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0xcF609D3256f0f37f0595E5Dc64012Fa3a8fEa6f5-1771809916847

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xcf60…a6f5 with our methodology badges per row.

0xcf609d3256f0f37f0595e5dc64012fa3a8fea6f5·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
70
lifetime
PnL per $
+47%
historical realized
Win rate
82.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$332.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
183
Distinct markets
142
Volume (90d)
$568.4K
avg $3,106 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$558.8K / $9,643
net direction

Recent trades

last 183 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 20, 11:41 PMWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.056$1,942Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 10:29 PMWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.060$1,227Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 07:22 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.670$4,020Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:22 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.680$4,080Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 12:46 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.470$23.5K—
Jun 13, 12:46 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.470$47.0K—
Jun 11, 06:31 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.690$44.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 06:04 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$24.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 01:46 AMWill Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY YES0.200$1,104Conviction tier
Jun 5, 12:02 AMWill Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY NO0.875$6,755Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 05:01 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY NO0.310$1,860Killed band — neutral expectation
May 30, 12:59 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY NO0.560$13.4K—
May 22, 08:15 AMWill Team Falcons win CS Asia Championships 2026?BUY YES0.659$2,066Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 07:44 PMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?BUY YES0.800$12.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 06:19 PMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?BUY YES0.770$11.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 06:16 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.590$2,000—
May 10, 05:34 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.600$2,500—
May 10, 04:08 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.600$10.5K—
May 10, 02:11 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.640$15.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 06:38 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?BUY YES0.610$6,710Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 05:31 AMRockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5BUY YES0.547$1,606—
Apr 29, 05:28 AMRaptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5BUY YES0.550$1,782—
Apr 29, 05:28 AMSpread: Cavaliers (-8.5)BUY YES0.520$5,200—
Apr 29, 04:41 AMGame Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)BUY YES0.799$2,198Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 01:24 AMTrail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5BUY YES0.520$1,040—
Apr 29, 01:23 AMTrail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5BUY YES0.520$4,160—
Apr 29, 01:22 AMSpread: Spurs (-11.5)BUY YES0.490$4,900—
Apr 28, 11:48 PM76ers vs. CelticsBUY YES0.140$1,050Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 28, 11:48 PM76ers vs. CelticsBUY YES0.140$1,050Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 28, 09:01 PMLoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BUY YES0.580$1,450—
Apr 28, 05:11 PMLoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsBUY YES0.620$1,550Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 03:41 PMLoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 WinnerBUY YES0.640$1,298Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 01:50 PMTrail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5BUY YES0.470$4,700—
Apr 28, 04:37 AMSpread: Celtics (-11.5)BUY YES0.510$3,266—
Apr 28, 04:28 AMTrail Blazers vs. SpursBUY YES0.840$8,360Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 04:28 AMTrail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5BUY YES0.500$1,101—
Apr 28, 04:26 AMHawks vs. KnicksBUY YES0.690$2,393Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 04:23 AM76ers vs. CelticsBUY YES0.180$3,511Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 28, 12:56 AMPistons vs. MagicBUY YES0.280$1,096Conviction tier
Apr 28, 12:55 AMPistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5BUY YES0.640$1,165Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 03:46 AMLakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5BUY YES0.480$2,706—
Apr 27, 02:16 AMGame Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)BUY YES0.500$1,970—
Apr 27, 12:28 AMValorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaBUY YES0.573$1,037—
Apr 26, 09:40 PMValorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 2 WinnerBUY YES0.660$1,535Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 07:32 PMLoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 2 WinnerBUY YES0.650$1,608Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 06:55 PMGame Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)BUY YES0.550$1,282—
Apr 26, 05:33 PMLoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY YES0.799$3,178Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 05:10 PMGames Total: O/U 2.5BUY YES0.370$2,083Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 26, 05:07 PMLoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY YES0.690$4,443Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 04:26 PMLoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerBUY YES0.710$1,760Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 03:17 PMLoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerBUY YES0.770$1,912Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 03:57 AMCavaliers vs. RaptorsBUY YES0.610$1,482Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 03:56 AMCavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5BUY YES0.520$1,478—
Apr 26, 03:55 AMLakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5BUY YES0.530$1,183—
Apr 26, 03:55 AMCeltics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5BUY YES0.500$1,034—
Apr 26, 03:47 AMSpurs vs. Trail BlazersBUY YES0.670$2,322Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 03:45 AMValorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaBUY YES0.776$2,235Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 03:39 AMValorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group OmegaBUY YES0.620$1,532Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 12:42 AMNuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5BUY YES0.610$1,206Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 11:10 PMValorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerBUY YES0.791$1,242Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 11:04 PMValorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerBUY YES0.549$1,726—
Apr 25, 10:46 PMValorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group OmegaBUY YES0.390$1,914Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 25, 10:13 PMKnicks vs. HawksBUY YES0.440$1,229—
Apr 25, 10:06 PMLoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonBUY YES0.840$3,344Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 07:48 PMThunder vs. SunsBUY YES0.760$3,395Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 06:26 PMGame Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)BUY YES0.690$2,119Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 04:58 PMLoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY YES0.595$1,235—
Apr 25, 05:50 AMLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBUY YES0.650$1,484Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 04:27 AMSpurs vs. Trail BlazersBUY YES0.780$4,649Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 04:26 AMSpurs vs. Trail BlazersSELL YES0.220$1,638— (SELL)
Apr 25, 04:17 AMSpurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5BUY YES0.820$2,984Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 03:58 AMGame Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)BUY YES0.680$1,515Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 02:32 AMSpurs vs. Trail BlazersBUY YES0.530$1,306—
Apr 25, 02:04 AMLakers vs. RocketsBUY YES0.780$1,119Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 12:24 AMValorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD - Map 2 WinnerBUY YES0.808$1,243Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 22, 05:55 AMGame Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)BUY YES0.640$1,013Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 22, 03:05 AMSpread: Rockets (-5.5)BUY0.490$1,448—
Apr 22, 01:13 AM76ers vs. CelticsBUY0.500$1,478—
Apr 22, 12:08 AMTrail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5BUY0.490$1,086—
Apr 21, 10:02 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?BUY NO0.680$3,060Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 09:21 PMLoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.733$1,488Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 10:55 PM0x854efe64BUY0.520$1,281—
Apr 19, 11:37 PM0x772c02c9BUY0.280$1,054Conviction tier
Apr 19, 11:24 PM0xe301e0beBUY0.428$1,229—
Apr 19, 10:13 PM0x02a441b0BUY0.712$1,239Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 09:51 PM0xa62bbc4dBUY0.600$2,490—
Apr 19, 09:19 PM0x54b0cd34BUY0.768$1,490Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 09:08 PM0xef63f941BUY0.680$1,726Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 08:21 PM0x07772d3eBUY0.620$1,025Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 07:36 PM0x79a6df02BUY0.820$2,487Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 07:35 PM0x79a6df02BUY0.815$2,486Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 06:02 PM0xce86fa7bBUY0.700$2,329Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 05:23 PM0x0233cfecBUY0.744$3,473Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 05:21 PM0xb30f87adBUY0.541$2,466—
Apr 19, 05:10 PM0xda16b9edBUY0.777$1,242Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 04:59 PM0x9722580bBUY0.730$3,968Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 06:14 AM0x8454a0a7BUY0.635$1,236Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 01:43 AM0x620f2c52BUY0.660$1,980Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 11:31 PM0x356cd3b8SELL0.594$1,247— (SELL)
Apr 18, 11:20 PM0x356cd3b8BUY0.708$1,487Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 07:03 PM0xc64d0b5eBUY0.849$1,244Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 04:30 PM0x93a025dcBUY0.790$1,491Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 04:11 PM0xb476aee7BUY0.819$1,094Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 09:53 PM0x14554126BUY0.810$1,243Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 09:06 PM0x9fb457edBUY0.818$1,243Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 04:51 AMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?BUY NO0.310$2,273Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 13, 04:31 AMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?BUY NO0.600$1,440—
Apr 13, 04:13 AM0x9e95e411BUY0.570$1,294—
Apr 13, 04:09 AM0xab0323feBUY0.490$1,004—
Apr 13, 02:01 AM0xa1b09887BUY0.600$1,063—
Apr 12, 10:43 PM0xb42ab58eBUY0.865$2,490Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 10:40 PM0xb42ab58eBUY0.827$1,244Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 10:15 PM0xb42ab58eBUY0.738$3,472Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 08:35 PM0x55fd835cBUY0.841$3,981Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 06:43 PM0x2c88ce5fBUY0.880$5,978Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 06:15 PM0x2c88ce5fBUY0.790$3,501Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 05:52 PM0x58fa7ec9BUY0.780$3,576Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 04:56 PM0xe1034cf5SELL0.710$2,516— (SELL)
Apr 12, 04:18 PM0x1e5bebbaBUY0.770$1,490Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 04:05 PM0xe1034cf5BUY0.550$1,233—
Apr 12, 04:04 PM0xe1034cf5SELL0.436$1,815— (SELL)
Apr 12, 04:04 PM0x1e5bebbaBUY0.710$1,487Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 03:38 PM0xe1034cf5BUY0.470$1,476—
Apr 12, 03:19 PM0xdb17a33bBUY0.600$1,235—
Apr 12, 02:58 PM0x3e83e356BUY0.766$3,475Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 03:43 AM0xbd9bce83BUY0.840$5,474Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 03:42 AM0x1eecab0bBUY0.671$1,089Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 03:38 AM0x80ac6d4aBUY0.600$1,235—
Apr 12, 03:37 AM0x2025e807BUY0.580$1,333—
Apr 12, 02:28 AM0xf0496676BUY0.610$1,021Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 12:52 AM0xc59af936BUY0.640$1,051Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 12:46 AM0xc59af936BUY0.640$1,237Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 12:40 AM0xc4763de2BUY0.820$3,949Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 12:40 AM0xf0496676BUY0.760$2,780Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 12:27 AM0xf0496676BUY0.700$1,505Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 11:44 PM0x72a93cb3BUY0.760$1,737Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 11:20 PM0x72a93cb3BUY0.790$4,969Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 11:19 PM0x51b9b3e0BUY0.700$1,487Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 06:09 PM0x4f4822fcBUY0.701$1,239Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 05:25 PM0xdd0cad5cBUY0.670$1,980Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 05:23 PM0x65b25358BUY0.750$2,978Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 05:02 PM0x65b25358BUY0.750$1,241Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 02:20 PM0x84f00093BUY0.728$1,190Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 04:07 AM0xbbc4f056BUY0.670$1,089Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 04:05 AM0x5068a268BUY0.630$1,483Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 03:57 AM0xb84cefddBUY0.816$1,851Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 12:53 AM0x48a74c01BUY0.780$1,242Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 12:36 AM0xc4ebb15eBUY0.730$1,488Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 03:47 PM0x88335e4cBUY0.798$1,242Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 03:36 PM0x88335e4cBUY0.700$2,477Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 01:08 PM0x53d08e50BUY0.710$1,239Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 12:44 AMWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY NO0.715$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 10:50 PMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?BUY NO0.734$1,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 12:41 AMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?BUY NO0.262$1,250Conviction tier
Apr 8, 12:04 AMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?BUY NO0.617$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 12:03 AMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?BUY NO0.340$1,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 8, 12:02 AM0x5c2e6aefBUY NO0.372$1,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 7, 12:04 AM0xb0895d2eBUY0.490$1,004—
Apr 7, 12:02 AM0xd75d10ecBUY0.540$1,118—
Apr 6, 04:54 AM0xf5d928f7BUY0.640$1,484Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 04:53 AM0xd9b7f7aeBUY0.710$1,487Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 04:36 AM0x73ade848BUY0.607$1,481Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 04:35 AM0x73ade848SELL0.367$2,427— (SELL)
Apr 6, 04:35 AM0x73ade848BUY0.653$2,969Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 04:26 AM0x73ade848BUY0.952$4,993Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 01:57 AM0xcc196612BUY0.970$2,995Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 01:45 AM0xcc196612BUY0.833$1,492Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 01:44 AM0xcc196612BUY0.829$1,492Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 01:36 AM0xcc196612BUY0.868$2,988Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 11:36 PM0xfbbd6e26BUY0.673$1,250Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 11:35 PM0x2c60aa4eBUY0.560$2,500—
Apr 5, 10:43 PM0xdbaecaddBUY0.500$1,000—
Mar 29, 06:15 PM0x31c9cc1bBUY0.683$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 06:09 PM0xeb5a0dd0BUY0.853$1,157Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 06:09 PM0x045cddd7BUY0.810$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 04:36 PM0xa49a1144BUY0.600$1,700—
Mar 28, 09:03 PM0xafcaee11BUY0.464$1,500—
Mar 28, 08:51 PM0xafcaee11BUY0.667$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 08:02 PM0x684f23c0BUY0.699$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 07:12 PM0xd68a4a78BUY0.620$1,250Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 06:12 PM0xd68a4a78BUY0.870$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 03:21 PM0x46853edeBUY0.949$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 02:24 PM0x46853edeBUY0.655$1,250Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

142 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Other2$70.5K+$70.5K
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Other2$69.3K+$69.3K
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Other2$15.3K+$15.3K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?Other1$15.0K+$15.0K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?Other3$15.0K+$15.0K
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?Other1$12.0K+$12.0K
0x73ade848—4$11.9K+$7,017
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?Other1$11.6K+$11.6K
0x2c88ce5f—2$9,480+$9,480
0xcc196612—4$8,967+$8,967
Trail Blazers vs. SpursTech1$8,360+$8,360
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Other2$8,100+$8,100
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonOther2$7,622+$7,622
Spurs vs. Trail BlazersTech3$7,593+$4,318
0xb42ab58e—3$7,206+$7,206
0xe1034cf5—4$7,041$-1,622
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?Other1$6,755+$6,755
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Other1$6,710+$6,710
0x72a93cb3—2$6,706+$6,706
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Tech2$5,801+$5,801
76ers vs. CelticsOther3$5,611+$5,611
0xbd9bce83—1$5,474+$5,474
0xf0496676—3$5,306+$5,306
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Other1$5,200+$5,200
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Tech2$5,200+$5,200
0x79a6df02—2$4,973+$4,973
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Other1$4,900+$4,900
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Other2$4,500+$4,500
0xd68a4a78—2$4,250+$4,250
0x46853ede—2$4,250+$4,250

Showing top 30 by volume.