agustindrombola

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xb8bd…478f with our methodology badges per row.

0xb8bd016cb3ba03536e8d667ecdb71ea9e33c478f·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

+39606%

historical realized

Win rate

49.4%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$27.1K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)

143

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$272.4K

avg $1,905 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$107.6K / $164.7K

net direction

Recent trades

last 143 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
May 23, 07:53 PM	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,169	— (SELL)
Apr 27, 11:43 PM	CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Unión: O/U 4.5	SELL YES	0.999	$2,033	— (SELL)
Apr 27, 10:08 PM	CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Unión: O/U 4.5	BUY YES	0.756	$1,538	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 07:15 PM	Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobolli	SELL YES	0.999	$1,492	— (SELL)
Apr 27, 01:16 AM	Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5	SELL YES	0.999	$2,201	— (SELL)
Apr 27, 12:59 AM	Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5	BUY YES	0.909	$2,003	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 06:14 PM	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	SELL YES	0.440	$1,073	— (SELL)
Apr 26, 04:17 PM	Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Emilio Nava	SELL YES	0.999	$1,801	— (SELL)
Apr 26, 01:31 PM	Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti	SELL YES	0.999	$2,314	— (SELL)
Apr 26, 01:18 PM	Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti	BUY YES	0.860	$1,992	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 09:53 PM	Thunder vs. Suns	SELL YES	0.994	$2,713	— (SELL)
Apr 25, 03:55 PM	Madrid Open: Mariano Navone vs Alexander Zverev	SELL YES	0.999	$2,720	— (SELL)
Apr 25, 02:43 PM	Madrid Open: Mariano Navone vs Alexander Zverev	BUY YES	0.919	$2,501	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 22, 03:25 AM	Rockets vs. Lakers	SELL YES	0.520	$1,560	— (SELL)
Apr 20, 02:06 AM	0x66ecdb09	BUY	0.504	$1,700	—
Apr 19, 10:44 PM	0x26f8bdec	BUY	0.675	$4,198	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 08:52 PM	0xde93fe05	SELL	0.992	$4,240	— (SELL)
Apr 19, 07:29 PM	0xde93fe05	BUY	0.910	$3,890	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 03:09 AM	0x620f2c52	SELL	0.989	$2,162	— (SELL)
Apr 19, 02:46 AM	0xe9b33ab4	SELL YES	0.999	$1,702	— (SELL)
Apr 18, 10:09 PM	0x22138ac9	SELL	0.999	$2,994	— (SELL)
Apr 18, 04:09 PM	0xfda9c206	BUY YES	0.280	$2,106	Conviction tier
Apr 18, 04:02 PM	Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils	SELL	0.999	$2,755	— (SELL)
Apr 18, 02:28 PM	Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils	BUY	0.560	$1,544	—
Apr 18, 01:41 PM	Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovic	SELL	0.999	$1,565	— (SELL)
Apr 18, 01:53 AM	0x6930e1f8	BUY	0.440	$2,065	—
Apr 17, 11:57 PM	0x1132ea2c	BUY	0.320	$2,950	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 17, 08:43 PM	1854125	SELL YES	0.999	$1,012	— (SELL)
Apr 17, 08:06 PM	Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez	SELL	0.780	$1,142	— (SELL)
Apr 17, 03:27 PM	Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti	SELL	0.999	$3,044	— (SELL)
Apr 17, 03:21 PM	Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	0.820	$1,989	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 02:27 AM	0xa6a56777	SELL YES	0.999	$1,619	— (SELL)
Apr 16, 04:43 AM	0x6263524a	SELL	0.920	$1,026	— (SELL)
Apr 16, 04:38 AM	0x6263524a	SELL	0.530	$1,574	— (SELL)
Apr 16, 04:35 AM	0x6263524a	SELL	0.328	$4,125	— (SELL)
Apr 16, 02:16 AM	0x6263524a	BUY	0.340	$1,480	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 16, 02:11 AM	0x92131350	SELL	0.990	$2,512	— (SELL)
Apr 16, 01:55 AM	0x92131350	SELL	0.850	$1,005	— (SELL)
Apr 15, 09:16 PM	0x92131350	BUY	0.530	$1,971	—
Apr 15, 05:17 AM	Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	0.740	$1,987	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 02:49 AM	0x5ba196c0	BUY	0.559	$2,960	—
Apr 15, 02:22 AM	0xc686833b	SELL	0.999	$1,301	— (SELL)
Apr 15, 01:37 AM	0xc686833b	SELL	0.540	$1,706	— (SELL)
Apr 13, 12:55 AM	0xb1a0c0e3	BUY	0.655	$1,161	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 12:49 AM	0x14267ebb	SELL	0.580	$1,129	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 11:41 PM	0x7aea2611	BUY	0.880	$1,213	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 11:40 PM	0x3dd381b1	SELL	0.980	$1,218	— (SELL)
Apr 11, 04:44 AM	0x0d192797	SELL	0.999	$3,643	— (SELL)
Apr 11, 03:04 AM	0x0d192797	BUY	0.784	$1,988	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 02:11 AM	0x08eaeed0	SELL	0.999	$1,116	— (SELL)
Apr 10, 01:19 AM	0xbc3ffae8	SELL	0.999	$1,620	— (SELL)
Apr 9, 07:24 PM	0xe7766687	SELL	0.999	$1,020	— (SELL)
Apr 9, 02:16 PM	0x662a1098	SELL	0.999	$1,477	— (SELL)
Apr 8, 05:21 AM	0xa1bf9e96	BUY	0.700	$1,005	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 05:15 AM	0x7597b119	SELL	0.750	$1,527	— (SELL)
Apr 8, 03:14 AM	0x77a7cc74	SELL	0.999	$2,319	— (SELL)
Apr 8, 01:43 AM	0x77a7cc74	BUY	0.620	$1,439	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 01:42 AM	0x250b35b0	SELL	0.999	$1,455	— (SELL)
Apr 7, 02:38 PM	0xb90b14ff	SELL	0.999	$1,456	— (SELL)
Apr 7, 11:29 AM	0x4150869f	SELL	0.999	$1,047	— (SELL)
Apr 7, 03:51 AM	0x035d5903	SELL	0.999	$3,047	— (SELL)
Apr 7, 03:29 AM	0x035d5903	SELL	0.640	$1,344	— (SELL)
Apr 7, 02:47 AM	0x035d5903	BUY	0.190	$1,952	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 7, 02:29 AM	0x3eb33507	SELL	0.999	$2,410	— (SELL)
Apr 7, 01:33 AM	0x3eb33507	BUY	0.820	$1,978	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 01:32 AM	0x886e32ed	SELL	0.990	$1,989	— (SELL)
Apr 6, 04:38 AM	0x73ade848	SELL	0.999	$2,034	— (SELL)
Apr 6, 12:18 AM	0x00e5c807	SELL	0.999	$1,120	— (SELL)
Apr 5, 09:56 PM	0x7f5459af	SELL	0.999	$2,037	— (SELL)
Apr 5, 09:19 PM	0x7f5459af	BUY	0.830	$1,692	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 06:33 PM	0xd7bff0ed	SELL	0.999	$1,933	— (SELL)
Apr 5, 04:45 PM	0xd7bff0ed	BUY	0.770	$1,490	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 04:08 AM	0xc4ab290e	BUY	0.740	$1,489	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 02:42 AM	0xbbaecb9c	SELL	0.999	$2,522	— (SELL)
Apr 4, 01:34 AM	0xbbaecb9c	BUY	0.810	$2,045	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 01:26 AM	0x2b5d41cb	SELL	0.999	$2,057	— (SELL)
Apr 3, 10:57 PM	0x1b9cb69b	SELL	0.999	$1,088	— (SELL)
Apr 3, 04:27 AM	0x8dcf8d4a	SELL	0.999	$1,257	— (SELL)
Apr 3, 04:27 AM	0xf8f1cb66	SELL	0.999	$1,418	— (SELL)
Apr 3, 01:46 AM	1742598	SELL	0.999	$1,106	— (SELL)
Apr 2, 11:44 PM	0xf5e9b03f	SELL	0.999	$1,655	— (SELL)
Apr 2, 09:35 PM	0xf5e9b03f	BUY	0.780	$1,292	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 07:29 PM	1820802	SELL	0.999	$1,221	— (SELL)
Apr 2, 05:11 PM	0x98b4e238	BUY	0.830	$1,014	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 02:37 AM	0xf132bde3	SELL	0.999	$1,645	— (SELL)
Mar 31, 04:23 AM	0x26bcc867	SELL	0.930	$2,662	— (SELL)
Mar 31, 04:09 AM	0x26bcc867	BUY	0.694	$1,987	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 04:06 AM	0xcd98dd4f	SELL	0.999	$1,625	— (SELL)
Mar 31, 02:08 AM	0xcd98dd4f	BUY	0.920	$1,497	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 02:07 AM	0x3ac06469	SELL	0.999	$1,480	— (SELL)
Mar 31, 12:56 AM	0x3ac06469	BUY	0.807	$1,195	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 10:57 PM	0xb103b729	BUY	0.890	$1,095	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 07:03 PM	0x261b1f59	SELL	0.999	$2,123	— (SELL)
Mar 30, 06:56 PM	0x261b1f59	BUY	0.940	$2,001	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 05:27 PM	0x4b6d8c06	SELL	0.999	$2,122	— (SELL)
Mar 30, 05:11 PM	0x4b6d8c06	BUY	0.940	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 01:51 PM	0x5f03ba31	SELL	0.999	$1,549	— (SELL)
Mar 30, 04:22 AM	0xc41ada61	SELL	0.982	$2,108	— (SELL)
Mar 30, 04:20 AM	0xc41ada61	BUY	0.950	$2,039	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 03:11 AM	0xc41ada61	SELL	0.390	$1,041	— (SELL)
Mar 30, 02:10 AM	0xb7127680	SELL	0.999	$1,700	— (SELL)
Mar 30, 01:44 AM	0xb7127680	BUY	0.940	$1,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 12:52 AM	0xbaf52c12	SELL	0.993	$2,786	— (SELL)
Mar 29, 11:27 PM	0xbaf52c12	BUY	0.641	$1,800	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 11:12 PM	0xdf99b426	SELL	0.990	$1,806	— (SELL)
Mar 29, 11:03 PM	0xdf99b426	BUY	0.674	$1,229	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 09:26 PM	0xdf99b426	BUY	0.851	$1,800	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 08:47 PM	0xc7a94956	SELL	0.999	$1,955	— (SELL)
Mar 29, 08:42 PM	0xc7a94956	BUY	0.920	$1,800	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 07:05 PM	0x650f20c9	SELL	0.999	$2,126	— (SELL)
Mar 29, 07:01 PM	0x650f20c9	BUY	0.940	$2,001	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 06:22 PM	0x1d644b4a	SELL	0.999	$1,399	— (SELL)
Mar 29, 06:04 PM	0x1d644b4a	BUY	0.890	$1,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 03:04 AM	0x63665cf0	SELL	0.996	$3,178	— (SELL)
Mar 29, 02:42 AM	0x63665cf0	BUY	0.969	$3,091	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 01:51 AM	0x2d735c86	SELL	0.999	$2,154	— (SELL)
Mar 29, 01:26 AM	0x2d735c86	BUY	0.931	$2,007	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 04:57 AM	0x3f7345b9	SELL	0.999	$3,898	— (SELL)
Mar 28, 04:28 AM	0x3f7345b9	BUY	0.861	$1,277	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 04:23 AM	0x3f7345b9	BUY	0.886	$2,144	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 03:03 AM	0x7f56185e	SELL	0.999	$1,314	— (SELL)
Mar 28, 01:55 AM	0x2453ea84	SELL	0.999	$1,491	— (SELL)
Mar 27, 09:58 PM	0x68120254	BUY	0.820	$1,001	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 12:59 AM	0xf1626aef	SELL	0.979	$3,660	— (SELL)
Mar 27, 12:51 AM	0xf1626aef	BUY	0.800	$2,001	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 04:43 AM	0xf5154d98	SELL	0.999	$2,115	— (SELL)
Mar 26, 01:55 AM	0xf5154d98	BUY	0.840	$1,778	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 12:31 AM	0xb1a26df9	SELL	0.999	$1,176	— (SELL)
Mar 25, 11:34 PM	0xb1a26df9	BUY	0.850	$1,001	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 03:52 AM	0x03f48ac7	SELL	0.999	$1,952	— (SELL)
Mar 25, 12:41 AM	0x03f48ac7	BUY	0.870	$1,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 04:32 AM	0xd08e40d2	SELL	0.999	$1,303	— (SELL)
Mar 24, 03:55 AM	0xd08e40d2	BUY	0.920	$1,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 12:53 AM	0x4f772e06	SELL	0.999	$1,747	— (SELL)
Mar 23, 10:42 PM	0xabb64505	SELL	0.999	$1,792	— (SELL)
Mar 23, 06:45 PM	0x4f772e06	BUY	0.858	$1,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 06:45 PM	0xabb64505	BUY	0.840	$1,507	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 06:31 PM	0x9d55b413	SELL	0.999	$3,407	— (SELL)
Mar 23, 04:46 PM	0x9d55b413	BUY	0.884	$3,015	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 03:01 AM	0x56947b14	SELL	0.999	$3,407	— (SELL)
Mar 23, 02:29 AM	0x56947b14	BUY	0.883	$3,013	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 02:06 AM	0x56947b14	SELL	0.770	$2,204	— (SELL)
Mar 23, 01:39 AM	0x56947b14	BUY	0.710	$1,500	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

92 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
0x56947b14	—	4	$10.1K	$-1,098
0x6263524a	—	4	$8,205	$-5,245
0xde93fe05	—	2	$8,130	$-351
0x3f7345b9	—	3	$7,319	$-477
0x9d55b413	—	2	$6,422	$-392
0x035d5903	—	3	$6,343	$-2,439
0x63665cf0	—	2	$6,269	$-88
0xf1626aef	—	2	$5,661	$-1,659
0x0d192797	—	2	$5,631	$-1,655
0x92131350	—	3	$5,488	$-1,545
Madrid Open: Mariano Navone vs Alexander Zverev	Other	2	$5,221	$-218
0xc41ada61	—	3	$5,187	$-1,109
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti	Other	2	$5,034	$-1,055
0xdf99b426	—	3	$4,835	+$1,223
0x26bcc867	—	2	$4,649	$-675
0xbaf52c12	—	2	$4,586	$-986
0xbbaecb9c	—	2	$4,568	$-477
0x3eb33507	—	2	$4,388	$-432
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti	Other	2	$4,306	$-322
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils	Other	2	$4,299	$-1,211
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5	Other	2	$4,204	$-198
0x26f8bdec	—	1	$4,198	+$4,198
0x2d735c86	—	2	$4,161	$-147
0x650f20c9	—	2	$4,127	$-126
0x261b1f59	—	2	$4,123	$-122
0x4b6d8c06	—	2	$4,122	$-122
0xf5154d98	—	2	$3,893	$-337
0x77a7cc74	—	2	$3,759	$-880
0xc7a94956	—	2	$3,755	$-155
0x7f5459af	—	2	$3,729	$-345

Showing top 30 by volume.