| Jun 13, 06:09 AM | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $3,106 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 02:52 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.998 | $17.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:40 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.975 | $3,686 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:37 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.980 | $18.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:37 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.980 | $4,388 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:37 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.980 | $3,961 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:29 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.991 | $2,345 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:27 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $20.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:26 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.989 | $3,175 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:18 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.983 | $2,935 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 01:54 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $4,950 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 12:32 AM | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $2,041 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 02:48 PM | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $4,977 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 02:28 PM | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $9,072 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 11:31 PM | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $1,461 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 05:18 PM | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $1,042 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 05:02 PM | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $2,555 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 03:51 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $7,281 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 11:46 AM | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $5,590 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 04:59 AM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? | BUY YES | 0.998 | $2,211 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 04:59 AM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? | BUY YES | 0.998 | $5,509 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 03:12 AM | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $5,802 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 01:31 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $14.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 12:41 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $14.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 04:11 PM | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $5,908 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 04:08 PM | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $4,480 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 02:09 PM | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $30.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 01:44 PM | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $1,176 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 12:37 PM | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $6,909 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 12:06 AM | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $23.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 12:05 AM | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.978 | $1,161 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 11:59 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $3,009 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 11:59 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9? | BUY NO | 0.984 | $3,546 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 03:54 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $4,593 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 03:46 PM | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $9,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 03:43 PM | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $5,437 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 03:40 PM | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $1,218 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 03:40 PM | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $2,468 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 02:36 PM | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $18.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 02:33 PM | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $1,919 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 07:34 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $12.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 07:33 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.994 | $12.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 04:50 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.994 | $2,485 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 04:45 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.994 | $2,155 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 03:40 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.994 | $4,970 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 01:38 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $4,782 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 01:34 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.992 | $4,960 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 03:03 PM | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,061 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 06:01 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $10.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 01:53 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $4,986 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 01:52 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $6,574 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 01:39 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.987 | $4,936 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 12:38 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $2,385 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 12:37 AM | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $10.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 11:55 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $1,459 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 04:36 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.977 | $12.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 04:34 PM | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $11.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 04:25 PM | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $5,289 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 11:00 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $7,880 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 05:24 AM | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $38.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 02:42 AM | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $1,647 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 11:47 PM | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $3,085 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 08:43 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $1,740 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 08:43 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $1,740 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 04:02 PM | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $2,526 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 03:46 PM | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $2,334 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 03:46 PM | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $3,081 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 01:26 PM | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $3,929 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 03:02 AM | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $1,988 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 12:33 AM | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $2,685 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 12:33 AM | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $29.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 11:20 AM | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $16.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 11:20 AM | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $6,615 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 07:57 AM | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $2,774 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 03:41 AM | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $1,892 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 03:40 AM | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $1,579 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 01:33 PM | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $30.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 01:27 PM | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $26.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 09:38 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $2,260 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 09:37 PM | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $2,260 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 02:10 PM | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $1,439 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 05:50 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $1,786 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 05:16 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $4,236 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 02:39 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $1,201 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 02:38 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.969 | $2,316 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 02:55 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $1,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 02:50 AM | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $2,333 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 04:30 PM | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $14.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 04:30 PM | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $14.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 02:47 PM | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $2,523 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 02:47 PM | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,995 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 02:46 PM | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,995 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 02:45 PM | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $1,473 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 02:44 PM | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,474 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 02:43 PM | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $4,502 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 02:30 PM | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $1,592 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 02:28 PM | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $1,114 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 02:28 PM | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,995 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 02:27 PM | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $2,713 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 02:24 PM | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.982 | $1,363 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 02:23 PM | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,995 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 02:21 PM | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.980 | $2,129 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 02:21 PM | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.980 | $2,425 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 02:20 PM | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,995 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 02:19 PM | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.980 | $1,940 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 02:14 PM | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,995 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 02:11 PM | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.979 | $3,869 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 02:04 PM | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,995 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 06:10 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.840 | $13.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 01:56 PM | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $1,651 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 01:55 PM | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $2,183 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 01:53 PM | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.987 | $2,740 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 10:08 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $4,530 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 06:36 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $1,860 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 05:07 AM | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,454 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 12:55 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $1,740 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 12:45 AM | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $1,278 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 04:35 PM | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $1,664 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 03:28 PM | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $8,778 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 12:05 PM | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.983 | $7,269 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 08:59 AM | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,795 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 06:59 AM | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $9,918 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 12:48 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $32.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 06:05 PM | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,990 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 05:10 PM | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.969 | $4,321 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 04:29 PM | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,995 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 04:16 PM | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,920 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 04:16 PM | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $2,566 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 04:15 PM | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $2,597 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 03:59 PM | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $6,397 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 03:59 PM | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $6,403 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 03:58 PM | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $7,881 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 09:10 AM | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $13.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 01:20 AM | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $2,430 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 01:16 AM | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.978 | $1,458 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 04:11 PM | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $4,977 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 04:11 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $6,706 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 04:03 PM | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $15.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 04:03 PM | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $10.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 04:02 PM | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $9,990 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 03:32 PM | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $1,713 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 03:25 PM | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $1,339 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 03:21 PM | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $7,421 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 03:05 PM | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $1,845 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 03:03 PM | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,530 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 02:57 PM | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.993 | $4,667 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 02:54 PM | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,214 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 02:54 PM | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $6,294 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 08:58 AM | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $1,610 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 05:20 AM | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $1,714 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 05:19 AM | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $3,493 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 04:21 AM | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $4,995 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 04:21 AM | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $4,995 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 04:20 AM | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,874 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 02:31 AM | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,108 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 02:31 AM | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,995 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 01:15 AM | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $5,043 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 04:21 PM | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.985 | $1,809 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 04:20 PM | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $2,936 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 04:18 PM | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.993 | $1,490 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 04:17 PM | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $5,141 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 04:15 PM | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $4,057 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 08:55 AM | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $1,047 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 03:54 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $9,991 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 03:54 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $9,990 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 03:53 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $3,529 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 03:07 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $26.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 12:06 AM | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $1,960 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 03:53 PM | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $9,990 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 01:42 PM | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $2,164 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 01:07 PM | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,998 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 01:06 PM | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,998 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 06:31 AM | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $1,198 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 06:29 AM | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $4,145 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 03:56 AM | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $4,980 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 03:54 AM | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $2,988 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 03:53 AM | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $4,980 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 02:18 AM | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $1,990 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 01:01 AM | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.991 | $1,395 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 12:52 AM | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $2,509 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 03:53 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $3,397 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 03:03 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20? | BUY YES | 0.998 | $1,031 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 05:25 AM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20? | BUY YES | 0.997 | $1,245 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 03:21 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 19? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $5,852 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 03:21 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 19? | BUY NO | 0.993 | $5,840 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 02:58 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 19? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $7,727 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 03:57 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $3,036 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 03:12 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 18? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $2,977 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 01:17 AM | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $1,146 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 04:24 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $6,666 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 04:22 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $2,997 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 01:30 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $9,625 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 04:14 AM | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $11.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 03:59 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $35.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 01:55 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 16? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $4,607 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 03:57 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $4,995 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 03:54 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $4,703 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 03:54 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $1,998 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 03:52 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16? | BUY YES | 0.998 | $1,375 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 03:27 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $11.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |