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rustin
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xaa07…2125 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
12
lifetime
PnL per $
-38%
historical realized
Win rate
32.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$83.9K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 12 resolved trades · -38% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
154
Distinct markets
92
Volume (90d)
$1.25M
avg $8,140 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$1.15M / $102.5K
net direction
Recent trades
last 154 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 09:15 PM | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.460 | $20.3K | — |
| Jun 20, 08:25 PM | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.160 | $1,061 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 20, 08:20 PM | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.180 | $3,346 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 20, 07:34 PM | Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.540 | $1,210 | — |
| Jun 12, 03:56 AM | Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY NO | 0.798 | $9,956 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 03:56 AM | Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY YES | 0.800 | $8,420 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 07:00 PM | Will Jackson Blake win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $2,833 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 04:30 PM | Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? | BUY NO | 0.530 | $4,089 | — |
| May 27, 03:38 PM | Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $1,238 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 04:36 AM | Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference? | BUY NO | 0.810 | $1,328 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 06:13 PM | Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY YES | 0.216 | $7,037 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 17, 03:37 AM | Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY YES | 0.126 | $1,229 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 28, 12:48 AM | Flyers vs. Penguins | BUY YES | 0.260 | $8,498 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 28, 12:37 AM | Flyers vs. Penguins | BUY YES | 0.474 | $1,587 | — |
| Apr 27, 11:51 PM | Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5 | BUY YES | 0.390 | $5,426 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 27, 01:46 AM | Oilers vs. Ducks | BUY YES | 0.450 | $26.3K | — |
| Apr 27, 01:05 AM | Lightning vs. Canadiens | SELL YES | 0.730 | $6,507 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 27, 12:58 AM | NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers | BUY YES | 0.570 | $16.9K | — |
| Apr 25, 07:37 PM | Hurricanes vs. Senators | BUY YES | 0.450 | $2,164 | — |
| Apr 25, 07:33 PM | Hurricanes vs. Senators | BUY YES | 0.450 | $6,220 | — |
| Apr 25, 07:31 PM | Hurricanes vs. Senators | BUY YES | 0.450 | $1,688 | — |
| Apr 25, 03:04 AM | Oilers vs. Ducks | BUY YES | 0.600 | $3,388 | — |
| Apr 21, 02:05 AM | 0x6a602d72 | BUY | 0.640 | $3,102 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 21, 02:05 AM | 0x6a602d72 | BUY | 0.640 | $15.8K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 19, 09:36 PM | 0xb9794ba9 | BUY | 0.620 | $12.3K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 19, 09:11 PM | 0xf057cd17 | BUY | 0.400 | $1,775 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 19, 10:34 AM | NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning | BUY | 0.680 | $3,004 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 19, 02:06 AM | 0x958b7222 | BUY | 0.490 | $9,915 | — |
| Apr 18, 09:00 PM | Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $1,758 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 17, 03:16 AM | 0x0b85b5a5 | BUY | 0.780 | $3,830 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 17, 03:15 AM | 0x0b85b5a5 | BUY | 0.775 | $2,677 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 17, 03:15 AM | 0x0b85b5a5 | BUY | 0.780 | $2,381 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 17, 03:14 AM | 0x0b85b5a5 | BUY | 0.778 | $4,889 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 17, 03:13 AM | 0x0b85b5a5 | BUY | 0.780 | $7,187 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 16, 11:25 PM | 0xd30b8499 | BUY | 0.530 | $3,663 | — |
| Apr 16, 10:37 PM | 0xd1881c3f | BUY | 0.490 | $1,223 | — |
| Apr 16, 06:13 PM | 0xd30b8499 | BUY | 0.450 | $13.8K | — |
| Apr 14, 08:56 PM | 0x5c0a2b28 | BUY | 0.340 | $1,239 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 14, 08:46 PM | 0x5c0a2b28 | BUY | 0.350 | $12.8K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 14, 08:46 PM | 0x5c0a2b28 | SELL | 0.650 | $6,963 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 04:59 PM | 0xc1890e9f | BUY | 0.430 | $2,029 | — |
| Apr 14, 02:48 PM | 0x5c0a2b28 | BUY | 0.640 | $9,004 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 14, 11:43 AM | 0x0918815d | BUY | 0.530 | $1,214 | — |
| Apr 14, 01:44 AM | 0x489fb508 | SELL | 0.472 | $2,561 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 13, 02:50 PM | 0x03541181 | SELL | 0.620 | $10.6K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 13, 09:09 AM | 0xcebbc94a | BUY | 0.560 | $2,803 | — |
| Apr 13, 02:48 AM | 0x26fdc8f3 | BUY | 0.606 | $2,763 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 11, 08:45 PM | 0xec3aba74 | BUY | 0.460 | $18.0K | — |
| Apr 11, 07:23 PM | 0xdd09a683 | BUY | 0.380 | $3,450 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 9, 11:03 PM | 0xdfd00db2 | BUY | 0.470 | $11.8K | — |
| Apr 8, 02:41 AM | 0xde5531e5 | SELL | 0.999 | $20.0K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 8, 01:40 AM | 0xe970da56 | BUY | 0.420 | $1,050 | — |
| Apr 7, 10:50 AM | 0xe2862383 | BUY | 0.490 | $3,330 | — |
| Apr 6, 01:31 AM | 0xeb70d029 | BUY | 0.380 | $3,572 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 6, 01:31 AM | 0xeb70d029 | BUY | 0.380 | $13.3K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 5, 07:08 PM | 0x30b66302 | BUY | 0.420 | $10.5K | — |
| Apr 5, 06:41 PM | 0x6b3047c7 | BUY | 0.330 | $19.7K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 5, 10:21 AM | 0xeb70d029 | BUY | 0.340 | $5,904 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 5, 02:06 AM | 0x00bc8bd3 | BUY | 0.490 | $27.9K | — |
| Apr 5, 02:05 AM | 0xde7d1e4a | BUY | 0.520 | $41.6K | — |
| Apr 4, 08:15 PM | 0xad8718e9 | BUY | 0.390 | $9,750 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 4, 06:14 PM | 0xad8718e9 | BUY | 0.380 | $8,185 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 3, 12:57 AM | 0xe754eb3c | BUY | 0.500 | $3,973 | — |
| Apr 3, 12:47 AM | 0xe754eb3c | BUY | 0.500 | $4,202 | — |
| Apr 3, 12:43 AM | 0xe754eb3c | BUY | 0.500 | $4,533 | — |
| Apr 3, 12:36 AM | 0x1945761f | BUY | 0.350 | $7,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 3, 12:35 AM | 0x7a0341d9 | BUY | 0.560 | $5,205 | — |
| Apr 2, 11:03 PM | 0x5eaab10e | SELL | 0.370 | $14.8K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 2, 07:08 PM | 0xe754eb3c | BUY | 0.480 | $4,388 | — |
| Apr 2, 07:00 PM | 0x3097facd | BUY | 0.410 | $2,029 | — |
| Apr 2, 07:00 PM | 0x3097facd | BUY | 0.410 | $5,685 | — |
| Apr 2, 06:33 PM | 0xe754eb3c | BUY | 0.480 | $7,064 | — |
| Apr 2, 05:48 PM | 0xe754eb3c | BUY | 0.480 | $7,200 | — |
| Apr 2, 09:21 AM | 0x3097facd | BUY | 0.400 | $9,343 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 2, 07:58 AM | 0x1945761f | BUY | 0.330 | $5,024 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 2, 07:41 AM | 0x3097facd | BUY | 0.390 | $1,549 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 2, 01:10 AM | 0xabe787eb | BUY | 0.500 | $13.1K | — |
| Apr 2, 12:17 AM | 0xabe787eb | BUY | 0.490 | $4,139 | — |
| Apr 1, 12:39 AM | 0xc095eb22 | BUY | 0.380 | $6,460 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 31, 11:03 PM | 0xa184b4c5 | BUY | 0.510 | $6,743 | — |
| Mar 31, 10:33 PM | 0x79354560 | BUY | 0.470 | $4,725 | — |
| Mar 31, 10:12 PM | 0xf0aadbdf | SELL | 0.380 | $24.9K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 31, 08:58 PM | 0xf0aadbdf | BUY | 0.360 | $21.6K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 31, 12:21 PM | 0xc095eb22 | BUY | 0.380 | $1,243 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 31, 12:20 PM | 0xc095eb22 | BUY | 0.380 | $2,348 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 31, 11:56 AM | 0xe62bdcf2 | BUY | 0.400 | $5,564 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 31, 11:28 AM | 0x574e8b6b | BUY | 0.520 | $15.2K | — |
| Mar 31, 02:10 AM | 0xb5202554 | BUY | 0.620 | $2,877 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 30, 01:35 AM | 0x143a3422 | BUY | 0.489 | $23.6K | — |
| Mar 30, 01:35 AM | 0x143a3422 | BUY | 0.470 | $24.3K | — |
| Mar 29, 11:57 PM | 0x101b2f1d | BUY | 0.530 | $1,881 | — |
| Mar 29, 11:56 PM | 0x101b2f1d | BUY | 0.520 | $1,373 | — |
| Mar 29, 11:56 PM | 0x101b2f1d | BUY | 0.527 | $15.4K | — |
| Mar 29, 11:46 PM | 0x101b2f1d | BUY | 0.458 | $9,635 | — |
| Mar 29, 11:01 PM | 0x3b70e839 | BUY | 0.400 | $21.2K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 29, 11:00 PM | 0x143a3422 | BUY | 0.390 | $16.9K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 29, 08:34 PM | 0x5b13341c | BUY | 0.380 | $44.9K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 29, 05:07 PM | 0x3b70e839 | BUY | 0.410 | $12.1K | — |
| Mar 29, 04:58 PM | 0x83eab143 | BUY | 0.380 | $7,600 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 29, 04:39 PM | 0xd18e3c1d | BUY | 0.550 | $9,002 | — |
| Mar 29, 11:36 AM | 0x3b70e839 | BUY | 0.390 | $6,593 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 29, 10:51 AM | 0x1f4a0824 | BUY | 0.390 | $3,753 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 29, 05:16 AM | 0xa44867be | BUY | 0.520 | $8,533 | — |
| Mar 29, 01:55 AM | 0x982b435c | BUY | 0.440 | $4,421 | — |
| Mar 29, 01:55 AM | 0x982b435c | BUY | 0.440 | $9,310 | — |
| Mar 28, 11:08 PM | 0x8a1b7ec2 | BUY | 0.510 | $2,558 | — |
| Mar 28, 11:06 PM | 0x6f4ed2bb | BUY | 0.460 | $11.7K | — |
| Mar 28, 11:00 PM | 0xd14794fb | BUY | 0.420 | $1,785 | — |
| Mar 28, 10:55 PM | 0xe5709f0d | BUY | 0.300 | $2,779 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Mar 28, 10:53 PM | 0xe5709f0d | BUY | 0.300 | $4,369 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Mar 28, 07:18 PM | 0x6558567e | BUY | 0.410 | $1,924 | — |
| Mar 28, 07:16 PM | 0xbcb9d39e | BUY | 0.540 | $1,745 | — |
| Mar 28, 07:07 PM | 0xe5709f0d | BUY | 0.300 | $3,714 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Mar 28, 09:00 AM | 0x2d54573b | BUY | 0.500 | $9,007 | — |
| Mar 28, 08:55 AM | 0x6f4ed2bb | BUY | 0.430 | $18.9K | — |
| Mar 28, 07:54 AM | 0xe5709f0d | BUY | 0.300 | $9,117 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Mar 27, 11:05 PM | 0xa0da0105 | BUY | 0.570 | $2,223 | — |
| Mar 27, 03:48 AM | 0xfecc5d4b | BUY | 0.600 | $1,506 | — |
| Mar 27, 03:47 AM | 0xfecc5d4b | BUY | 0.558 | $8,560 | — |
| Mar 27, 03:40 AM | 0xfecc5d4b | BUY | 0.520 | $3,910 | — |
| Mar 27, 03:17 AM | 0x350ef0d8 | BUY | 0.537 | $1,358 | — |
| Mar 27, 02:03 AM | 0xd1a824d8 | BUY | 0.370 | $1,823 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 27, 01:47 AM | 0x2a7be326 | BUY | 0.530 | $15.1K | — |
| Mar 27, 01:47 AM | 0x2a7be326 | BUY | 0.530 | $3,090 | — |
| Mar 27, 01:44 AM | 0x05c367d0 | BUY | 0.382 | $4,352 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 27, 12:04 AM | 0xfecc5d4b | BUY | 0.550 | $1,428 | — |
| Mar 27, 12:04 AM | 0xf746f355 | BUY | 0.510 | $1,400 | — |
| Mar 27, 12:04 AM | 0x98e653f7 | BUY | 0.380 | $1,621 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 27, 12:03 AM | 0x98e653f7 | BUY | 0.380 | $1,760 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 26, 11:44 PM | 0xfecc5d4b | BUY | 0.550 | $6,900 | — |
| Mar 26, 11:13 PM | 0xfcfa2e97 | BUY | 0.430 | $17.2K | — |
| Mar 26, 08:58 PM | 0xfcfa2e97 | BUY | 0.440 | $1,532 | — |
| Mar 26, 08:57 PM | 0xfcfa2e97 | BUY | 0.440 | $1,483 | — |
| Mar 26, 08:08 PM | 0xf746f355 | BUY | 0.500 | $15.8K | — |
| Mar 26, 01:12 PM | 0xfcfa2e97 | BUY | 0.400 | $5,644 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 26, 12:12 PM | 0x81354056 | BUY | 0.420 | $5,040 | — |
| Mar 26, 10:07 AM | 0x98e653f7 | BUY | 0.380 | $30.8K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 25, 11:30 PM | 0x582c66d5 | BUY | 0.550 | $18.3K | — |
| Mar 25, 04:18 PM | 0xee0184d2 | BUY | 0.500 | $4,575 | — |
| Mar 25, 01:03 PM | 0xee0184d2 | BUY | 0.510 | $19.9K | — |
| Mar 25, 03:40 AM | 0x74e77fc9 | BUY | 0.480 | $5,760 | — |
| Mar 25, 03:40 AM | 0xd0495eef | SELL | 0.999 | $6,244 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 25, 03:38 AM | 0xd0495eef | SELL | 0.999 | $9,990 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 24, 07:02 PM | 0x7361ccaf | BUY | 0.470 | $9,281 | — |
| Mar 24, 05:20 PM | 0x44336ee5 | BUY | 0.400 | $1,225 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 24, 05:20 PM | 0x44336ee5 | BUY | 0.400 | $18.5K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 24, 09:37 AM | 0x7f999d88 | BUY | 0.540 | $21.5K | — |
| Mar 24, 08:20 AM | 0x5c65b56c | BUY | 0.460 | $20.1K | — |
| Mar 24, 05:35 AM | 0x8d940577 | BUY | 0.370 | $8,066 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 24, 12:38 AM | 0x96f0f7a2 | BUY | 0.230 | $1,783 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Mar 24, 12:13 AM | 0x5c65b56c | BUY | 0.450 | $1,984 | — |
| Mar 24, 12:12 AM | 0x5c65b56c | BUY | 0.450 | $4,795 | — |
| Mar 23, 03:43 AM | 0x542ed533 | BUY | 0.540 | $6,600 | — |
| Mar 23, 03:42 AM | 0x542ed533 | BUY | 0.550 | $5,601 | — |
Markets active in
92 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x143a3422 | — | 3 | $64.7K | +$64.7K |
| 0xf0aadbdf | — | 2 | $46.5K | $-3,266 |
| 0x5b13341c | — | 1 | $44.9K | +$44.9K |
| 0xde7d1e4a | — | 1 | $41.6K | +$41.6K |
| 0x3b70e839 | — | 3 | $39.9K | +$39.9K |
| 0x98e653f7 | — | 3 | $34.2K | +$34.2K |
| 0xe754eb3c | — | 6 | $31.4K | +$31.4K |
| 0x6f4ed2bb | — | 2 | $30.6K | +$30.6K |
| 0x5c0a2b28 | — | 4 | $30.0K | +$16.0K |
| 0x101b2f1d | — | 4 | $28.3K | +$28.3K |
| 0x00bc8bd3 | — | 1 | $27.9K | +$27.9K |
| 0x5c65b56c | — | 3 | $26.9K | +$26.9K |
| Oilers vs. Ducks | Other | 1 | $26.3K | +$26.3K |
| 0xfcfa2e97 | — | 4 | $25.9K | +$25.9K |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Other | 3 | $24.7K | +$24.7K |
| 0xee0184d2 | — | 2 | $24.5K | +$24.5K |
| 0xeb70d029 | — | 3 | $22.8K | +$22.8K |
| 0xfecc5d4b | — | 5 | $22.3K | +$22.3K |
| 0x7f999d88 | — | 1 | $21.5K | +$21.5K |
| 0x0b85b5a5 | — | 5 | $21.0K | +$21.0K |
| 0xde5531e5 | — | 1 | $20.0K | $-19,980 |
| 0xe5709f0d | — | 4 | $20.0K | +$20.0K |
| 0x44336ee5 | — | 2 | $19.7K | +$19.7K |
| 0x6b3047c7 | — | 1 | $19.7K | +$19.7K |
| 0x6a602d72 | — | 2 | $18.9K | +$18.9K |
| 0x3097facd | — | 4 | $18.6K | +$18.6K |
| 0x582c66d5 | — | 1 | $18.3K | +$18.3K |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Sports | 3 | $18.2K | +$18.2K |
| 0x2a7be326 | — | 2 | $18.2K | +$18.2K |
| 0xec3aba74 | — | 1 | $18.0K | +$18.0K |
Showing top 30 by volume.