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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xa41c…fade with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
6
lifetime
PnL per $
-69%
historical realized
Win rate
12.6%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$40.7K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 6 resolved trades · -69% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
18
Distinct markets
12
Volume (90d)
$163.6K
avg $9,090 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$22.3K / $141.4K
net direction
Recent trades
last 18 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 02:19 PM | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.540 | $5,400 | — |
| Jun 12, 02:06 AM | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.390 | $4,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 01:38 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.811 | $17.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 07:07 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.821 | $4,926 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 09:04 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.787 | $1,319 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 09:01 PM | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.021 | $1,800 | — |
| Jun 6, 02:49 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.789 | $7,894 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 02:48 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.790 | $31.6K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 26, 11:03 AM | Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | SELL YES | 0.999 | $12.0K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 02:56 PM | Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY YES | 0.510 | $6,203 | — |
| Apr 25, 02:55 PM | Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner | SELL YES | 0.999 | $12.0K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 02:02 PM | Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner | BUY YES | 0.500 | $1,130 | — |
| Mar 28, 10:11 PM | 0x0de242f3 | SELL | 0.999 | $12.0K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 28, 05:51 PM | 0x0de242f3 | BUY | 0.350 | $3,730 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 28, 03:31 PM | 0x0391cd0e | SELL | 0.999 | $7,992 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 28, 03:13 AM | 0x7de786cc | SELL | 0.999 | $14.0K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 27, 06:22 PM | 0x338fb738 | SELL | 0.999 | $10.3K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 27, 04:07 PM | 0xfe7f0ad0 | SELL | 0.999 | $9,990 | — (SELL) |
Markets active in
12 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sports | 5 | $63.1K | $-63,121 |
| 0x0de242f3 | — | 2 | $15.7K | $-8,258 |
| 0x7de786cc | — | 1 | $14.0K | $-13,986 |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner | Other | 2 | $13.1K | $-10,824 |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | Other | 1 | $12.0K | $-11,988 |
| 0x338fb738 | — | 1 | $10.3K | $-10,337 |
| 0xfe7f0ad0 | — | 1 | $9,990 | $-9,990 |
| 0x0391cd0e | — | 1 | $7,992 | $-7,992 |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | Other | 1 | $6,203 | +$6,203 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Other | 1 | $5,400 | +$5,400 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Other | 1 | $4,000 | +$4,000 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $1,800 | +$1,800 |