TimRob

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xb7ef…812c with our methodology badges per row.

0xb7ef580a13f0463561170074bece5fb7bbd3812c·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

-63%

historical realized

Win rate

35.1%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$246.4K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 94 resolved trades · -63% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$523.8K

avg $2,619 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$222.5K / $301.3K

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jun 13, 07:11 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.990	$18.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:29 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	BUY NO	0.999	$8,752	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 05:43 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?	SELL NO	0.996	$1,195	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 04:50 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?	SELL NO	0.995	$1,204	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 03:56 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?	SELL NO	0.980	$1,823	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 03:38 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?	SELL NO	0.980	$1,036	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 03:27 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.987	$4,935	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 03:20 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?	SELL NO	0.984	$1,489	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 11:26 AM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?	BUY NO	0.946	$1,187	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 06:32 AM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?	SELL NO	0.948	$2,847	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 09:25 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.971	$2,547	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 09:45 AM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June?	BUY NO	0.791	$2,232	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:18 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.981	$1,845	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 01:23 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.980	$1,960	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 12:06 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.980	$5,880	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:10 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.920	$1,910	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 08:04 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?	BUY NO	0.951	$1,006	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 04:03 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.950	$2,375	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 02:07 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.950	$2,850	— (SELL)
Jun 7, 08:02 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.950	$2,850	— (SELL)
Jun 7, 07:21 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.984	$2,212	— (SELL)
Jun 7, 07:05 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.986	$3,500	— (SELL)
Jun 5, 06:13 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?	BUY NO	0.971	$1,467	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 06:13 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?	BUY NO	0.969	$1,754	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 03:03 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.985	$2,678	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 09:31 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.900	$1,350	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 06:47 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.969	$1,708	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 06:39 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.950	$1,815	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 01:49 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.759	$2,278	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 01:46 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.727	$1,414	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 10:23 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.850	$1,104	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 10:20 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.850	$3,570	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 01:58 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.970	$3,111	— (SELL)
May 29, 01:58 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.970	$3,111	— (SELL)
May 27, 10:38 AM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?	BUY NO	0.940	$3,133	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 01:19 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	SELL YES	0.988	$1,061	— (SELL)
May 23, 06:30 PM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 02:39 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.910	$1,169	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 09:05 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.967	$3,223	— (SELL)
May 22, 02:39 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	BUY NO	0.850	$1,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 02:35 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?	BUY NO	0.899	$1,018	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 02:35 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	BUY NO	0.830	$1,640	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 01:18 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.960	$4,800	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 08:38 AM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	SELL YES	0.390	$1,701	— (SELL)
May 20, 07:45 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.950	$2,279	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 10:29 PM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BUY NO	0.740	$2,812	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 10:29 PM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	SELL YES	0.730	$1,460	— (SELL)
May 19, 05:29 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	BUY NO	0.810	$1,620	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 02:48 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.880	$1,056	— (SELL)
May 15, 08:31 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.870	$1,740	— (SELL)
May 15, 07:56 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.880	$1,760	— (SELL)
May 15, 02:10 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	SELL YES	0.520	$1,040	— (SELL)
May 14, 08:26 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	BUY YES	0.950	$1,900	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 06:19 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	SELL NO	0.810	$1,412	— (SELL)
May 14, 01:41 PM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	BUY YES	0.410	$1,155	—
May 14, 11:09 AM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	BUY YES	0.460	$1,380	—
May 13, 12:02 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.870	$1,456	— (SELL)
May 13, 02:14 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.750	$1,667	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 10:54 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.960	$2,400	— (SELL)
May 10, 09:56 PM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	SELL NO	0.741	$1,402	— (SELL)
May 10, 04:34 AM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.710	$1,420	— (SELL)
May 10, 04:26 AM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	SELL YES	0.500	$1,001	— (SELL)
May 8, 02:40 PM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in May?	BUY NO	0.766	$1,007	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 02:29 PM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	BUY NO	0.669	$1,150	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 12:51 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.930	$3,739	— (SELL)
May 8, 12:50 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.880	$3,015	— (SELL)
May 7, 10:01 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.850	$1,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 04:51 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.961	$5,256	— (SELL)
May 7, 03:30 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.961	$1,922	— (SELL)
May 7, 02:48 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.870	$2,610	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 02:40 PM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $660 in May?	SELL NO	0.950	$1,571	— (SELL)
May 7, 02:37 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.870	$1,305	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 6, 10:43 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.910	$1,456	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 6, 03:13 PM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	SELL YES	0.650	$1,331	— (SELL)
May 2, 11:40 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.959	$11.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 11:40 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.940	$1,880	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 06:59 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	SELL NO	0.910	$1,820	— (SELL)
Apr 30, 06:34 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	SELL NO	0.910	$1,540	— (SELL)
Apr 30, 05:49 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	SELL NO	0.920	$1,645	— (SELL)
Apr 30, 01:02 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	BUY NO	0.910	$1,092	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 02:44 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	BUY YES	0.760	$1,325	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 04:00 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	SELL NO	0.996	$1,484	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 03:59 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	SELL NO	0.997	$4,566	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 03:57 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	SELL NO	0.956	$3,360	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 03:50 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	BUY NO	0.964	$1,698	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 01:42 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	SELL YES	0.960	$1,073	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 01:39 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	BUY YES	0.937	$1,728	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 09:35 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	BUY NO	0.990	$1,941	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 08:21 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.880	$1,925	— (SELL)
Apr 28, 10:07 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	SELL NO	0.870	$1,087	— (SELL)
Apr 28, 04:26 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	SELL NO	0.665	$1,099	— (SELL)
Apr 27, 02:04 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,023	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 02:01 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,148	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 02:00 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,148	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 01:22 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	SELL NO	0.997	$9,922	— (SELL)
Apr 25, 10:09 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	BUY NO	0.760	$1,147	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 08:44 PM	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27?	SELL NO	0.983	$2,917	— (SELL)
Apr 25, 03:49 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	SELL NO	0.981	$3,229	— (SELL)
Apr 22, 01:29 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	BUY NO	0.981	$1,617	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 10:50 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	SELL NO	0.880	$1,364	— (SELL)
Apr 21, 08:11 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	BUY NO	0.956	$4,448	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 08:11 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	BUY NO	0.876	$2,695	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 07:41 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	SELL NO	0.975	$2,925	— (SELL)
Apr 21, 07:41 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	SELL NO	0.975	$1,163	— (SELL)
Apr 21, 07:37 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	BUY NO	0.969	$1,938	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 03:41 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	SELL NO	0.971	$3,771	— (SELL)
Apr 20, 02:51 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	SELL NO	0.979	$1,624	— (SELL)
Apr 19, 07:24 PM	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	SELL YES	0.968	$2,181	— (SELL)
Apr 18, 11:05 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	BUY NO	0.969	$1,270	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 02:30 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	BUY NO	0.964	$1,069	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 02:29 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	BUY NO	0.964	$1,069	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 01:20 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	SELL NO	0.986	$4,930	— (SELL)
Apr 18, 01:19 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	SELL NO	0.986	$1,182	— (SELL)
Apr 18, 01:19 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	SELL NO	0.986	$2,037	— (SELL)
Apr 18, 01:19 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	SELL NO	0.987	$1,007	— (SELL)
Apr 18, 01:15 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	SELL NO	0.952	$2,567	— (SELL)
Apr 18, 01:14 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	SELL NO	0.952	$2,567	— (SELL)
Apr 18, 01:14 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	SELL NO	0.915	$1,245	— (SELL)
Apr 17, 06:27 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	BUY NO	0.957	$1,173	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 02:22 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	BUY NO	0.984	$1,159	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 01:54 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	BUY NO	0.970	$1,938	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 01:40 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	BUY NO	0.985	$2,272	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 01:31 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	BUY NO	0.981	$1,352	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 01:31 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	SELL NO	0.992	$2,932	— (SELL)
Apr 17, 01:19 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	BUY NO	0.976	$1,403	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 01:19 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	BUY NO	0.988	$2,963	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 01:18 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	BUY NO	0.985	$6,117	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 02:30 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	SELL NO	0.977	$3,743	— (SELL)
Apr 15, 02:40 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	SELL NO	0.987	$9,281	— (SELL)
Apr 15, 11:48 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	BUY NO	0.981	$3,647	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 07:55 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	SELL NO	0.969	$1,337	— (SELL)
Apr 14, 04:49 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	BUY NO	0.960	$2,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 03:02 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	BUY NO	0.976	$1,638	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 09:16 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	BUY NO	0.955	$1,033	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 04:25 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	BUY NO	0.973	$1,458	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 04:23 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	BUY NO	0.973	$1,199	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 03:14 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	SELL NO	0.949	$2,748	— (SELL)
Apr 13, 03:08 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	SELL NO	0.925	$1,249	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 07:30 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	SELL NO	0.920	$1,032	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 01:39 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	SELL NO	0.980	$3,955	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 01:34 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	SELL NO	0.981	$9,668	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 01:34 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	SELL NO	0.972	$5,417	— (SELL)
Apr 11, 04:42 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	BUY NO	0.979	$11.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 01:51 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	SELL NO	0.947	$2,321	— (SELL)
Apr 10, 02:45 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	SELL NO	0.986	$2,320	— (SELL)
Apr 10, 01:58 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	SELL NO	0.985	$1,721	— (SELL)
Apr 10, 01:46 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	SELL NO	0.984	$2,093	— (SELL)
Apr 9, 06:39 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	SELL NO	0.977	$1,784	— (SELL)
Apr 8, 05:45 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	BUY NO	0.976	$6,133	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 02:25 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	SELL NO	0.988	$2,286	— (SELL)
Apr 8, 07:06 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	SELL NO	0.989	$4,058	— (SELL)
Apr 8, 07:05 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	SELL NO	0.989	$5,942	— (SELL)
Apr 7, 11:28 PM	0x0de3f76f	BUY YES	0.993	$1,986	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:14 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	BUY NO	0.935	$1,169	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 05:24 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	SELL NO	0.936	$1,716	— (SELL)
Apr 7, 04:45 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	SELL NO	0.900	$1,809	— (SELL)
Apr 7, 04:43 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	SELL NO	0.903	$1,651	— (SELL)
Apr 6, 03:33 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	SELL NO	0.939	$1,033	— (SELL)
Apr 6, 01:21 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	SELL NO	0.920	$1,380	— (SELL)
Apr 6, 01:13 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	SELL NO	0.920	$1,380	— (SELL)
Apr 6, 07:24 AM	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	SELL YES	0.690	$1,518	— (SELL)
Apr 6, 06:40 AM	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	SELL YES	0.700	$1,245	— (SELL)
Apr 6, 02:13 AM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	SELL NO	0.846	$5,200	— (SELL)
Apr 3, 09:33 PM	0x4c5701bc	SELL NO	0.987	$1,481	— (SELL)
Apr 3, 04:10 PM	0x4c5701bc	SELL NO	0.988	$1,555	— (SELL)
Apr 3, 03:30 PM	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL YES	0.870	$1,729	— (SELL)
Apr 3, 03:29 PM	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL YES	0.870	$1,751	— (SELL)
Apr 3, 01:46 PM	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY YES	0.830	$1,660	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 10:49 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.910	$1,071	— (SELL)
Apr 2, 10:17 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	SELL NO	0.967	$1,277	— (SELL)
Apr 2, 10:16 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	SELL NO	0.968	$1,846	— (SELL)
Apr 2, 10:08 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.910	$1,071	— (SELL)
Apr 2, 09:56 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	SELL NO	0.985	$1,570	— (SELL)
Apr 2, 09:52 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	SELL NO	0.985	$1,970	— (SELL)
Apr 2, 09:52 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	SELL NO	0.985	$7,880	— (SELL)
Apr 2, 09:39 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	SELL NO	0.970	$1,058	— (SELL)
Apr 2, 02:11 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.900	$2,110	— (SELL)
Apr 2, 01:17 AM	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	SELL YES	0.800	$1,137	— (SELL)
Apr 1, 06:59 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	BUY NO	0.970	$1,193	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 06:35 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	BUY NO	0.978	$10.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 06:28 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.910	$1,011	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 06:28 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.910	$2,022	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 05:55 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.870	$2,040	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 07:13 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	BUY NO	0.960	$1,054	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 06:24 PM	0xf6890c70	SELL NO	0.998	$5,438	— (SELL)
Mar 31, 06:21 PM	0xf6890c70	BUY NO	0.997	$4,985	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 05:56 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.760	$1,223	— (SELL)
Mar 31, 05:41 PM	0x814657a1	SELL NO	0.998	$2,751	— (SELL)
Mar 31, 05:40 PM	0xf64f880b	SELL NO	0.999	$8,991	— (SELL)
Mar 31, 04:39 PM	0x814657a1	BUY NO	0.987	$2,344	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 04:35 PM	0xf64f880b	BUY NO	0.997	$1,859	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 02:54 PM	0xf963ec4b	SELL NO	0.998	$16.5K	— (SELL)
Mar 31, 09:26 AM	0xf64f880b	BUY NO	0.995	$4,274	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 12:46 AM	0xf64f880b	BUY NO	0.984	$3,354	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 12:39 AM	0xf963ec4b	BUY NO	0.995	$1,408	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 11:54 PM	0xf64f880b	BUY NO	0.979	$1,290	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 11:08 PM	0xf64f880b	SELL NO	0.984	$3,538	— (SELL)
Mar 30, 08:37 PM	0xf64f880b	SELL NO	0.983	$5,057	— (SELL)
Mar 30, 07:11 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.870	$2,897	— (SELL)
Mar 30, 04:53 PM	0xf64f880b	BUY NO	0.984	$1,181	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

51 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Other	19	$59.3K	+$12.6K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Other	15	$56.3K	$-12,828
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Other	11	$41.2K	$-18,526
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Other	13	$31.8K	$-3,144
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Other	12	$30.5K	$-2,194
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Other	13	$30.0K	$-17,087
0xf64f880b	—	8	$29.5K	$-5,628
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Other	9	$28.8K	$-463
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Other	11	$27.4K	$-8,186
0xf963ec4b	—	2	$17.9K	$-15,098
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	Tech	5	$14.8K	+$12.6K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Other	5	$14.7K	$-1,976
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Other	6	$14.6K	$-1,585
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?	Tech	7	$12.4K	$-2,038
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Other	6	$11.5K	$-401
0xf6890c70	—	2	$10.4K	$-453
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Other	4	$6,097	$-3,913
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?	Tech	4	$5,340	+$542
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Tech	1	$5,200	$-5,200
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Other	3	$5,140	$-1,820
0x814657a1	—	2	$5,095	$-407
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Politics	3	$3,900	$-3,900
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Other	2	$3,692	+$3,692
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Other	2	$3,260	$-560
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Tech	2	$3,081	$-321
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Other	2	$3,078	+$255
0x4c5701bc	—	2	$3,035	$-3,035
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Other	2	$2,970	+$906
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	Other	2	$2,940	+$860
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27?	Other	1	$2,917	$-2,917

Showing top 30 by volume.