amis

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xc1a5…f290 with our methodology badges per row.

0xc1a58674dbcc1d3208f7e61a0a8b252162caf290·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

-62%

historical realized

Win rate

37.2%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$81.2K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 14 resolved trades · -62% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$420.0K

avg $6,000 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$207.3K / $212.7K

net direction

Recent trades

last 70 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jun 11, 09:12 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.970	$5,880	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 06:41 PM	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.814	$4,456	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 06:41 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.989	$5,496	— (SELL)
Jun 6, 08:23 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.974	$10.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 08:22 AM	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.987	$2,927	— (SELL)
Jun 6, 08:21 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.989	$1,997	— (SELL)
Jun 6, 08:21 AM	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.988	$4,214	— (SELL)
Jun 5, 08:23 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.970	$4,557	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 08:19 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.890	$3,673	— (SELL)
Jun 3, 07:42 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.950	$8,041	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 05:14 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.850	$1,543	— (SELL)
Jun 2, 05:14 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.788	$2,019	— (SELL)
May 30, 08:43 PM	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.987	$1,479	— (SELL)
May 28, 07:24 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.960	$2,544	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 07:28 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.960	$6,720	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 09:47 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.960	$8,640	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 09:46 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.983	$2,650	— (SELL)
May 27, 09:46 PM	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.987	$2,075	— (SELL)
May 27, 09:45 PM	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.988	$2,684	— (SELL)
May 25, 06:06 AM	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.988	$1,414	— (SELL)
May 17, 10:27 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.950	$5,277	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 07:35 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.964	$1,155	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 07:59 PM	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	BUY NO	0.915	$7,320	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 06:17 AM	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.845	$1,208	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 08:39 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.966	$7,603	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 08:38 PM	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	SELL NO	0.979	$5,438	— (SELL)
May 14, 08:36 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.979	$5,395	— (SELL)
May 1, 08:41 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.960	$9,490	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 07:43 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.960	$6,720	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 07:42 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.951	$2,724	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 07:40 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	SELL NO	0.999	$21.3K	— (SELL)
Apr 28, 09:27 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.949	$5,841	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 09:24 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	SELL NO	0.996	$4,306	— (SELL)
Apr 21, 07:38 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	BUY NO	0.983	$4,250	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 08:10 AM	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	BUY NO	0.916	$2,035	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 01:25 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	SELL NO	0.971	$7,979	— (SELL)
Apr 16, 07:43 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.950	$11.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 07:41 AM	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?	SELL NO	0.991	$1,333	— (SELL)
Apr 16, 07:41 AM	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.977	$5,429	— (SELL)
Apr 16, 07:39 AM	Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?	SELL NO	0.987	$1,489	— (SELL)
Apr 14, 08:42 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.930	$2,642	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 04:39 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.940	$21.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 04:38 PM	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.982	$1,293	— (SELL)
Apr 14, 04:36 PM	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.978	$1,743	— (SELL)
Apr 14, 04:34 PM	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.987	$1,101	— (SELL)
Apr 14, 04:32 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	SELL NO	0.989	$11.7K	— (SELL)
Apr 8, 02:46 PM	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	SELL NO	0.991	$2,923	— (SELL)
Apr 7, 07:26 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	BUY NO	0.969	$10.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 07:25 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	BUY NO	0.978	$2,161	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 07:15 PM	0x7dd8cf2a	BUY	0.970	$1,110	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 07:14 PM	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	BUY NO	0.989	$2,919	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 3, 07:34 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.960	$2,628	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 08:45 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	BUY NO	0.950	$1,053	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 05:46 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	BUY NO	0.977	$5,327	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 08:34 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	BUY NO	0.970	$3,757	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 05:25 PM	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,329	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 12:34 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.870	$6,254	— (SELL)
Mar 30, 07:07 PM	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	BUY NO	0.915	$2,036	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 07:06 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.960	$3,887	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 06:13 AM	0x09e8f0db	SELL NO	0.999	$59.1K	— (SELL)
Mar 28, 06:06 AM	Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY NO	0.910	$1,040	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 07:46 PM	0x84c7382f	SELL NO	0.969	$14.6K	— (SELL)
Mar 25, 05:42 AM	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	BUY NO	0.917	$3,254	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 05:41 AM	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,652	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 05:40 AM	0x09e8f0db	SELL NO	0.994	$14.8K	— (SELL)
Mar 24, 03:24 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.880	$13.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 03:24 PM	0x09e8f0db	SELL NO	0.990	$6,599	— (SELL)
Mar 24, 03:23 PM	0x09e8f0db	SELL NO	0.991	$7,749	— (SELL)
Mar 23, 05:20 PM	0x84c7382f	BUY NO	0.961	$9,156	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 02:01 PM	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,047	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

35 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
0x09e8f0db	—	4	$88.3K	$-88,287
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Other	9	$74.0K	+$56.2K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	Other	5	$40.5K	$-18,007
0x84c7382f	—	2	$23.7K	$-5,420
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Other	2	$22.4K	$-912
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Other	4	$19.4K	+$15.4K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Other	3	$17.9K	+$17.9K
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Crypto	4	$14.6K	+$14.6K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Other	1	$10.8K	+$10.8K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Other	2	$10.8K	$-219
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Other	2	$10.4K	+$10.4K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	Other	2	$9,282	$-1,508
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Other	3	$9,247	$-9,247
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Other	2	$8,556	$-56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Other	1	$8,041	+$8,041
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	Other	3	$5,994	$-2,689
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	Other	2	$5,842	$-4
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	Other	2	$5,693	$-5,693
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	Crypto	1	$5,438	$-5,438
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Other	1	$4,456	+$4,456
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	1	$3,673	$-3,673
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?	Other	1	$2,684	$-2,684
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?	Other	1	$2,628	+$2,628
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	1	$2,019	$-2,019
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	1	$1,543	$-1,543
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?	Other	1	$1,489	$-1,489
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?	Other	1	$1,333	$-1,333
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	Other	1	$1,329	+$1,329
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	Other	1	$1,293	$-1,293
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	Other	1	$1,208	+$1,208

Showing top 30 by volume.