| Jun 20, 10:41 PM | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | BUY NO | 0.941 | $37.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 01:52 AM | Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | BUY NO | 0.942 | $1,510 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 12:42 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 8-14? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $1,239 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 08:56 AM | Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | BUY NO | 0.943 | $7,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 04:49 AM | Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | BUY NO | 0.944 | $1,756 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 03:39 AM | Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | BUY NO | 0.944 | $6,937 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 03:13 AM | Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | BUY NO | 0.941 | $1,044 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 12:46 AM | Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | BUY NO | 0.934 | $2,010 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 10:40 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.851 | $4,528 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 10:31 PM | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | BUY NO | 0.977 | $4,885 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 10:30 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.866 | $4,860 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 01:42 PM | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | BUY NO | 0.977 | $1,294 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:12 AM | Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $1,880 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:11 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? | SELL NO | 0.978 | $1,025 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 07:50 AM | Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.937 | $1,874 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:59 AM | Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.976 | $1,350 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 10:01 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $1,618 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 12:55 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.993 | $5,541 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 12:54 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 1-7? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $5,209 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 05:26 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $5,458 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 11:32 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $7,729 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 01:39 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.977 | $2,800 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 01:37 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.976 | $2,240 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 12:02 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.974 | $1,175 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 08:28 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $1,087 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 05:35 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.984 | $3,766 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 05:26 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.978 | $1,093 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 04:07 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.984 | $5,994 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 11:13 AM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4? | BUY NO | 0.982 | $1,095 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 11:20 PM | Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY YES | 0.970 | $7,622 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 11:19 PM | Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $7,859 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 10:24 PM | Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY YES | 0.945 | $2,835 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 08:52 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 1-7? | SELL NO | 0.979 | $1,329 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 08:35 AM | Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | BUY YES | 0.863 | $3,092 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 08:35 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 1-7? | SELL NO | 0.988 | $2,381 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 08:32 AM | Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | BUY YES | 0.870 | $2,876 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 08:31 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 1-7? | SELL NO | 0.992 | $1,497 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 05:00 AM | Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $2,212 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 05:00 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7? | SELL NO | 0.898 | $1,653 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 04:34 AM | Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | BUY YES | 0.870 | $4,441 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 04:30 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $4,750 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 08:13 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 1-7? | BUY NO | 0.982 | $4,674 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 12:27 AM | Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | BUY YES | 0.910 | $5,812 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 10:19 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 1-7? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $1,213 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 07:58 AM | Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | BUY YES | 0.900 | $3,986 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 01:58 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $3,220 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 11:20 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $11.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 11:38 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $3,478 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 07:58 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $4,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 01:09 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $1,419 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 11:45 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.960 | $1,920 | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 08:40 AM | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.933 | $4,665 | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 05:39 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.959 | $1,235 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 12:43 PM | Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting? | BUY YES | 0.989 | $2,193 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 10:47 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $1,561 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 11:33 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $3,986 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 09:26 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $1,590 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 11:09 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.985 | $6,895 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 07:40 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $1,065 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 12:08 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.984 | $3,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 10:49 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.850 | $2,550 | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 09:25 AM | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.924 | $2,000 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 09:46 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.990 | $2,158 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 08:17 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $2,519 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 06:36 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.883 | $2,962 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 06:20 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.965 | $1,713 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 06:15 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.962 | $1,752 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 02:34 AM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.983 | $2,020 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 02:03 AM | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL NO | 0.938 | $1,715 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 12:08 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $1,718 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 09:56 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | SELL NO | 0.974 | $2,785 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 02:25 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 7? | SELL NO | 0.995 | $1,050 | — (SELL) |
| May 6, 12:05 PM | Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.910 | $1,820 | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 10:28 AM | Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY NO | 0.977 | $1,191 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 3, 12:59 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $1,125 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 27, 11:45 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.983 | $1,991 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 27, 11:45 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,993 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 27, 01:01 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.983 | $1,494 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 27, 01:01 AM | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | SELL YES | 0.997 | $1,495 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 27, 12:46 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.983 | $2,154 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 27, 12:45 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 20-26? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $2,157 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 27, 12:45 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.983 | $1,207 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 11:48 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $2,703 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 18, 09:59 PM | Netanyahu out by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.994 | $2,523 | — (SELL) |