Back to whale feed

66601

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xccc1…889d with our methodology badges per row.

0xccc1afdec8b8a8d7770eeabc0041b610c621889d·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
95
lifetime
PnL per $
+13%
historical realized
Win rate
85.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$1.72M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
196
Distinct markets
82
Volume (90d)
$4.29M
avg $21.9K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$3.66M / $624.9K
net direction

Recent trades

last 196 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 9, 12:34 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.085$11.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 21, 10:10 PMWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL NO0.999$43.0K— (SELL)
May 21, 04:19 PMWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY NO0.999$43.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 07:05 PMWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL NO0.991$1,028— (SELL)
May 15, 06:46 PMWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL NO0.991$41.0K— (SELL)
May 15, 06:45 PMWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL NO0.991$16.7K— (SELL)
May 15, 06:31 PMWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.999$9,990Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 06:31 PMWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.999$9,990Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 06:30 PMWill United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?SELL NO0.999$11.4K— (SELL)
May 15, 06:18 PMWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL NO0.996$18.3K— (SELL)
May 15, 05:28 PMWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY NO0.997$20.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 05:23 PMWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL NO0.998$5,899— (SELL)
May 15, 05:22 PMWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL NO0.998$17.4K— (SELL)
May 15, 05:20 PMWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY NO0.998$4,804Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 05:20 PMWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY NO0.998$30.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 05:19 PMWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY NO0.998$52.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 05:18 PMWill Germany win Eurovision 2026?SELL NO0.999$18.5K— (SELL)
May 15, 10:30 AMWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.999$19.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 10:30 AMWill Germany win Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.999$3,513Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 11:15 PMEpstein suicide note released by May 8?SELL NO0.998$30.3K— (SELL)
May 11, 09:14 PMEpstein suicide note released by May 8?BUY NO0.998$29.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 12:37 PMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.999$30.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 6, 02:40 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.832$11.1K— (SELL)
May 6, 02:40 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.833$11.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 6, 02:39 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.832$25.0K— (SELL)
May 6, 02:39 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.833$25.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 07:08 AMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.780$1,628Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 07:08 AMOver $6M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.900$2,183Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 12:27 AMWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL YES0.008$1,219— (SELL)
Apr 30, 12:12 AMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL YES0.801$1,495— (SELL)
Apr 29, 11:48 PMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL YES0.838$15.0K— (SELL)
Apr 29, 11:48 PMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL YES0.849$2,117— (SELL)
Apr 29, 10:38 PMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL YES0.967$2,429— (SELL)
Apr 29, 09:35 PMOver $40M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL NO0.810$1,669— (SELL)
Apr 29, 08:55 PMOver $8M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.250$1,649Conviction tier
Apr 29, 08:44 PMOver $4M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL YES0.951$2,061— (SELL)
Apr 29, 08:42 PMOver $4M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL YES0.963$1,499— (SELL)
Apr 29, 08:41 PMOver $30M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.670$1,935Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 08:35 PMOver $8M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL YES0.853$2,444— (SELL)
Apr 29, 08:34 PMOver $10M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL YES0.754$10.8K— (SELL)
Apr 29, 04:52 PMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY YES0.995$22.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 03:23 PMOver $60M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.830$2,278Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 01:39 PMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY YES0.996$3,586Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 02:55 AMOver $30M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.510$1,495
Apr 28, 10:06 PMOver $30M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL NO0.500$1,225— (SELL)
Apr 28, 09:59 PMOver $2M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL YES0.999$8,991— (SELL)
Apr 28, 09:58 PMOver $60M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.750$4,914Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 09:24 PMOver $30M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.430$1,290
Apr 28, 08:37 PMOver $100M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.860$1,847Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 07:19 PMOver $60M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.620$1,209Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 06:50 PMOver $10M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY YES0.920$1,288Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 06:29 PMOver $40M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.450$1,504
Apr 28, 06:29 PMOver $40M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.450$2,250
Apr 28, 06:20 PMOver $4M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL YES0.990$1,350— (SELL)
Apr 28, 02:03 PMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?SELL YES0.998$4,971— (SELL)
Apr 28, 02:02 PMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?SELL NO0.993$3,614— (SELL)
Apr 28, 02:01 PMWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.962$17.3K— (SELL)
Apr 28, 01:49 PMWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.963$7,103— (SELL)
Apr 28, 01:37 PMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.922$1,575— (SELL)
Apr 28, 01:36 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.914$26.2K— (SELL)
Apr 28, 01:25 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.710$1,012— (SELL)
Apr 28, 01:16 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.911$47.3K— (SELL)
Apr 28, 12:50 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.912$104.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 12:48 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.915$29.5K— (SELL)
Apr 27, 10:23 PMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?SELL YES0.996$34.3K— (SELL)
Apr 27, 09:29 PMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?SELL YES0.996$1,207— (SELL)
Apr 27, 09:28 PMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?SELL YES0.996$3,094— (SELL)
Apr 27, 06:09 PMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?SELL YES0.998$1,847— (SELL)
Apr 27, 01:59 AMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?BUY NO0.670$1,072Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 12:10 AMWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on April 26?BUY NO0.990$1,940Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 10:27 AMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.085$2,060— (SELL)
Apr 25, 12:27 PMWill Armenia win Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.997$3,967Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 12:27 PMWill Armenia win Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.997$39.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 12:26 PMWill Armenia win Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.997$39.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 11:19 AMWill Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY NO0.991$232.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 09:36 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 09:35 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 09:35 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 09:35 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 09:35 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 09:35 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 09:34 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 09:34 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 09:34 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 09:34 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 09:34 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 09:33 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 09:33 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 09:33 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 09:32 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 09:32 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 09:32 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 09:32 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 09:32 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 09:32 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 05:49 PMWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY NO0.992$22.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 05:48 PMWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY NO0.992$30.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 05:46 PMWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY NO0.992$29.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 05:45 PMWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY NO0.992$29.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 05:45 PMWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY NO0.992$29.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 12:32 AMWill Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY NO0.992$30.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 12:31 AMWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY NO0.993$24.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 12:30 AMWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY NO0.987$27.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 12:29 AMWill J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY NO0.981$17.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 12:28 AMWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY NO0.993$28.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 12:27 AMWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY NO0.992$11.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 12:26 AMWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.995$108.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 12:25 AMWill Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY NO0.992$87.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 12:24 AMWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY NO0.991$89.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 12:23 AMWill Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY NO0.993$145.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 23, 10:21 PMWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.967$80.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 23, 04:38 PMWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY NO0.992$47.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 23, 03:57 PMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.982$141.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 22, 12:11 PMWill Armenia win Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.996$115.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 22, 12:07 PMWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY NO0.991$118.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 22, 12:02 PMWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY NO0.994$69.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 22, 12:02 PMWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY NO0.994$129.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 22, 03:48 AMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?SELL NO0.975$3,489— (SELL)
Apr 22, 02:54 AMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?SELL NO0.720$3,460— (SELL)
Apr 21, 11:41 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?BUY NO0.780$2,371Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 11:10 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?SELL YES0.250$1,144— (SELL)
Apr 21, 11:06 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?SELL NO0.520$1,808— (SELL)
Apr 21, 10:33 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?SELL YES0.210$2,255— (SELL)
Apr 21, 10:01 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.440$3,413
Apr 21, 09:14 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?BUY NO0.610$2,347Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 08:41 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?BUY NO0.450$2,308
Apr 21, 08:15 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?BUY YES0.870$2,347Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 07:37 PMWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY NO0.992$99.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 07:37 PMWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY NO0.992$99.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 11:54 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.089$1,524— (SELL)
Apr 21, 11:53 AMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.053$3,314— (SELL)
Apr 20, 10:33 PMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL YES0.210$1,362— (SELL)
Apr 20, 08:32 PMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.018$1,154
Apr 20, 06:36 PMWill Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY NO0.993$2,041Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 01:04 PMWill Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY NO0.993$148.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 08:32 PMWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY NO0.990$10.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 08:31 PMWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY NO0.990$29.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 12:00 PMWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY NO0.993$167.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 11:58 AMWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY NO0.993$9,930Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 01:13 AMWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY YES0.009$1,260
Apr 18, 12:28 AM0x9823d715BUY NO0.001$1,094
Apr 17, 03:38 PMWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL YES0.011$1,055— (SELL)
Apr 17, 03:36 PMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.011$2,560— (SELL)
Apr 17, 11:57 AMWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL YES0.008$1,702— (SELL)
Apr 17, 12:23 AMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.052$1,075Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 16, 06:31 PM0x1ea6772aBUY0.340$1,135Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 16, 01:55 PM0xd30b8499BUY0.529$1,582
Apr 15, 09:16 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.084$1,097— (SELL)
Apr 15, 12:09 AM0xd72c3cb8SELL NO0.999$6,124— (SELL)
Apr 14, 11:56 PMWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY YES0.011$1,130
Apr 14, 11:44 PMWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY YES0.006$1,161
Apr 14, 09:22 PMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.069$2,075Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 14, 05:33 PMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.012$1,222
Apr 14, 05:30 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.089$2,247Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 14, 02:05 PM0xfa013023SELL0.460$4,515— (SELL)
Apr 14, 01:59 PMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.022$1,811— (SELL)
Apr 14, 01:58 PMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.023$1,959
Apr 13, 04:38 PMGenius FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY YES0.473$2,021
Apr 12, 07:50 PMWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY YES0.008$1,610
Apr 10, 05:22 PMWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY YES0.017$1,082
Apr 10, 05:22 PMWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY YES0.016$1,103
Apr 10, 02:36 PMWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY YES0.019$1,032
Apr 9, 10:28 PM0x4c5701bcBUY NO0.001$1,410
Apr 7, 08:11 PM0x604fc003SELL0.420$1,069— (SELL)
Apr 7, 04:31 PM0x34aa21faSELL0.540$3,423— (SELL)
Apr 7, 04:30 PM0x34aa21faBUY0.540$1,964
Apr 6, 07:06 PM0x594bd84dSELL0.510$1,304— (SELL)
Apr 6, 05:10 PM0x594bd84dSELL0.520$1,539— (SELL)
Apr 6, 02:04 PM0x22259c08SELL0.580$8,779— (SELL)
Apr 6, 01:52 PM0x0106fd15SELL0.480$2,701— (SELL)
Apr 6, 01:43 PM0x22259c08SELL0.600$24.1K— (SELL)
Apr 6, 01:36 PM0x0106fd15SELL0.480$1,751— (SELL)
Apr 6, 01:27 PM0x22259c08BUY0.610$34.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 01:20 PM0xef5f986dSELL0.460$1,201— (SELL)
Apr 6, 12:28 PM0xed1e2758SELL0.520$31.3K— (SELL)
Apr 1, 08:19 PMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY YES0.540$1,045
Apr 1, 07:08 PMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY YES0.570$1,608
Apr 1, 07:00 PMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY YES0.560$3,962
Apr 1, 04:16 PM0x773abaa5BUY YES0.200$2,204Conviction tier
Apr 1, 04:15 PM0x773abaa5BUY YES0.190$1,363Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 30, 09:13 PM0x306d10d4SELL NO0.955$1,751— (SELL)
Mar 30, 04:57 PMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL NO0.310$2,940— (SELL)
Mar 30, 04:01 PM0x705479ccSELL NO0.962$1,094— (SELL)
Mar 29, 08:30 PM0x306d10d4BUY YES0.119$1,190Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 29, 08:04 PM0x306d10d4BUY NO0.795$2,828Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 07:52 PM0x306d10d4BUY NO0.660$1,780Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 01:02 PM0xd8271591BUY0.490$6,387
Mar 28, 10:54 PM0x36815bf4SELL0.680$1,344— (SELL)
Mar 28, 09:51 PMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL NO0.400$1,061— (SELL)
Mar 28, 07:36 PMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL NO0.420$4,047— (SELL)
Mar 28, 06:46 PMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL NO0.430$4,425— (SELL)
Mar 28, 05:47 PMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL NO0.430$1,438— (SELL)
Mar 28, 01:52 PM0x306d10d4SELL NO0.920$8,280— (SELL)
Mar 28, 01:21 PM0x306d10d4SELL NO0.920$6,440— (SELL)
Mar 27, 02:55 PM0x682ec1e3BUY0.810$9,737Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 01:53 PMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL NO0.360$4,681— (SELL)

Markets active in

82 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Other23$807.9K+$797.3K
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics1$232.5K+$232.5K
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics4$201.7K+$198.3K
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?Other4$199.3K+$199.3K
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics2$198.8K+$198.8K
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics2$177.7K+$177.7K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other5$167.1K+$69.4K
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Politics6$159.9K+$4,474
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics1$148.0K+$148.0K
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics1$145.8K+$145.8K
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$142.7K+$142.7K
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics5$141.6K+$141.6K
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Politics6$134.1K+$2,923
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics1$118.9K+$118.9K
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?Other2$118.3K+$118.3K
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics1$89.2K+$89.2K
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics1$87.1K+$87.1K
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Crypto1$80.8K+$80.8K
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other4$72.1K+$43
0x22259c083$67.9K+$2,039
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Other2$60.3K$-399
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other4$58.9K$-58,880
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?Other7$48.5K+$6,348
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics1$47.0K+$47.0K
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Other6$46.5K$-44,348
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics2$40.4K+$40.4K
0xed1e27581$31.3K$-31,254
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics1$30.4K+$30.4K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Tech1$30.3K+$30.3K
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?Other2$29.4K+$29.4K

Showing top 30 by volume.