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MoronKiler
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xbebe…a8b5 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
15
lifetime
PnL per $
-2%
historical realized
Win rate
97.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$2.79M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 15 resolved trades · -2% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
26
Distinct markets
14
Volume (90d)
$4.40M
avg $169.3K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$4.33M / $71.2K
net direction
Recent trades
last 26 · 90d windowMarkets active in
14 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4c5701bc | — | 1 | $996.7K | +$996.7K |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Other | 6 | $971.4K | +$829.1K |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | Other | 1 | $760.0K | +$760.0K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | Finance | 2 | $490.4K | +$490.4K |
| 0x7cb525e8 | — | 2 | $472.3K | +$472.3K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | Other | 2 | $245.8K | +$245.8K |
| Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026? | Politics | 1 | $235.8K | +$235.8K |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | Other | 2 | $115.0K | +$115.0K |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | Other | 1 | $67.9K | +$67.9K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Other | 4 | $20.2K | +$20.2K |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | Politics | 1 | $13.5K | +$13.5K |
| 0x2701e5a5 | — | 1 | $7,277 | +$7,277 |
| Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Other | 1 | $2,835 | +$2,835 |
| 0xfc9ee9c2 | — | 1 | $1,402 | +$1,402 |