| Jun 13, 12:50 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.995 | $24.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 12:50 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.995 | $49.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 04:45 PM | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.930 | $4,185 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 04:39 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | SELL YES | 0.991 | $1,339 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 04:39 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | SELL YES | 0.992 | $2,024 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 11:30 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.810 | $1,901 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 11:27 PM | Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? | SELL NO | 0.991 | $6,937 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 11:12 PM | Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | SELL NO | 0.992 | $6,805 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 11:12 PM | Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $1,094 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 11:09 PM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.888 | $1,288 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 11:04 PM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.881 | $1,284 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 07:17 PM | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.820 | $5,566 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 05:05 PM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $24.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 05:04 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | SELL YES | 0.992 | $24.2K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 04:50 PM | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.830 | $2,671 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 09:43 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.983 | $2,145 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 09:31 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.978 | $1,260 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 01:39 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.972 | $2,916 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 01:29 PM | Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary? | SELL NO | 0.992 | $3,828 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 01:06 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.986 | $15.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 01:05 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.969 | $3,626 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 08:34 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.982 | $4,910 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 07:35 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.982 | $9,820 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 07:31 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.982 | $2,946 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 07:20 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.937 | $1,578 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 07:19 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.982 | $4,910 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 07:17 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.982 | $2,946 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 07:17 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.940 | $1,673 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 07:16 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.940 | $2,203 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 07:09 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.982 | $2,946 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 07:09 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.938 | $1,354 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 06:58 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.925 | $1,191 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 06:25 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.940 | $2,725 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 06:16 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.982 | $9,820 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 03:29 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.978 | $1,964 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 03:29 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.983 | $1,966 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 03:26 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.978 | $13.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 03:20 AM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.976 | $2,378 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 03:19 AM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.975 | $1,460 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 12:26 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $96.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 12:14 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.981 | $51.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 12:14 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.982 | $43.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 01:02 AM | Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY NO | 0.966 | $5,076 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 01:01 AM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.967 | $7,026 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 09:16 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.960 | $2,433 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 09:13 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.957 | $1,322 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 09:09 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.956 | $1,070 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 09:01 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.960 | $1,101 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 08:59 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.950 | $1,351 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 08:57 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.946 | $1,728 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 08:57 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.943 | $3,427 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 08:22 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2? | SELL YES | 0.985 | $1,442 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 08:21 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2? | SELL YES | 0.914 | $3,784 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 07:56 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3? | SELL YES | 0.964 | $1,258 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 07:55 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3? | SELL YES | 0.970 | $1,329 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 07:55 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3? | SELL YES | 0.802 | $2,142 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 05:24 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2? | SELL YES | 0.893 | $1,518 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 05:23 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2? | SELL YES | 0.896 | $1,872 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 05:20 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4? | SELL YES | 0.740 | $3,712 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 05:20 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4? | SELL YES | 0.750 | $3,764 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 05:19 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? | SELL YES | 0.720 | $3,615 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 05:19 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? | SELL YES | 0.710 | $3,572 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 05:18 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 6? | SELL YES | 0.700 | $3,515 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 05:18 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7? | SELL YES | 0.845 | $1,944 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 05:17 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7? | SELL YES | 0.690 | $1,449 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 05:02 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $137.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 02:48 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.360 | $2,000 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 02:47 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.354 | $3,479 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 02:45 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.342 | $4,004 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 02:44 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.343 | $1,329 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 02:43 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.343 | $2,200 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 02:40 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.350 | $4,205 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 02:37 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.353 | $1,792 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 02:36 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.355 | $1,521 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 02:32 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.368 | $1,977 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 02:31 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.358 | $2,151 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 02:29 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on June 1? | SELL NO | 0.365 | $1,471 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 02:17 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.340 | $3,070 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 02:15 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.319 | $1,077 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 01:14 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.296 | $1,780 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 1, 01:14 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.294 | $1,698 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 1, 12:55 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.291 | $2,912 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 1, 12:03 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3? | BUY YES | 0.897 | $1,104 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 11:59 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on June 1? | BUY NO | 0.826 | $3,333 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 11:51 AM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4? | BUY YES | 0.900 | $5,184 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 11:50 AM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? | BUY YES | 0.870 | $4,442 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 11:49 AM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2? | BUY YES | 0.969 | $1,610 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 02:59 AM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2? | BUY YES | 0.981 | $3,026 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 06:04 PM | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | SELL YES | 0.996 | $13.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 05:40 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6? | BUY YES | 0.967 | $5,028 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 05:36 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1? | BUY YES | 0.987 | $5,063 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 01:02 PM | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | BUY YES | 0.932 | $2,018 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 01:02 PM | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | BUY YES | 0.929 | $2,473 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 12:56 PM | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | BUY YES | 0.925 | $2,348 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 12:48 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? | BUY YES | 0.920 | $1,325 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 11:25 AM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY NO | 0.958 | $5,773 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 03:28 PM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY NO | 0.955 | $4,775 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 03:16 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | SELL NO | 0.932 | $13.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 03:16 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $18.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 02:31 PM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY NO | 0.953 | $11.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 12:08 PM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY NO | 0.952 | $8,230 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 02:03 AM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY NO | 0.951 | $4,755 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 03:34 PM | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.991 | $10.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 02:20 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.330 | $2,754 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 28, 01:58 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.530 | $1,583 | —— |
| May 28, 12:36 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | BUY NO | 0.839 | $3,679 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 01:27 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May? | BUY NO | 0.588 | $1,883 | —— |
| May 27, 09:47 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | BUY NO | 0.902 | $4,723 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 07:42 PM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY NO | 0.948 | $4,686 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 02:05 PM | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.288 | $1,893 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| May 27, 11:20 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.974 | $16.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 11:20 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.974 | $1,823 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 11:20 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.974 | $4,016 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 11:47 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.952 | $10.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 11:47 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.953 | $2,931 | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 07:01 PM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY NO | 0.925 | $2,668 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 12:57 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $12.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 06:14 PM | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $9,300 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 06:13 PM | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $9,300 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 01:44 PM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $4,687 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 01:44 PM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL NO | 0.960 | $9,700 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 01:44 PM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL NO | 0.949 | $5,224 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 01:43 PM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL NO | 0.954 | $2,867 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 01:42 PM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL NO | 0.952 | $4,580 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 01:42 PM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL NO | 0.951 | $2,927 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 01:41 PM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL NO | 0.951 | $21.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 01:41 PM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL NO | 0.951 | $3,681 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 01:41 PM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL NO | 0.952 | $18.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 01:41 PM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL NO | 0.952 | $2,544 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 01:41 PM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL NO | 0.951 | $2,197 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 11:52 AM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $2,363 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 11:51 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.980 | $29.4K | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 11:51 AM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $19.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 11:50 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.980 | $18.4K | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 11:50 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.980 | $1,226 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 10:52 PM | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.870 | $6,090 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 01:28 AM | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $9,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 12:55 PM | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.250 | $2,500 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| May 15, 12:44 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.242 | $3,193 | — (SELL) |
| May 15, 12:14 PM | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.760 | $3,800 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 01:07 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.910 | $2,771 | — (SELL) |
| May 14, 10:41 AM | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $9,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 08:20 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.850 | $1,158 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 02:10 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.720 | $2,662 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 02:07 PM | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.936 | $18.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 06:55 PM | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.640 | $9,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 03:36 PM | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.894 | $4,469 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 03:34 PM | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.894 | $8,940 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 12:59 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $10.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 12:59 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.982 | $19.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 05:59 PM | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $1,650 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 02:38 PM | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.907 | $18.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 01:52 PM | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.948 | $2,478 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 12:29 PM | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.947 | $2,333 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 12:29 PM | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.945 | $1,002 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 12:25 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.969 | $13.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 12:25 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.969 | $5,449 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 12:24 PM | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.946 | $4,283 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 12:22 PM | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.944 | $1,140 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 12:22 PM | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.311 | $1,247 | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 12:22 PM | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.320 | $1,262 | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 12:21 PM | 0xa8e8cdf6 | SELL YES | 0.630 | $4,751 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 08:01 AM | 0xa8e8cdf6 | SELL YES | 0.630 | $2,793 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 08:01 AM | 0xa8e8cdf6 | SELL YES | 0.640 | $1,569 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 08:03 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.974 | $12.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 07:23 PM | 0xa8e8cdf6 | SELL YES | 0.640 | $2,426 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 07:23 PM | 0xa8e8cdf6 | SELL YES | 0.650 | $2,927 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 07:50 AM | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY NO | 0.790 | $1,632 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 06:15 AM | 0xa8e8cdf6 | SELL YES | 0.670 | $1,466 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 07:37 PM | 0xa8e8cdf6 | SELL YES | 0.700 | $1,267 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 07:37 PM | 0xa8e8cdf6 | SELL YES | 0.710 | $1,375 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 03:50 PM | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.907 | $7,358 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 03:08 PM | 0xa8e8cdf6 | SELL YES | 0.730 | $1,097 | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 05:02 AM | Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | SELL NO | 0.110 | $1,450 | — (SELL) |
| May 3, 10:59 AM | Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.973 | $2,062 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 3, 09:17 AM | 0xa8e8cdf6 | BUY YES | 0.940 | $4,700 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 3, 06:23 AM | Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $2,123 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 06:11 PM | Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY YES | 0.860 | $3,268 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 08:56 AM | Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY YES | 0.880 | $1,760 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 08:15 AM | Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY NO | 0.935 | $2,046 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 08:15 AM | Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY NO | 0.932 | $4,041 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 08:15 AM | Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY NO | 0.931 | $3,473 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 08:14 AM | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY YES | 0.996 | $25.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 10:42 AM | Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $1,462 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 10:42 AM | Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY NO | 0.928 | $3,680 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 10:42 AM | Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY NO | 0.927 | $1,274 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 30, 05:18 PM | Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY NO | 0.932 | $1,071 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 07:36 PM | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY YES | 0.994 | $40.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 07:06 PM | Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | SELL YES | 0.671 | $2,743 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 04:53 PM | Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $1,659 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 07:33 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.963 | $19.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 04:21 PM | Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $12.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 04:21 PM | Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY NO | 0.918 | $10.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 03:15 PM | Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY NO | 0.925 | $1,388 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 01:54 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,994 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 01:23 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,994 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 01:19 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $9,970 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 27, 04:25 PM | Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $2,028 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 23, 05:55 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $29.8K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 21, 03:04 PM | Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.935 | $1,870 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |