Back to whale feed

MiLive

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xb17e…22be with our methodology badges per row.

0xb17edd2dd1a681526b21ea6689170cc4a07222be·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
83
lifetime
PnL per $
-15%
historical realized
Win rate
77.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$233.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 83 resolved trades · -15% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
165
Distinct markets
134
Volume (90d)
$438.0K
avg $2,654 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$408.4K / $29.6K
net direction

Recent trades

last 165 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 21, 01:55 AMWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?BUY YES0.973$5,407Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:52 AMWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?SELL YES0.840$1,866— (SELL)
Jun 21, 01:51 AMWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?BUY YES0.770$1,711Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:29 PMWill Málaga CF win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.910$1,011Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:51 PMCôte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?BUY YES0.990$1,273Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 02:37 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?SELL YES0.993$4,411— (SELL)
Jun 13, 01:55 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.985$12.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:57 PMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?BUY YES0.984$7,652Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:35 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?SELL YES0.550$1,222— (SELL)
Jun 12, 08:34 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.550$1,222
Jun 12, 08:29 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?SELL YES0.530$1,178— (SELL)
Jun 12, 08:20 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?SELL YES0.490$1,089— (SELL)
Jun 12, 08:18 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.470$1,044
Jun 12, 03:55 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.990$2,320Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 03:55 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?SELL YES0.960$1,067— (SELL)
Jun 12, 03:50 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.920$1,022Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 03:31 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?SELL NO0.750$1,061— (SELL)
Jun 6, 07:56 PMWill Luxembourg win on 2026-06-06?BUY YES0.990$1,049Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 04:24 PMWill Tajikistan win on 2026-06-05?BUY YES0.990$1,691Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 08:54 PMWill Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw?BUY YES0.988$1,485Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 05:55 PMWill Slovenia vs. Cyprus end in a draw?BUY YES0.990$4,400Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 11:54 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.999$2,997Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 08:36 PMWill Italy win on 2026-06-03?BUY YES0.988$5,490Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 06:01 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY YES0.990$3,300Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 06:01 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY YES0.990$3,300Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 07:35 PMWill US Catanzaro 1929 win on 2026-05-29?SELL YES0.720$1,090— (SELL)
May 29, 07:31 PMWill US Catanzaro 1929 win on 2026-05-29?BUY YES0.720$1,320Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 08:50 PMWill Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24?BUY YES0.997$11.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 08:50 PMWill Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24?BUY YES0.941$7,316Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 02:50 PMWill Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-24?BUY YES0.900$2,911Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 02:37 PMWill Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?SELL YES0.562$1,925— (SELL)
May 24, 12:00 AMWill Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-23?BUY YES0.990$1,061Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 08:56 PMWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?BUY YES0.990$3,298Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 08:56 PMWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?BUY YES0.969$1,062Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 01:35 PMWill Henan FC win on 2026-05-23?BUY YES0.986$1,112Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 09:09 PMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?BUY YES0.990$3,651Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 09:09 PMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?BUY YES0.990$3,300Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 07:00 PMWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17?BUY NO0.999$1,009Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 02:23 PMWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.890$2,620Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 02:16 PMWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.895$1,412Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 06:27 PMWill Burgos CF win on 2026-05-16?BUY YES0.983$3,313Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 06:00 PMWill Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16?BUY NO0.999$1,829Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 04:26 PMWill Moreirense FC vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?BUY YES0.986$3,083Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 08:45 PMWill AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?SELL YES0.500$1,250— (SELL)
May 15, 08:41 PMWill AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?BUY YES0.823$3,480Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 08:40 PMWill AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?BUY YES0.797$2,657Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 03:07 AMWill CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-14?BUY YES0.990$1,151Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 09:18 PMWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?SELL YES0.890$4,944— (SELL)
May 13, 09:18 PMWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?BUY YES0.890$4,944Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 06:49 PMWill RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?BUY YES0.980$1,663Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 06:08 PMWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?SELL NO0.660$3,666— (SELL)
May 12, 09:00 PMWill Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?BUY YES0.990$1,505Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 08:25 PMClub Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?BUY YES0.999$1,778Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 06:16 PMWill Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?BUY YES0.990$2,562Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 08:45 PMWill Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.999$2,126Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 04:12 PMWill Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.988$2,813Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 03:24 PMWill Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.987$1,791Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 03:59 PMWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?BUY YES0.990$2,297Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 01:36 PMWill Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-09?SELL YES0.370$1,668— (SELL)
May 9, 01:35 PMWill Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-09?BUY YES0.399$1,786Killed band — neutral expectation
May 8, 08:59 PMWill Levante UD win on 2026-05-08?BUY YES0.990$5,499Above conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 07:53 PM0x6d12f469BUY YES0.990$1,495Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 05:33 PMWill Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-03?BUY YES0.987$1,237Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 04:40 PMWill Sparta Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?BUY YES0.983$3,278Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 04:26 PMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?BUY YES0.990$5,497Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 03:46 PMManchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.999$1,204Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 05:20 AMWill CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-02?BUY YES0.988$1,142Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 09:00 PMWill OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?BUY YES0.977$3,257Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 06:53 PMWill AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-02?BUY YES0.987$5,484Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 05:55 AMWill Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-01?BUY YES0.990$1,062Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 09:13 PMWill Sporting CP vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?BUY YES0.984$3,280Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 07:53 PMWill Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?BUY YES0.987$1,540Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 08:37 PMWill Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?BUY YES0.999$4,995Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 05:17 AMSpread: Nuggets (-11.5)BUY YES0.802$1,771Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 03:53 AMGolden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5BUY YES0.999$1,322Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 08:43 PMWill AC Milan vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?BUY YES0.990$2,594Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 05:11 PMWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-26?SELL YES0.932$1,780— (SELL)
Apr 26, 02:55 AMPenguins vs. FlyersBUY YES0.989$1,276Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 01:57 AMWill São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-25?BUY YES0.990$1,280Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 12:47 AMStars vs. WildBUY YES0.542$1,713
Apr 25, 03:57 PMWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?BUY YES0.981$5,202Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 03:23 PMWill FC Augsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?BUY YES0.982$2,181Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 02:58 PMWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?BUY YES0.999$1,269Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 02:58 PMWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?BUY YES0.999$5,549Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 04:14 AMGolden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 6.5BUY YES0.990$1,527Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 08:08 PMWill Como 1907 win on 2026-04-21?BUY YES0.530$2,903
Apr 21, 08:08 PMWill Como 1907 win on 2026-04-21?BUY YES0.530$5,806
Apr 21, 08:08 PMWill Como 1907 win on 2026-04-21?BUY YES0.530$2,903
Apr 21, 08:08 PMWill Como 1907 win on 2026-04-21?BUY YES0.522$2,859
Apr 21, 08:08 PMWill Como 1907 win on 2026-04-21?BUY YES0.520$2,847
Apr 20, 03:39 AM0x50f32469BUY0.933$1,034Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 12:41 AM0xf057cd17BUY0.998$2,147Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 11:07 PM0xb9794ba9BUY0.600$1,976
Apr 19, 05:13 PM0xceb36faeBUY YES0.984$1,092Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 03:55 PM0x036e8f41BUY0.983$2,182Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 03:01 PM0xcc02ec80BUY YES0.990$5,498Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 08:42 PM0x7bc3335eBUY0.999$1,110Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 08:36 PM0x767abcdfSELL0.800$1,389— (SELL)
Apr 16, 02:03 AM0x5e01517eBUY0.989$3,751Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 08:41 PM0xeacb4303BUY0.999$1,110Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 08:41 PM0xeacb4303BUY0.999$2,220Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 08:40 PM0x29880c68BUY YES0.999$5,549Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 08:40 PM0x29880c68BUY YES0.994$7,732Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 07:01 PM0x1082aed1BUY YES0.990$1,218Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 03:30 PM0x16f15fb5BUY0.999$5,318Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 03:28 PM0x25bc4a8bBUY YES0.999$3,330Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 03:01 PM0x9c1aa909BUY YES0.980$2,443Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 03:13 AM0xfb5e93e7BUY0.973$1,048Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 11:42 PM0x43ee03b7BUY0.998$1,213Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 11:28 PM0x805cc978BUY0.997$1,141Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 09:02 PM0xb973b6f9BUY YES0.999$1,956Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 08:57 PM0xe4c90afaBUY YES0.998$1,892Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 07:22 PM0x67fdea44BUY0.880$2,213Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 04:47 PM0x3c91b726BUY YES0.690$4,859Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 03:53 PM0x9cce96c2BUY0.990$2,660Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 03:26 PM0x16c53162BUY0.999$1,344Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 01:29 AM0x81d58bafBUY0.990$1,115Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 01:29 AM0x81d58bafBUY0.988$1,335Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 08:09 PM0x1edc9afcBUY YES0.729$3,381Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 05:46 PM0x0e9b5ac4BUY0.986$2,082Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 05:56 PM0x90b53a86BUY YES0.999$1,146Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 08:55 PM0xf63b6d89BUY NO0.999$3,329Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 08:54 PM0xf312f93bBUY0.999$8,067Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 08:53 PM0x5f5c8d8fBUY YES0.986$5,477Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 04:36 AM0xbd4a3180BUY0.989$1,948Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 12:33 AM0x9f18e0caBUY YES0.990$4,398Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 10:25 PM0x73b21062BUY YES0.999$1,243Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 09:55 PM0xbd602c5fBUY0.990$1,191Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 09:55 PM0x360074cbBUY0.988$1,844Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 07:09 PM0x93da3611BUY YES0.979$1,087Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 06:30 PM0xe16c218aBUY YES0.998$1,203Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 02:57 PM0x97ccb14aBUY YES0.998$7,761Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 01:55 PM0xf8968f8dBUY0.999$5,549Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 04:28 AM0x247d02aaBUY0.990$2,569Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 02:01 AM0xef751abaBUY YES0.990$1,614Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 07:27 PM0x225bb002BUY0.988$1,707Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 03:24 AM0x30589159BUY0.979$1,087Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 03:23 AM0x30589159BUY0.970$1,076Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 01:32 AM0x5a607d09BUY0.990$1,083Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 10:21 PM0xd90e1a2dBUY0.970$1,116Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 07:55 PM0xa96eac48BUY YES0.989$1,597Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 06:59 PM0xd9690594BUY YES0.990$2,888Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 01:47 AM0xc4217f31BUY0.999$1,087Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 08:59 PM0xe8eb3d41BUY YES0.984$1,558Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 07:20 PM0xdf8f81c4BUY0.962$6,203Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 05:56 PM0x0aa827baBUY NO0.999$1,385Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 05:29 PM0x3b5b283cBUY0.999$4,981Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 05:28 PM0x3b5b283cBUY0.999$1,576Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 03:57 PM0x09999ba3BUY YES0.999$1,822Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 10:06 PM0x06d23cbdBUY0.981$1,533Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 09:53 PM0x789abc32BUY0.870$1,173Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 09:53 PM0x789abc32BUY0.852$1,060Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 09:28 PM0x174ae344BUY0.999$1,687Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 07:12 PM0x4a2beaa8BUY0.986$1,654Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 07:11 PM0x818905adBUY YES0.990$1,292Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 02:32 AM0xf746f355BUY0.990$7,699Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 01:27 AM0x69348096BUY0.990$1,100Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 10:35 PM0x4f79d1dfBUY NO0.990$1,100Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 09:36 PM0xafb85cebBUY YES0.989$1,161Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 09:36 PM0xaf267088BUY0.966$2,539Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 02:17 AM0x2984f9b8BUY0.990$2,516Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 02:05 AM0x582c66d5BUY0.998$7,761Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 01:49 AM0x1845ee0bBUY0.988$1,161Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 02:25 AM0xabe73bd9BUY0.999$1,131Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 04:46 AM0x745a857bBUY0.990$1,100Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

134 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24?Other2$18.4K+$18.4K
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-21?Other5$17.3K+$17.3K
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Other2$17.3K+$8,493
0x29880c682$13.3K+$13.3K
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?Other2$9,888$0
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Other3$8,985+$5,252
0xf312f93b1$8,067+$8,067
0x97ccb14a1$7,761+$7,761
0x582c66d51$7,761+$7,761
0xf746f3551$7,699+$7,699
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Other1$7,652+$7,652
Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?Tech3$7,387+$4,887
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?Other2$6,951+$6,951
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?Tech2$6,818+$6,818
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Tech2$6,599+$6,599
0x3b5b283c2$6,557+$6,557
0xdf8f81c41$6,203+$6,203
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Other5$5,755$-1,222
0xf8968f8d1$5,549+$5,549
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-08?Other1$5,499+$5,499
0xcc02ec801$5,498+$5,498
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?Other1$5,497+$5,497
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?Other1$5,490+$5,490
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-02?Other1$5,484+$5,484
0x5f5c8d8f1$5,477+$5,477
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Other4$5,469+$1,215
0x16f15fb51$5,318+$5,318
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?Other1$5,202+$5,202
Will Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?Other1$4,995+$4,995
0x3c91b7261$4,859+$4,859

Showing top 30 by volume.