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mrwhite700
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xbc80…3d59 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
6
lifetime
PnL per $
-15%
historical realized
Win rate
78.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$236.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 6 resolved trades · -15% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
8
Distinct markets
6
Volume (90d)
$282.5K
avg $35.3K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$230.9K / $51.6K
net direction
Recent trades
last 8 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 02:49 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | BUY NO | 0.889 | $51.6K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 11:58 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $51.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 07:18 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | BUY NO | 0.936 | $48.6K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 04:26 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.943 | $24.3K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 04:26 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.974 | $22.2K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 05:32 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $44.2K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 11:02 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.931 | $20.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 06:13 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $20.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
6 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Other | 2 | $100.2K | $-2,995 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | Other | 1 | $51.6K | +$51.6K |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | Other | 2 | $46.5K | +$46.5K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Other | 1 | $44.2K | +$44.2K |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | Other | 1 | $20.0K | +$20.0K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Other | 1 | $20.0K | +$20.0K |