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Orcaxx
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xc8df…e891 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
—
no rep computed yet
PnL per $
—
historical realized
Win rate
—
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
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across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. No reputation snapshot yet — wallet is new or hasn't traded enough resolved markets.
Trades (90d)
6
Distinct markets
3
Volume (90d)
$62.9K
avg $10.5K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$36.3K / $26.6K
net direction
Recent trades
last 6 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 02:54 AM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.489 | $13.2K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 04:43 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.637 | $9,996 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 02:22 AM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.265 | $3,000 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 29, 02:21 AM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.421 | $13.4K | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 05:55 PM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.620 | $19.7K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 3, 03:51 AM | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY YES | 0.400 | $3,600 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
Markets active in
3 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sports | 2 | $33.1K | +$6,310 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sports | 3 | $26.2K | $-224 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Other | 1 | $3,600 | +$3,600 |