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rdba
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xc4d1…8ce8 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
15
lifetime
PnL per $
-5%
historical realized
Win rate
91.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$459.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 15 resolved trades · -5% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
22
Distinct markets
18
Volume (90d)
$1.57M
avg $71.2K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$1.56M / $3,433
net direction
Recent trades
last 22 · 90d windowMarkets active in
18 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4c5701bc | — | 3 | $487.3K | +$487.3K |
| 0x61ce3773 | — | 1 | $390.8K | +$390.8K |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | Other | 1 | $368.4K | +$368.4K |
| 0x7cb525e8 | — | 1 | $141.6K | +$141.6K |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Politics | 1 | $48.2K | +$48.2K |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | Other | 1 | $39.7K | +$39.7K |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Other | 1 | $38.4K | +$38.4K |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | Other | 3 | $12.7K | +$12.7K |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | Other | 1 | $9,589 | +$9,589 |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | Other | 1 | $7,916 | +$7,916 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6? | Crypto | 1 | $7,408 | +$7,408 |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026? | Other | 1 | $4,192 | +$4,192 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | Other | 1 | $3,535 | +$3,535 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | Other | 1 | $1,934 | +$1,934 |
| Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | Other | 1 | $1,741 | +$1,741 |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | Other | 1 | $1,180 | $-1,180 |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | Other | 1 | $1,144 | $-1,144 |
| Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? | Other | 1 | $1,110 | $-1,110 |