| Jun 12, 11:58 PM | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $13.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 03:45 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $2,780 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 03:43 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? | BUY NO | 0.993 | $1,585 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 03:42 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | SELL YES | 0.993 | $5,680 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 02:46 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | BUY YES | 0.997 | $3,968 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 02:45 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | BUY YES | 0.996 | $1,380 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 02:45 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.991 | $5,362 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 02:44 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? | BUY NO | 0.993 | $1,211 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 02:43 PM | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.989 | $1,543 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 02:35 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $2,855 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 02:32 PM | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $3,760 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 02:27 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $1,070 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 12:12 PM | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY NO | 0.937 | $1,515 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:32 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $4,921 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:31 PM | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY NO | 0.935 | $2,258 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:30 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.993 | $7,253 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 06:10 AM | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $1,745 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:36 PM | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $6,770 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:34 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.994 | $6,710 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 11:34 PM | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $2,761 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 07:40 AM | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.991 | $4,310 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 03:51 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.988 | $6,461 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 05:21 AM | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL NO | 0.956 | $1,212 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 01:43 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $3,180 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 12:48 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.982 | $18.2K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 03:01 PM | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $1,428 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 12:29 AM | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.991 | $1,160 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 02:53 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.982 | $6,301 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 02:53 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.982 | $13.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 08:49 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.981 | $3,938 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 06:56 AM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $1,453 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 06:54 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.993 | $6,116 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 06:35 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.981 | $14.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 06:34 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.980 | $16.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 12:14 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $12.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 11:29 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $26.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 11:28 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $2,095 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 11:26 PM | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $4,352 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 04:11 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $4,671 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 04:10 AM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.983 | $2,401 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 04:05 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $3,187 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 11:26 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $3,657 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 11:25 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $3,287 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 01:31 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $5,003 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 01:30 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $5,037 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 01:28 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $1,592 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 09:09 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $3,599 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 09:08 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $1,780 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 09:08 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $4,727 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 09:07 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $1,133 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 09:05 AM | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $7,892 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 05:12 AM | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $9,882 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 05:11 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $7,031 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 12:06 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $6,310 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 12:04 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $3,118 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 11:31 PM | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $1,988 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 11:26 PM | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY NO | 0.991 | $2,751 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 03:08 PM | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $2,724 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 07:29 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $2,722 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 12:25 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | SELL NO | 0.994 | $1,314 | — (SELL) |
| May 1, 12:40 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | BUY NO | 0.983 | $10.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 30, 12:08 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $4,020 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 30, 12:08 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $15.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 12:57 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $11.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 12:56 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $3,596 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 12:39 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $3,596 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 01:54 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $8,829 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 27, 04:17 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | BUY NO | 0.942 | $1,869 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 27, 03:05 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,998 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 26, 01:00 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $9,960 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 01:02 PM | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $10.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 21, 11:28 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $1,055 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 20, 01:08 AM | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.993 | $9,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 3, 02:33 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.983 | $1,043 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |