ohh.betAnalytics
Back to whale feed

TB14

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xae2b…90ea with our methodology badges per row.

0xae2b0aaea325a32870f56ff19df3b87acaa190ea·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
28
lifetime
PnL per $
-84%
historical realized
Win rate
9.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$107.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 28 resolved trades · -84% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
41
Distinct markets
25
Volume (90d)
$252.2K
avg $6,151 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$189.2K / $63.0K
net direction

Recent trades

last 41 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 20, 10:03 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.999$5,102— (SELL)
Jun 20, 08:32 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.392$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 05:42 PMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.930$5,626— (SELL)
Jun 13, 02:05 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.161$12.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 13, 11:57 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.161$15.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 13, 09:19 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.161$50.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 07:55 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.161$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 30, 02:34 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY YES0.390$7,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 24, 04:32 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?BUY YES0.158$1,193Killed band — neutral expectation
May 24, 04:31 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?BUY YES0.172$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 24, 04:31 PMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?BUY YES0.420$4,000—
May 24, 04:30 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?BUY YES0.186$3,588Killed band — neutral expectation
May 19, 07:23 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?BUY YES0.300$4,870Cheap band — no rep
May 17, 06:51 PMWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY YES0.153$1,100Killed band — neutral expectation
May 17, 06:50 PMWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY YES0.367$2,500Killed band — neutral expectation
May 17, 04:59 PMWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?SELL YES0.880$1,913— (SELL)
May 17, 03:59 PMWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY YES0.129$2,700Killed band — neutral expectation
May 17, 10:58 AMWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.570$1,500—
May 16, 04:02 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?BUY YES0.592$9,000—
May 16, 03:58 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?SELL YES0.999$14.0K— (SELL)
May 16, 11:54 AMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?BUY YES0.570$4,000—
May 10, 04:57 AMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.610$1,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 06:59 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?BUY YES0.570$4,000—
May 9, 06:28 PMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.600$1,500—
May 9, 06:25 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?SELL YES0.999$4,692— (SELL)
May 9, 05:33 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?BUY YES0.660$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 12:42 PMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?BUY YES0.500$2,489—
May 9, 12:09 PMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?BUY YES0.392$7,500Killed band — neutral expectation
May 4, 02:06 PMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?BUY YES0.510$2,250—
May 4, 12:12 PMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?BUY YES0.580$7,000—
May 3, 11:44 AMWill Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?BUY YES0.260$3,000Cheap band — no rep
May 3, 11:44 AMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?BUY YES0.340$7,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 28, 07:07 PMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?BUY YES0.400$1,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 28, 07:07 PMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?BUY YES0.400$1,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 21, 06:56 PMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?BUY YES0.320$2,939Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 19, 05:30 PM0x46fe7c44SELL YES0.999$20.6K— (SELL)
Apr 19, 03:08 PM0x46fe7c44BUY YES0.530$10.9K—
Apr 19, 03:07 PM0xcc02ec80SELL YES0.999$9,350— (SELL)
Apr 19, 03:06 PM0x7b4a222dSELL YES0.999$1,730— (SELL)
Apr 18, 06:38 PM0xcc02ec80BUY YES0.420$3,931—
Apr 18, 06:37 PM0xae63eb34BUY YES0.460$4,894—

Markets active in

25 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other4$80.8K+$80.8K
0x46fe7c44—2$31.5K$-9,666
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?Other3$22.0K$-6,021
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Other2$13.9K+$13.9K
0xcc02ec80—2$13.3K$-5,419
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Other2$9,250+$9,250
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?Other1$7,500+$7,500
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Other2$7,102$-3,102
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Tech1$7,000+$7,000
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?Other1$7,000+$7,000
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?Other3$6,781+$6,781
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?Other2$6,692$-2,692
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Crypto1$5,626$-5,626
0xae63eb34—1$4,894+$4,894
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?Other1$4,000+$4,000
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?Sports2$3,800+$3,800
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?Other2$3,000+$3,000
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?Other1$3,000+$3,000
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?Other1$2,939+$2,939
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?Sports1$2,500+$2,500
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?Other1$2,489+$2,489
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?Other2$2,000+$2,000
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?Other1$1,913$-1,913
0x7b4a222d—1$1,730$-1,730
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?Other1$1,500+$1,500