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bin8888

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xa80e…b94b with our methodology badges per row.

0xa80e3fe5e7a445fa047fe6de1e27f9a15217b94b·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
111
lifetime
PnL per $
-13%
historical realized
Win rate
47.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$1.00M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 111 resolved trades · -13% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
141
Distinct markets
26
Volume (90d)
$1.40M
avg $9,962 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$810.8K / $593.9K
net direction

Recent trades

last 141 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 12, 03:34 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?BUY NO0.950$4,470Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 05:06 AMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?BUY NO0.210$1,567Cheap band — no rep
May 28, 04:29 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?SELL NO0.975$28.0K— (SELL)
May 27, 03:51 AMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?BUY NO0.860$5,617Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 02:33 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?SELL NO0.870$1,500— (SELL)
May 26, 07:24 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?SELL NO0.910$15.0K— (SELL)
May 21, 10:36 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?SELL NO0.840$13.0K— (SELL)
May 21, 10:34 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?SELL NO0.840$30.4K— (SELL)
May 20, 02:11 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?SELL NO0.510$9,520— (SELL)
May 20, 02:11 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?SELL NO0.510$25.4K— (SELL)
May 20, 01:33 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?SELL NO0.520$5,320— (SELL)
May 18, 12:39 PMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?BUY NO0.810$32.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 03:02 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?BUY YES0.999$9,990Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 01:59 PMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?BUY NO0.830$19.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 01:01 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?SELL NO0.830$2,814— (SELL)
May 10, 03:08 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?SELL NO0.970$5,336— (SELL)
May 10, 03:07 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?BUY NO0.870$7,630Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 03:07 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?SELL NO0.970$22.8K— (SELL)
May 10, 03:06 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?BUY NO0.870$15.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 03:05 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?SELL NO0.972$6,536— (SELL)
May 10, 03:04 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?SELL NO0.973$3,517— (SELL)
May 10, 01:51 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?BUY NO0.930$43.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 01:49 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?BUY NO0.930$4,650Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 01:49 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?SELL NO0.974$6,558— (SELL)
May 10, 12:42 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?BUY NO0.480$1,865
May 10, 12:36 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?BUY NO0.920$5,505Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 01:37 PMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?BUY NO0.956$9,907Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 01:37 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?SELL NO0.975$15.3K— (SELL)
May 9, 01:15 PMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?BUY NO0.956$3,920Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 01:14 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?SELL NO0.976$1,087— (SELL)
May 9, 11:39 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?SELL NO0.977$1,172— (SELL)
May 9, 10:05 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?BUY NO0.956$28.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 09:51 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?BUY NO0.930$44.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 09:49 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?SELL NO0.978$1,920— (SELL)
May 9, 08:34 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?BUY NO0.880$32.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 07:35 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?BUY NO0.870$24.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 07:35 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?BUY NO0.830$3,372Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 02:21 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?BUY NO0.510$2,064
May 8, 01:36 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?BUY YES0.510$1,482
May 8, 12:03 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?BUY NO0.510$2,501
May 7, 01:17 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?BUY NO0.660$20.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 6, 02:12 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?BUY NO0.530$5,558
May 6, 02:09 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?BUY NO0.500$1,139
May 5, 02:02 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?BUY NO0.388$1,149Killed band — neutral expectation
May 3, 10:58 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?BUY NO0.310$2,793Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 30, 02:37 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?SELL NO0.530$1,961— (SELL)
Apr 30, 02:36 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?SELL NO0.720$1,284— (SELL)
Apr 30, 01:40 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?SELL NO0.550$1,157— (SELL)
Apr 30, 11:29 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?BUY NO0.500$2,705
Apr 30, 11:10 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?BUY NO0.900$87.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 11:18 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?BUY NO0.910$2,888Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 12:49 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?SELL NO0.770$4,609— (SELL)
Apr 28, 05:48 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?SELL NO0.830$4,230— (SELL)
Apr 28, 05:44 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?SELL NO0.850$1,728— (SELL)
Apr 28, 05:37 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?SELL NO0.870$1,088— (SELL)
Apr 28, 12:32 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?SELL NO0.900$10.6K— (SELL)
Apr 27, 02:59 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?SELL NO0.860$1,892— (SELL)
Apr 27, 09:04 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL NO0.942$8,530— (SELL)
Apr 27, 05:16 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL NO0.943$1,210— (SELL)
Apr 26, 08:02 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL NO0.923$1,061— (SELL)
Apr 25, 04:55 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL NO0.940$4,941— (SELL)
Apr 25, 01:08 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL NO0.939$4,746— (SELL)
Apr 24, 03:10 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL NO0.890$12.7K— (SELL)
Apr 24, 03:07 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL NO0.895$10.3K— (SELL)
Apr 24, 12:30 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL NO0.875$14.1K— (SELL)
Apr 23, 02:48 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL NO0.891$20.6K— (SELL)
Apr 22, 05:59 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL NO0.893$13.8K— (SELL)
Apr 22, 05:38 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL NO0.893$13.9K— (SELL)
Apr 21, 03:23 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL NO0.890$5,340— (SELL)
Apr 21, 02:12 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?SELL NO0.850$9,022— (SELL)
Apr 21, 03:07 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?SELL NO0.974$6,164— (SELL)
Apr 21, 03:07 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?SELL NO0.974$6,164— (SELL)
Apr 20, 02:13 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL NO0.919$1,131— (SELL)
Apr 20, 02:08 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL NO0.919$1,511— (SELL)
Apr 20, 01:58 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?BUY NO0.810$1,891Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 08:40 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?SELL NO0.993$25.9K— (SELL)
Apr 18, 01:18 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?SELL NO0.965$16.2K— (SELL)
Apr 18, 01:17 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?SELL NO0.967$5,506— (SELL)
Apr 18, 12:30 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?SELL NO0.970$5,898— (SELL)
Apr 16, 02:40 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?SELL NO0.958$2,099— (SELL)
Apr 16, 01:18 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?SELL NO0.960$25.9K— (SELL)
Apr 16, 12:58 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?SELL NO0.940$5,690— (SELL)
Apr 16, 11:50 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?SELL NO0.966$11.1K— (SELL)
Apr 16, 10:38 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?SELL NO0.970$15.0K— (SELL)
Apr 16, 07:33 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?SELL NO0.974$3,246— (SELL)
Apr 16, 07:32 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?SELL NO0.950$19.0K— (SELL)
Apr 16, 07:31 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?SELL NO0.975$4,342— (SELL)
Apr 16, 02:34 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?SELL NO0.968$4,701— (SELL)
Apr 16, 02:33 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?SELL NO0.971$9,682— (SELL)
Apr 15, 08:46 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL NO0.870$5,452— (SELL)
Apr 15, 08:46 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?SELL NO0.968$17.4K— (SELL)
Apr 15, 08:45 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?SELL NO0.950$19.2K— (SELL)
Apr 14, 11:34 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?SELL NO0.954$6,597— (SELL)
Apr 13, 01:51 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY NO0.790$3,109Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 01:51 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?BUY NO0.880$2,530Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 01:15 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?BUY NO0.870$3,252Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 01:15 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY NO0.780$1,870Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 08:04 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?BUY NO0.860$1,018Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 03:51 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?BUY NO0.200$71.6KKilled band — neutral expectation
Apr 13, 02:19 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?BUY NO0.860$5,318Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 01:30 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.610$1,478Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 07:16 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?BUY NO0.320$3,599Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 12, 04:21 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?BUY NO0.340$1,865Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 12, 04:21 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?BUY NO0.910$2,249Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 12:32 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?BUY NO0.988$24.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 10:17 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?BUY NO0.920$24.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 09:40 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?BUY NO0.440$1,313
Apr 11, 01:21 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?BUY NO0.985$1,465Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 05:25 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.660$5,543Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 02:05 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.690$5,583Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 02:04 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY NO0.810$13.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 01:51 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.680$6,256Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 01:10 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.680$6,450Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 12:59 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.680$10.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 03:54 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.750$38.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 02:34 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.780$20.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 02:33 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.766$5,271Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 12:27 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.800$3,789Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 12:10 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.800$3,971Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 10:26 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.800$21.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 07:09 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.780$2,835Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 06:57 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.780$4,270Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 02:45 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.720$1,662Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 02:50 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?BUY NO0.610$55.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 12:41 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.230$2,569Cheap band — no rep
Apr 5, 10:10 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.250$6,068Cheap band — no rep
Apr 4, 03:14 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.240$3,746Cheap band — no rep
Apr 4, 10:09 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.240$1,012Cheap band — no rep
Apr 1, 06:54 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY NO0.780$1,893Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 06:53 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY NO0.770$1,246Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 05:04 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.560$1,796
Mar 31, 05:34 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.540$5,834
Mar 31, 02:12 PM0xf6890c70SELL NO0.820$3,118— (SELL)
Mar 31, 06:06 AM0x814657a1SELL NO0.940$2,554— (SELL)
Mar 30, 11:35 PM0x814657a1SELL NO0.850$5,613— (SELL)
Mar 30, 03:34 AM0x814657a1SELL NO0.860$5,267— (SELL)
Mar 29, 03:02 PM0xf6890c70SELL NO0.432$1,652— (SELL)
Mar 27, 08:15 PM0xc5300759SELL NO0.337$1,145— (SELL)
Mar 27, 08:15 PM0xc5300759SELL NO0.345$1,614— (SELL)
Mar 26, 07:23 AM0x814657a1SELL NO0.901$6,787— (SELL)
Mar 26, 07:22 AM0x814657a1SELL NO0.904$4,008— (SELL)

Markets active in

26 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Other36$278.4K+$39.6K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Other20$219.7K$-31,488
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Other10$151.4K+$22.8K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Other5$125.8K+$69.7K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Other6$113.6K$-3,104
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Other9$106.7K+$40.3K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Other4$81.0K+$81.0K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Other10$76.4K$-4,094
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?Other3$51.7K$-139
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Other7$46.4K$-2,993
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Other3$42.5K+$42.5K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Other3$33.7K$-33,698
0x814657a15$24.2K$-24,230
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Other1$9,990+$9,990
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Other4$8,636$-3,227
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Other3$6,776+$6,776
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?Crypto1$5,617+$5,617
0xf6890c702$4,770$-4,770
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?Tech1$4,470+$4,470
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?Other1$2,888+$2,888
0xc53007592$2,759$-2,759
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Other1$1,865+$1,865
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Crypto1$1,567+$1,567
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Tech1$1,500$-1,500
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Other1$1,284$-1,284
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?Other1$1,149+$1,149