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EliteAthleteMentality
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xcd66…664f with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
8
lifetime
PnL per $
-37%
historical realized
Win rate
51.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$71.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 8 resolved trades · -37% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
112
Distinct markets
82
Volume (90d)
$646.7K
avg $5,774 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$482.5K / $164.3K
net direction
Recent trades
last 112 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 09:38 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY NO | 0.620 | $8,028 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 09:06 PM | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | BUY NO | 0.600 | $10.3K | — |
| Jun 20, 08:41 PM | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | BUY NO | 0.640 | $1,485 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 01:46 AM | Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | BUY YES | 0.820 | $5,576 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 01:45 AM | Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | BUY YES | 0.820 | $44.4K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 01:17 AM | 76ers vs. Celtics | SELL YES | 0.210 | $4,200 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 01:39 AM | Thunder vs. Suns | BUY YES | 0.820 | $9,787 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 01:36 AM | Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | SELL YES | 0.330 | $2,006 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 24, 11:13 PM | Celtics vs. 76ers | BUY YES | 0.793 | $7,670 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 23, 09:40 PM | Cavaliers vs. Raptors | BUY YES | 0.580 | $10.3K | — |
| Apr 22, 10:29 PM | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $19.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 22, 04:56 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-22? | BUY YES | 0.850 | $13.4K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 22, 05:04 AM | Rockets vs. Lakers | SELL YES | 0.180 | $3,953 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 17, 10:47 PM | 0x06b9ca38 | SELL | 0.999 | $3,407 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 16, 01:57 AM | 0x92131350 | SELL | 0.140 | $1,826 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 15, 11:32 PM | 0x92131350 | BUY | 0.500 | $4,920 | — |
| Apr 14, 06:13 PM | 0xfc3a576c | SELL | 0.999 | $2,498 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 04:37 PM | 0xfc3a576c | SELL | 0.999 | $2,997 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 13, 06:19 PM | 0x50e31c04 | BUY | 0.780 | $2,190 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 13, 06:01 PM | 0x367f9d70 | BUY | 0.820 | $4,929 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 13, 03:28 PM | 0xa7f35603 | BUY | 0.590 | $2,931 | — |
| Apr 13, 12:59 PM | 0xc7b48ac0 | BUY | 0.840 | $10.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 10:08 PM | 0x57f482ed | BUY | 0.820 | $1,876 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 10:08 PM | 0x57f482ed | BUY | 0.820 | $3,870 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 10:08 PM | 0x57f482ed | BUY | 0.820 | $8,156 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 10:00 PM | 1891032 | BUY | 0.810 | $1,445 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 09:59 PM | 1891032 | BUY | 0.810 | $7,403 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 03:41 AM | 0x8a6b6711 | BUY | 0.520 | $4,928 | — |
| Apr 11, 12:00 PM | 0x9d5a0a78 | BUY | 0.670 | $5,042 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 11, 02:24 AM | 0x0d192797 | BUY | 0.560 | $3,702 | — |
| Apr 10, 11:07 PM | 0x65ea3371 | BUY | 0.770 | $14.5K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 10, 12:01 AM | 0xbedba197 | BUY | 0.680 | $4,997 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 9, 03:42 PM | 0x72004bf5 | SELL | 0.470 | $3,055 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 9, 02:38 PM | 0x4a2a25c8 | BUY | 0.690 | $1,025 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 9, 01:44 PM | 0x1b26b2a8 | BUY | 0.730 | $2,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 9, 10:33 AM | 0xac36050b | BUY | 0.860 | $6,162 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 9, 10:25 AM | 0x469674b0 | BUY | 0.570 | $3,010 | — |
| Apr 8, 02:38 AM | 0x07c0b603 | BUY | 0.950 | $9,486 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 8, 02:37 AM | 0x07c0b603 | BUY | 0.950 | $19.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 08:56 AM | 0xd02d3c83 | BUY | 0.630 | $2,230 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 07:50 AM | 0xea0c07ec | BUY | 0.640 | $1,594 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 07:02 AM | 0x37bc6a0c | BUY | 0.690 | $2,502 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 01:29 AM | 0x22259c08 | SELL | 0.993 | $6,960 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 7, 12:11 AM | 0x5d62c7c6 | BUY | 0.890 | $8,676 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 6, 11:02 PM | 0x22259c08 | BUY | 0.500 | $3,505 | — |
| Apr 6, 08:56 AM | 0xee064081 | SELL | 0.640 | $1,972 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 6, 08:53 AM | 0xee064081 | SELL | 0.650 | $2,368 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 6, 06:54 AM | 0xee064081 | BUY | 0.700 | $4,714 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 6, 02:00 AM | 0x73ade848 | BUY | 0.620 | $2,997 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 11:05 PM | 0xcc196612 | BUY | 0.490 | $1,354 | — |
| Apr 5, 10:58 PM | 0x210fa419 | BUY | 0.490 | $1,351 | — |
| Apr 5, 07:42 PM | 0x4c0348df | BUY | 0.790 | $2,981 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 07:32 PM | 0xd5eb39f8 | BUY | 0.470 | $1,709 | — |
| Apr 5, 11:59 AM | 0x48ebfade | BUY | 0.730 | $1,517 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 11:47 AM | 0x2162619c | BUY | 0.850 | $1,535 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 11:44 AM | 0x2162619c | BUY | 0.840 | $2,513 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 11:43 AM | 0x2162619c | BUY | 0.840 | $8,394 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 11:43 AM | 0x2162619c | BUY | 0.830 | $18.3K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 08:42 AM | 0x3d1972af | SELL | 0.897 | $3,010 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 5, 08:04 AM | 0x3d1972af | BUY | 0.820 | $2,202 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 01:19 AM | 0x05eec7f9 | BUY | 0.500 | $1,476 | — |
| Apr 5, 01:19 AM | 0x836b6b41 | SELL | 0.999 | $1,499 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 4, 10:42 PM | 0x836b6b41 | BUY | 0.620 | $19.6K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 4, 07:12 PM | 0x2a453981 | BUY | 0.510 | $1,005 | — |
| Apr 4, 07:07 PM | 0x707f4f2f | BUY | 0.470 | $1,210 | — |
| Apr 4, 05:09 AM | 0x22fc36ff | BUY | 0.800 | $16.9K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 4, 12:04 AM | 0xa2652b60 | BUY | 0.510 | $1,005 | — |
| Apr 3, 10:50 PM | 0x295722ba | BUY | 0.520 | $1,676 | — |
| Apr 3, 02:02 AM | 0xf8f1cb66 | BUY | 0.680 | $4,243 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 3, 01:43 AM | 1742598 | SELL | 0.999 | $12.3K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 2, 09:54 PM | 0x833cc6fa | BUY | 0.650 | $8,011 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 2, 05:18 PM | 0xa9e82e0d | BUY | 0.630 | $1,352 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 1, 11:04 PM | 0x2d59e655 | BUY | 0.910 | $4,991 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 1, 05:21 PM | 0xa0e7f905 | BUY | 0.570 | $1,257 | — |
| Apr 1, 03:19 PM | 0x9a215963 | BUY | 0.570 | $1,624 | — |
| Apr 1, 05:44 AM | 0xe2867614 | SELL | 0.999 | $43.1K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 1, 02:09 AM | 0xe2867614 | BUY | 0.570 | $10.1K | — |
| Apr 1, 02:09 AM | 0xe2867614 | BUY | 0.570 | $14.0K | — |
| Mar 31, 11:03 PM | 0x32156857 | BUY | 0.460 | $9,799 | — |
| Mar 31, 09:27 PM | 0x32156857 | BUY | 0.470 | $2,498 | — |
| Mar 31, 08:19 PM | 0xe9cbdb4b | BUY | 0.700 | $2,954 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 31, 08:15 PM | 0xe9cbdb4b | BUY | 0.695 | $4,212 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 31, 01:44 AM | 0x3ac06469 | BUY | 0.709 | $5,897 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 30, 10:56 PM | 0x77921b61 | BUY | 0.550 | $2,680 | — |
| Mar 30, 10:36 PM | 0x43ec63bd | BUY | 0.560 | $2,382 | — |
| Mar 30, 01:45 PM | 0x4742ffcd | BUY | 0.690 | $1,035 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 29, 11:47 PM | 0xb7127680 | BUY | 0.804 | $4,012 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 29, 11:44 PM | 0xb7127680 | BUY | 0.760 | $3,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 29, 11:24 PM | 0xba1c98b1 | BUY | 0.872 | $7,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 29, 10:00 AM | 0xf484d40f | BUY | 0.670 | $10.9K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 28, 07:02 PM | 0xd68a4a78 | SELL | 0.470 | $9,429 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 28, 04:31 PM | 0xd68a4a78 | BUY | 0.430 | $9,421 | — |
| Mar 28, 04:24 PM | 0xbb24eefb | SELL | 0.999 | $9,421 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 28, 01:56 PM | 0xbb24eefb | BUY | 0.600 | $5,658 | — |
| Mar 28, 01:31 AM | 0x2453ea84 | SELL | 0.939 | $5,658 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 27, 10:39 PM | 0x2453ea84 | BUY | 0.670 | $4,038 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 27, 04:27 PM | 0xf5038731 | BUY | 0.380 | $2,484 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 27, 03:00 PM | 0xb47c3144 | BUY | 0.598 | $3,815 | — |
| Mar 27, 02:52 PM | 0x73efff05 | SELL | 0.999 | $3,815 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 27, 01:57 PM | 0x73efff05 | BUY | 0.540 | $2,062 | — |
| Mar 27, 02:32 AM | 0x742cccb8 | SELL | 0.438 | $1,972 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 27, 01:58 AM | 0x742cccb8 | BUY | 0.440 | $1,989 | — |
| Mar 27, 01:57 AM | 0x742cccb8 | SELL | 0.430 | $1,997 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 27, 01:51 AM | 0x742cccb8 | BUY | 0.440 | $2,052 | — |
| Mar 27, 01:18 AM | 0xf1626aef | SELL | 0.999 | $3,772 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 26, 09:19 PM | 0x436f645f | SELL | 0.999 | $2,379 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 26, 02:47 PM | 0xbe6a1e73 | SELL | 0.950 | $2,380 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 25, 08:55 PM | 0xf5038731 | SELL | 0.370 | $2,710 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 24, 08:20 AM | 0xf5038731 | BUY | 0.400 | $2,110 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 23, 05:45 PM | 0x48052326 | BUY | 0.830 | $3,432 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 05:19 PM | 0x6da6c9ee | SELL | 0.999 | $3,432 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 23, 12:57 PM | 0xb204ad74 | SELL | 0.999 | $2,171 | — (SELL) |
Markets active in
82 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe2867614 | — | 3 | $67.3K | $-18,987 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Tech | 2 | $49.9K | +$49.9K |
| 0x2162619c | — | 4 | $30.8K | +$30.8K |
| 0x07c0b603 | — | 2 | $28.5K | +$28.5K |
| 0x836b6b41 | — | 2 | $21.1K | +$18.1K |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22? | Other | 1 | $19.9K | $-19,906 |
| 0xd68a4a78 | — | 2 | $18.8K | $-8 |
| 0x22fc36ff | — | 1 | $16.9K | +$16.9K |
| 0xbb24eefb | — | 2 | $15.1K | $-3,763 |
| 0x65ea3371 | — | 1 | $14.5K | +$14.5K |
| 0x57f482ed | — | 3 | $13.9K | +$13.9K |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-22? | Tech | 1 | $13.4K | +$13.4K |
| 1742598 | — | 1 | $12.3K | $-12,314 |
| 0x32156857 | — | 2 | $12.3K | +$12.3K |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Other | 2 | $11.8K | +$11.8K |
| 0xf484d40f | — | 1 | $10.9K | +$10.9K |
| 0x22259c08 | — | 2 | $10.5K | $-3,455 |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Other | 1 | $10.3K | +$10.3K |
| 0xc7b48ac0 | — | 1 | $10.0K | +$10.0K |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Other | 1 | $9,787 | +$9,787 |
| 0x2453ea84 | — | 2 | $9,696 | $-1,620 |
| 0xee064081 | — | 3 | $9,054 | +$374 |
| 1891032 | — | 2 | $8,847 | +$8,847 |
| 0x5d62c7c6 | — | 1 | $8,676 | +$8,676 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Other | 1 | $8,028 | +$8,028 |
| 0x833cc6fa | — | 1 | $8,011 | +$8,011 |
| 0x742cccb8 | — | 4 | $8,010 | +$72 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Other | 1 | $7,670 | +$7,670 |
| 0xf5038731 | — | 3 | $7,305 | +$1,885 |
| 0xe9cbdb4b | — | 2 | $7,166 | +$7,166 |
Showing top 30 by volume.