
Mar 24, 01:59 AM0xd9f690b3BUY0.460$1,058
Mar 24, 01:11 AM0x66c48753BUY0.930$6,165Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 12:59 AM0x2442fd43BUY0.495$1,368
Mar 23, 12:47 PM0x774b70f3BUY0.690$1,155Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 08:53 AM0x66c48753BUY0.850$2,365Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 03:46 AM0x261619a0BUY0.996$19.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 03:39 AM0x261619a0SELL0.992$25.3K— (SELL)
Mar 23, 03:33 AM0x261619a0BUY0.983$21.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 03:30 AM0x261619a0BUY0.979$1,027Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

132 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Other6$243.9K$-118,391
0xb8dd12572$141.3K$-46,076
0x51c5e5e73$119.5K+$119.5K
0x0846ea472$99.8K$-50
0x261619a04$67.8K+$17.3K
0x2453ea841$64.6K+$64.6K
0x9df006924$60.7K+$60.7K
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Other1$53.4K+$53.4K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Tech6$53.2K+$53.2K
76ers vs. CelticsOther2$52.8K$-52,800
0x04a2b19c3$46.8K+$46.8K
0x5b84fbae1$44.7K+$44.7K
0xb71276803$42.1K+$42.1K
0xbb074fa71$38.4K+$38.4K
0x0ebc88f92$36.9K+$36.9K
Kings vs. AvalancheOther4$29.8K+$29.8K
0x36cbfd341$29.3K+$29.3K
0x29bbaf361$25.7K$-25,662
0x7b55feee1$25.0K+$25.0K
0x681202541$24.8K+$24.8K
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?Other1$24.8K+$24.8K
Madrid Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Venus WilliamsTech3$23.3K+$23.3K
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?Other1$22.9K$-22,920
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesOther4$21.9K+$21.9K
Rockets vs. LakersOther2$21.8K+$21.8K
0x3542af941$20.1K+$20.1K
Madrid Open, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Jaime FariaTech2$19.8K$-165
0x99700d8b3$18.8K+$6,802
Germany leading at halftime?Other5$17.8K+$17.8K
0x3b28a5543$17.6K$-17,607

Showing top 30 by volume.