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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xb63a…9ac3 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
9
lifetime
PnL per $
-41%
historical realized
Win rate
28.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$129.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 9 resolved trades · -41% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
9
Distinct markets
4
Volume (90d)
$129.6K
avg $14.4K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$53.1K / $76.5K
net direction
Recent trades
last 9 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 03:47 AM | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY YES | 0.810 | $8,100 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 03:27 AM | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY YES | 0.810 | $8,100 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 03:15 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $38.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 05:02 PM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.460 | $17.5K | — |
| Jun 12, 04:16 AM | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $28.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 09:13 PM | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.380 | $9,500 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 09:08 PM | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $9,890 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 08:56 PM | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.370 | $1,369 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 07:20 PM | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.860 | $8,514 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
4 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Other | 2 | $55.4K | $-20,482 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Other | 3 | $39.5K | $-17,802 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Other | 2 | $18.4K | $-1,376 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Other | 2 | $16.2K | +$16.2K |