| Jun 13, 11:43 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.508 | $2,541 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 08:26 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.159 | $1,585 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 03:26 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.620 | $1,860 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 03:26 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.460 | $1,380 | —— |
| Jun 12, 02:34 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.290 | $1,783 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 01:20 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.155 | $1,187 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 09:17 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.350 | $1,050 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 03:22 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $23.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 03:21 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $23.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 03:21 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $23.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 03:20 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $23.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 03:20 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $23.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 03:20 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $23.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 03:20 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $23.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 03:19 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $23.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 03:19 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $23.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 03:07 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $23.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 03:07 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.992 | $23.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 03:05 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $23.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 03:04 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $23.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 03:04 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $23.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:56 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $23.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:56 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $23.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:55 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.992 | $22.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 02:54 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $23.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:53 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $23.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:53 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.992 | $23.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 02:52 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $23.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:51 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $22.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:51 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.992 | $22.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 02:50 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $23.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:50 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $23.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:49 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $23.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:24 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.992 | $23.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 02:24 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $23.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:22 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.992 | $23.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 02:20 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $23.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:20 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $23.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:20 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $23.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:20 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $23.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:19 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.992 | $23.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 02:17 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.992 | $23.2K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 02:16 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $23.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:16 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $23.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:15 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.992 | $23.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 02:14 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $23.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:14 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $23.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:13 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.992 | $22.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 02:11 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $23.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:10 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $22.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:09 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.992 | $22.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 02:07 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $22.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:07 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $23.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:07 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $23.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:06 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.992 | $22.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 01:56 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $24.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 01:56 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $24.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 01:56 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $22.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 01:52 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.992 | $23.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 06:22 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $18.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 06:22 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.991 | $18.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 06:21 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $18.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 05:20 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $22.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 05:20 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.991 | $22.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 05:19 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $23.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 05:18 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $23.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 05:18 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.991 | $23.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 05:17 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $24.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 03:56 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $18.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 03:55 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $17.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 03:55 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.991 | $17.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 03:54 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $18.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:07 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $23.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:07 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $23.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:05 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $23.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:05 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.992 | $23.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 06:14 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.220 | $1,101 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 11:31 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.090 | $2,270 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 10:53 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.120 | $1,706 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 3, 08:17 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $29.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 02:52 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.007 | $3,983 | —— |
| Jun 1, 07:04 PM | Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m? | BUY YES | 0.972 | $1,169 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 02:44 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.659 | $1,252 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 02:40 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.652 | $1,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 02:38 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.649 | $1,947 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 02:12 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.580 | $1,741 | —— |
| Jun 1, 02:09 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.590 | $1,062 | —— |
| Jun 1, 01:59 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.617 | $1,233 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:12 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.800 | $2,025 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 12:07 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.801 | $5,978 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 03:41 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.150 | $1,800 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 29, 03:38 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.150 | $2,828 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 29, 02:32 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.256 | $7,057 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 07:32 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.300 | $7,496 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| May 24, 09:39 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.226 | $6,552 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 10:59 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.696 | $4,175 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 30, 09:01 PM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $39.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 04:46 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $25.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 04:46 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $24.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 04:45 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $25.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 04:44 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $26.6K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 04:17 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $38.2K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 03:23 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $38.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 03:22 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $37.4K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 03:22 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $37.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 03:21 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $36.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 03:20 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $37.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 03:20 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $38.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 03:20 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $37.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 03:19 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $38.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 03:19 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $40.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 03:19 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $39.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 03:18 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $40.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 03:18 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $39.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 02:51 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $40.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 02:50 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $38.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 02:49 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $38.4K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 02:49 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $38.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 02:48 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $37.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 02:48 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $37.3K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 02:47 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $37.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 02:47 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $37.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 02:47 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $36.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 02:46 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $37.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 02:46 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $38.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 02:45 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $38.8K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 02:45 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $38.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 02:44 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $38.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 02:44 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $38.4K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 02:44 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $38.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 02:43 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $39.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 02:43 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $39.4K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 02:41 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $39.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 02:41 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $39.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 02:41 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $38.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 02:39 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $39.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 02:39 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $38.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 02:39 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $37.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 02:38 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $38.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 02:37 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $39.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 01:17 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $40.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 12:57 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $37.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 12:56 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $36.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 12:55 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $37.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 12:55 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $37.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 12:54 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $38.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 12:53 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $39.0K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 02:10 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.165 | $33.0K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 27, 03:56 PM | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | SELL NO | 0.475 | $1,184 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 02:41 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $36.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:41 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $36.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:41 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.995 | $36.3K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 02:40 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $36.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:40 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $36.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:39 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.995 | $36.3K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 02:39 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $35.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:38 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $36.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:38 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.995 | $35.8K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 02:37 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $35.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:37 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $36.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:37 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $35.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:37 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $36.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:37 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.995 | $29.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 02:36 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $35.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:35 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $34.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:35 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.995 | $37.8K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 02:34 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.995 | $38.8K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 02:33 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $34.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:33 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $34.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:33 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $37.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:32 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $37.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:32 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $37.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:32 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $37.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:32 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $37.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:32 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $37.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:32 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $37.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:32 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $37.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:31 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $37.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:31 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $37.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:31 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $36.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:31 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $37.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:30 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $36.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:30 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $36.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:30 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $36.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:30 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $36.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:30 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $36.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:30 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $36.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:29 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $36.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:29 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $36.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:29 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $36.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:29 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $36.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:29 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $36.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:28 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $36.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:28 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $36.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:28 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $36.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:28 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $36.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:28 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $36.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:28 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $36.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:27 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $36.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:27 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $35.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |