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213546566
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xbde3…4a49 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
23
lifetime
PnL per $
+27846%
historical realized
Win rate
66.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$97.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.
Trades (90d)
125
Distinct markets
63
Volume (90d)
$555.7K
avg $4,446 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$438.9K / $116.9K
net direction
Recent trades
last 125 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 12:43 AM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.773 | $6,867 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 12:14 AM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.785 | $20.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 10:18 AM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.794 | $3,540 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 10:00 AM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.794 | $2,433 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 12:58 AM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY NO | 0.535 | $23.0K | — |
| Jun 3, 10:10 PM | Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | SELL NO | 0.101 | $1,010 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 07:03 AM | Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY NO | 0.800 | $1,451 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 07:03 AM | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY YES | 0.800 | $4,982 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 01:41 PM | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? | BUY NO | 0.320 | $7,034 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 25, 01:42 PM | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY YES | 0.580 | $1,376 | — |
| Apr 25, 12:59 PM | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY YES | 0.390 | $4,481 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 25, 12:38 PM | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY YES | 0.440 | $2,668 | — |
| Apr 25, 12:37 PM | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY YES | 0.430 | $5,356 | — |
| Apr 25, 12:35 PM | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | SELL YES | 0.999 | $15.3K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 12:27 PM | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | BUY YES | 0.160 | $1,237 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 25, 12:27 PM | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | SELL YES | 0.999 | $5,096 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 12:22 PM | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | BUY YES | 0.340 | $3,753 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 25, 12:21 PM | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | SELL YES | 0.999 | $6,795 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 11:36 AM | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | BUY YES | 0.506 | $4,110 | — |
| Apr 25, 11:36 AM | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | BUY YES | 0.496 | $3,177 | — |
| Apr 25, 11:35 AM | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | BUY YES | 0.510 | $1,065 | — |
| Apr 25, 11:34 AM | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | BUY YES | 0.507 | $4,179 | — |
| Apr 25, 08:49 AM | LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner | BUY YES | 0.791 | $1,962 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 08:49 AM | LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner | BUY YES | 0.800 | $1,135 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 08:49 AM | LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner | BUY YES | 0.807 | $2,851 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 12:28 AM | Lakers vs. Rockets | BUY YES | 0.570 | $2,250 | — |
| Apr 25, 12:26 AM | Lakers vs. Rockets | BUY YES | 0.580 | $1,752 | — |
| Apr 23, 06:37 AM | Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) | BUY YES | 0.560 | $14.5K | — |
| Apr 22, 01:52 AM | 76ers vs. Celtics | SELL | 0.999 | $3,256 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 21, 11:57 AM | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | SELL | 0.999 | $6,539 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 21, 11:03 AM | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.510 | $1,608 | — |
| Apr 21, 11:03 AM | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | BUY | 0.510 | $2,544 | — |
| Apr 21, 10:30 AM | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | BUY | 0.999 | $6,539 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 9, 10:21 AM | 0x307c8718 | BUY | 0.473 | $1,653 | — |
| Apr 9, 10:21 AM | 0x307c8718 | BUY | 0.482 | $1,554 | — |
| Apr 9, 07:57 AM | 0x831638eb | BUY | 0.540 | $4,138 | — |
| Apr 9, 07:57 AM | 0x831638eb | BUY | 0.530 | $1,260 | — |
| Apr 9, 01:58 AM | 0xa7e1a684 | BUY | 0.480 | $1,035 | — |
| Apr 9, 01:58 AM | 0xa7e1a684 | BUY | 0.470 | $6,988 | — |
| Apr 8, 01:53 PM | 0x4aa34de7 | BUY | 0.280 | $1,596 | Conviction tier |
| Apr 8, 01:46 PM | 0x4aa34de7 | BUY | 0.280 | $2,502 | Conviction tier |
| Apr 8, 05:38 AM | 0x715fc9a1 | BUY | 0.995 | $1,170 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 09:41 PM | 0x9b21ee62 | BUY | 0.430 | $3,300 | — |
| Apr 7, 09:40 PM | 0x9b21ee62 | BUY | 0.430 | $3,269 | — |
| Apr 7, 10:04 AM | 0x949405a0 | SELL | 0.500 | $1,129 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 7, 10:04 AM | 0x949405a0 | BUY | 0.470 | $2,140 | — |
| Apr 7, 10:03 AM | 0x949405a0 | SELL | 0.500 | $3,834 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 7, 09:45 AM | 0x949405a0 | BUY | 0.478 | $4,841 | — |
| Apr 7, 09:40 AM | 0xd42c392e | BUY | 0.442 | $1,536 | — |
| Apr 7, 09:01 AM | 0xd42c392e | BUY | 0.490 | $1,007 | — |
| Apr 7, 03:46 AM | 0x035d5903 | BUY | 0.959 | $7,661 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 01:36 AM | 0x035d5903 | BUY | 0.650 | $3,216 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 01:29 AM | 0x035d5903 | BUY | 0.650 | $1,436 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 6, 12:43 PM | 0x987f3229 | BUY | 0.480 | $3,340 | — |
| Apr 6, 12:31 AM | 0x7aa5b5c1 | BUY | 0.510 | $5,025 | — |
| Apr 5, 11:47 AM | 0xcfdcef40 | BUY | 0.220 | $1,634 | Conviction tier |
| Apr 5, 11:29 AM | 0x71bb03d7 | BUY | 0.316 | $1,691 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 5, 10:57 AM | 0xf44e175f | BUY | 0.280 | $1,287 | Conviction tier |
| Apr 5, 10:14 AM | 0x4aa5544e | BUY | 0.580 | $1,603 | — |
| Apr 5, 10:08 AM | 0x4aa5544e | BUY | 0.730 | $5,581 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 08:15 AM | 0xa3a20bad | BUY | 0.469 | $6,701 | — |
| Apr 5, 01:57 AM | 0xe9ed2b95 | BUY | 0.498 | $1,818 | — |
| Apr 5, 01:41 AM | 0x1a0dabb8 | BUY | 0.786 | $6,881 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 01:41 AM | 0x1a0dabb8 | BUY | 0.780 | $2,993 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 4, 07:49 PM | 0x707f4f2f | BUY | 0.280 | $1,432 | Conviction tier |
| Apr 4, 11:55 AM | 0x0c896fc5 | BUY YES | 0.500 | $2,421 | — |
| Apr 4, 11:55 AM | 0x0c896fc5 | BUY YES | 0.500 | $2,637 | — |
| Apr 4, 11:54 AM | 0x0c896fc5 | BUY YES | 0.500 | $1,821 | — |
| Apr 4, 11:54 AM | 0x0c896fc5 | BUY YES | 0.510 | $2,252 | — |
| Apr 4, 08:21 AM | 0x350f87f3 | BUY | 0.500 | $1,493 | — |
| Apr 4, 08:20 AM | 0x350f87f3 | BUY | 0.390 | $1,504 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 4, 08:19 AM | 0xaf295ab6 | BUY | 0.460 | $4,618 | — |
| Apr 4, 08:09 AM | 0xaf295ab6 | BUY | 0.480 | $4,625 | — |
| Apr 4, 08:09 AM | 0xaf295ab6 | BUY | 0.470 | $1,415 | — |
| Apr 2, 12:37 AM | 0xb540de24 | BUY | 0.490 | $3,298 | — |
| Apr 2, 12:36 AM | 0xb540de24 | BUY | 0.490 | $2,717 | — |
| Apr 1, 11:39 PM | 0x70d157a4 | BUY | 0.510 | $11.6K | — |
| Apr 1, 11:38 PM | 0xe2f7f6af | BUY | 0.460 | $3,394 | — |
| Apr 1, 09:15 AM | 0xf6c7af94 | BUY | 0.709 | $2,308 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 1, 09:15 AM | 0xf6c7af94 | BUY | 0.680 | $1,018 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 1, 02:38 AM | 0x8a7d6723 | BUY | 0.490 | $3,007 | — |
| Apr 1, 02:37 AM | 0xf440e622 | SELL | 0.999 | $3,069 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 1, 01:22 AM | 0x36d106d3 | BUY | 0.460 | $1,609 | — |
| Apr 1, 12:54 AM | 0x36d106d3 | BUY | 0.460 | $2,552 | — |
| Apr 1, 12:54 AM | 0x36d106d3 | BUY | 0.460 | $5,371 | — |
| Apr 1, 12:33 AM | 0xca82a0cf | BUY | 0.449 | $1,964 | — |
| Apr 1, 12:33 AM | 0xca82a0cf | BUY | 0.450 | $3,842 | — |
| Mar 31, 02:42 PM | 0x8a7d6723 | BUY | 0.490 | $2,937 | — |
| Mar 31, 04:13 AM | 0xc5ff86e1 | BUY | 0.496 | $3,423 | — |
| Mar 31, 04:13 AM | 0xc5ff86e1 | BUY | 0.500 | $1,720 | — |
| Mar 31, 03:48 AM | 0xc5ff86e1 | BUY | 0.319 | $2,247 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 31, 03:37 AM | 0xd24bc118 | BUY | 0.470 | $2,520 | — |
| Mar 31, 03:37 AM | 0xd24bc118 | BUY | 0.470 | $3,748 | — |
| Mar 31, 03:37 AM | 0xd24bc118 | BUY | 0.479 | $9,293 | — |
| Mar 31, 12:37 AM | 0x43ec63bd | SELL | 0.560 | $14.5K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 31, 12:33 AM | 0x43ec63bd | SELL | 0.560 | $17.2K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 30, 11:56 PM | 0x43ec63bd | BUY | 0.490 | $8,250 | — |
| Mar 30, 11:56 PM | 0x43ec63bd | BUY | 0.490 | $8,126 | — |
| Mar 30, 11:56 PM | 0x43ec63bd | BUY | 0.490 | $8,126 | — |
| Mar 30, 11:56 PM | 0x43ec63bd | BUY | 0.498 | $6,461 | — |
| Mar 30, 11:55 PM | 0x43ec63bd | BUY | 0.484 | $7,147 | — |
| Mar 30, 11:55 PM | 0x43ec63bd | BUY | 0.491 | $1,998 | — |
| Mar 29, 11:55 PM | 0xba1c98b1 | BUY | 0.940 | $6,080 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 29, 11:54 PM | 0xba1c98b1 | BUY | 0.910 | $1,087 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 29, 11:26 PM | 0xa74c9de5 | BUY | 0.610 | $7,396 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 29, 04:30 PM | 0xba1c98b1 | BUY | 0.500 | $6,935 | — |
| Mar 28, 02:36 AM | 0x54955dc6 | BUY | 0.500 | $2,596 | — |
| Mar 28, 12:45 AM | 0x94683322 | BUY | 0.600 | $6,000 | — |
| Mar 27, 02:23 AM | 0xb3a9a9ec | BUY | 0.450 | $1,856 | — |
| Mar 27, 02:22 AM | 0xb3a9a9ec | BUY | 0.460 | $12.2K | — |
| Mar 27, 01:30 AM | 0x7280bf93 | BUY | 0.470 | $1,909 | — |
| Mar 27, 01:26 AM | 0x7280bf93 | BUY | 0.460 | $1,187 | — |
| Mar 26, 09:45 PM | 0xbc08d292 | BUY | 0.540 | $6,168 | — |
| Mar 26, 09:44 PM | 0xbc08d292 | BUY | 0.540 | $6,466 | — |
| Mar 26, 09:44 PM | 0xbc08d292 | BUY | 0.540 | $7,075 | — |
| Mar 26, 09:44 PM | 0xbc08d292 | BUY | 0.540 | $7,086 | — |
| Mar 26, 04:29 AM | 0xd92d321e | BUY | 0.530 | $1,284 | — |
| Mar 26, 04:21 AM | 0xae0bacd8 | SELL | 0.999 | $3,650 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 26, 01:55 AM | 0x9b51d021 | BUY | 0.540 | $7,823 | — |
| Mar 26, 12:13 AM | 0xc75831d2 | BUY | 0.360 | $3,633 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 24, 11:54 PM | 0x1682a7b0 | BUY | 0.730 | $1,458 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 24, 01:32 AM | 0xd08e40d2 | BUY | 0.440 | $7,920 | — |
| Mar 24, 12:30 AM | 0xd9f690b3 | BUY | 0.580 | $14.3K | — |
| Mar 24, 12:25 AM | 0xd9f690b3 | BUY | 0.580 | $3,588 | — |
| Mar 23, 03:07 PM | 0x2442fd43 | SELL | 0.470 | $1,742 | — (SELL) |
Markets active in
63 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x43ec63bd | — | 8 | $71.8K | +$8,389 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sports | 5 | $56.7K | $-10,795 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | Other | 7 | $39.7K | $-14,650 |
| 0xbc08d292 | — | 4 | $26.8K | +$26.8K |
| 0xd9f690b3 | — | 2 | $17.9K | +$17.9K |
| 0xd24bc118 | — | 3 | $15.6K | +$15.6K |
| Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) | Other | 1 | $14.5K | +$14.5K |
| 0xba1c98b1 | — | 3 | $14.1K | +$14.1K |
| 0xb3a9a9ec | — | 2 | $14.1K | +$14.1K |
| LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | Other | 2 | $13.1K | $0 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Other | 3 | $12.5K | +$12.5K |
| 0x035d5903 | — | 3 | $12.3K | +$12.3K |
| 0x949405a0 | — | 4 | $11.9K | +$2,019 |
| 0x70d157a4 | — | 1 | $11.6K | +$11.6K |
| 0xaf295ab6 | — | 3 | $10.7K | +$10.7K |
| 0x1a0dabb8 | — | 2 | $9,874 | +$9,874 |
| 0x36d106d3 | — | 3 | $9,532 | +$9,532 |
| 0x0c896fc5 | — | 4 | $9,131 | +$9,131 |
| 0xa7e1a684 | — | 2 | $8,023 | +$8,023 |
| 0xd08e40d2 | — | 1 | $7,920 | +$7,920 |
| 0x9b51d021 | — | 1 | $7,823 | +$7,823 |
| 0xa74c9de5 | — | 1 | $7,396 | +$7,396 |
| 0xc5ff86e1 | — | 3 | $7,390 | +$7,390 |
| 0x4aa5544e | — | 2 | $7,185 | +$7,185 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? | Other | 1 | $7,034 | +$7,034 |
| 0xa3a20bad | — | 1 | $6,701 | +$6,701 |
| 0x9b21ee62 | — | 2 | $6,570 | +$6,570 |
| 0xb540de24 | — | 2 | $6,014 | +$6,014 |
| 0x94683322 | — | 1 | $6,000 | +$6,000 |
| LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner | Other | 3 | $5,948 | +$5,948 |
Showing top 30 by volume.