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999ssf

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xbd43…dbba with our methodology badges per row.

0xbd43ee245b37222e44e5d444e51325e483a4dbba·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
10
lifetime
PnL per $
-48%
historical realized
Win rate
50.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$154.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 10 resolved trades · -48% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
36
Distinct markets
18
Volume (90d)
$399.6K
avg $11.1K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$224.6K / $175.0K
net direction

Recent trades

last 36 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 9, 09:18 AMWill Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?SELL NO0.981$6,517— (SELL)
Jun 9, 09:18 AMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?SELL NO0.987$45.0K— (SELL)
Jun 7, 06:54 AMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?SELL NO0.983$11.2K— (SELL)
Jun 7, 03:36 AMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?SELL NO0.988$9,880— (SELL)
Jun 5, 06:23 AMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?BUY NO0.986$13.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 01:52 PMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?BUY NO0.980$10.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 01:51 PMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?BUY NO0.980$24.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 01:37 PMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?BUY NO0.981$7,848Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 01:36 PMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?BUY NO0.979$4,399Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 01:35 PMWill Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?BUY NO0.960$5,976Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 01:35 PMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?BUY NO0.978$2,311Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 01:34 PMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?BUY NO0.980$2,972Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 12:01 PMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?SELL NO0.986$19.7K— (SELL)
Jun 1, 12:00 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.997$4,800Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 01:32 PMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?SELL NO0.981$2,272— (SELL)
May 24, 01:32 PMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?SELL NO0.983$2,639— (SELL)
May 24, 01:29 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?SELL NO0.997$9,971— (SELL)
May 23, 01:11 PMWill Invictus Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2?BUY NO0.989$2,037Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 05:49 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?BUY NO0.980$2,252Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 05:49 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?BUY NO0.970$2,893Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 12:16 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?SELL NO0.982$19.0K— (SELL)
Apr 8, 02:28 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?SELL NO0.987$47.7K— (SELL)
Apr 8, 04:11 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?BUY NO0.989$17.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 12:09 AMUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?BUY YES0.998$9,490Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 12:08 AMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?BUY NO0.940$15.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 12:07 AM0x10d4b55eBUY NO0.971$18.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 11:40 PM0x10d4b55eBUY NO0.988$9,227Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 11:39 PMUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?BUY YES0.998$10.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 11:38 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?BUY NO0.981$35.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 11:29 PMUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?BUY YES0.997$7,391Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 11:25 PMUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?BUY YES0.995$8,925Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 11:24 PMUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?BUY YES0.993$3,753Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 12:31 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?BUY NO0.994$2,669Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 12:31 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?BUY NO0.994$1,096Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 12:29 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?BUY NO0.992$1,189Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 03:21 PM0xcdedd446SELL0.450$1,178— (SELL)

Markets active in

18 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?Other4$120.1K$-13,263
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?Crypto5$89.7K$-248
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?Crypto5$42.0K$-109
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Other4$36.0K+$36.0K
0x10d4b55e—2$27.5K+$27.5K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Other3$24.6K$-24,633
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Other1$15.3K+$15.3K
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?Crypto2$12.5K$-541
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?Other1$9,971$-9,971
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Crypto1$4,800+$4,800
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Other1$3,753+$3,753
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?Other1$2,893+$2,893
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?Other1$2,669+$2,669
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?Other1$2,252+$2,252
Will Invictus Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2?Other1$2,037+$2,037
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?Other1$1,189+$1,189
0xcdedd446—1$1,178$-1,178
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?Other1$1,096+$1,096