ohh.betAnalytics
Back to whale feed

charliealmanack

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xa3a3…c2f9 with our methodology badges per row.

0xa3a39a3746dbd55f3a33ae38bd27ae2804c2c2f9·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
11
lifetime
PnL per $
+2%
historical realized
Win rate
66.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$102.5K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 11 resolved trades · 2% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
23
Distinct markets
19
Volume (90d)
$208.2K
avg $9,052 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$201.8K / $6,344
net direction

Recent trades

last 23 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 11, 09:33 PMWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY NO0.952$3,010Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 09:32 PMWill Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY NO0.913$1,416Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 09:32 PMWill Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY NO0.916$1,440Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 09:30 PMWill Czechia win on 2026-06-18?BUY YES0.600$6,000—
Jun 11, 09:30 PMWill England win on 2026-06-17?BUY YES0.570$7,410—
Jun 11, 09:29 PMWill France win on 2026-06-16?BUY YES0.670$10.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 09:29 PMWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?BUY YES0.680$7,864Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 09:29 PMWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?BUY YES0.910$13.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 09:27 PMHantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL YES0.044$3,884— (SELL)
Jun 11, 09:27 PMHantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL YES0.040$2,460— (SELL)
Jun 11, 09:23 PMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?BUY YES0.620$12.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 09:23 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY YES0.580$11.6K—
Jun 11, 09:23 PMWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?BUY YES0.320$1,600Killed band — neutral expectation
May 19, 09:08 PMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY NO0.860$5,401Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 08:59 PMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?BUY YES0.290$1,450Cheap band — no rep
May 19, 08:56 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?BUY NO0.800$1,121Above conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 10:49 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?BUY YES0.730$8,303Above conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 10:41 PMHantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY YES0.094$12.4KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 7, 10:33 PMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.580$11.6K—
May 7, 10:30 PMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY NO0.810$40.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 08:45 PMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY NO0.777$11.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 07:32 AMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY YES0.830$16.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 10:25 AM0xe4be3dcbBUY YES0.507$16.8K—

Markets active in

19 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Other3$57.2K+$57.2K
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Other3$18.7K+$6,039
0xe4be3dcb—1$16.8K+$16.8K
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Other1$16.6K+$16.6K
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Tech1$13.7K+$13.7K
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Other1$12.4K+$12.4K
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Other1$11.6K+$11.6K
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Other1$11.6K+$11.6K
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Other1$10.1K+$10.1K
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?Other1$8,303+$8,303
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Other1$7,864+$7,864
Will England win on 2026-06-17?Other1$7,410+$7,410
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Other1$6,000+$6,000
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics1$3,010+$3,010
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?Other1$1,600+$1,600
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?Other1$1,450+$1,450
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics1$1,440+$1,440
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics1$1,416+$1,416
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Tech1$1,121+$1,121