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IDontLikeRisk

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xa2dd…e1b2 with our methodology badges per row.

0xa2dd75ac3fdf9ab274a6e939129feb170353e1b2·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
27
lifetime
PnL per $
+1%
historical realized
Win rate
100.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$107.5K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 27 resolved trades · 1% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
37
Distinct markets
25
Volume (90d)
$150.7K
avg $4,073 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$150.7K / $0
net direction

Recent trades

last 37 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 20, 06:19 PMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.997$1,994Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:19 PMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.999$10.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 05:14 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?BUY YES0.999$1,998Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 05:12 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?BUY YES0.999$15.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 02:55 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-09?BUY YES0.999$7,605Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 09:59 PMWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?BUY NO0.685$1,349Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 02:15 AMWill CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-06-02?BUY YES0.999$2,014Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 04:47 PMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?BUY YES0.999$5,994Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 04:46 PMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?BUY YES0.999$1,998Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 04:34 PMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?BUY YES0.990$4,159Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 04:20 PMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?BUY YES0.970$4,090Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 04:17 PMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?BUY YES0.970$4,811Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 05:56 PMWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.990$4,223Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 05:01 PMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Completed Match: Jannik Sinner vs Casper RuudBUY YES0.999$2,215Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 01:27 PMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.999$9,120Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 11:48 AMWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.999$1,267Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 09:57 AMWill Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-16?BUY YES0.999$3,139Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 03:35 PMWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?BUY NO0.997$2,991Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 01:39 AMWill Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?BUY YES0.999$1,199Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 06:17 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?BUY YES0.998$1,576Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 06:15 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?BUY YES0.997$2,466Above conviction band — net-negative
May 4, 04:00 PMWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?BUY YES0.999$3,304Above conviction band — net-negative
May 4, 03:59 PMWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?BUY YES0.999$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 4, 03:59 PMWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?BUY YES0.999$2,997Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 06:08 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?BUY YES0.999$3,595Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 06:05 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?BUY YES0.999$2,997Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 05:59 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?BUY YES0.999$2,030Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 01:19 PMMadrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida AguilarBUY YES0.999$5,830Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 05:28 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C or below on April 27?BUY NO0.999$2,445Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 06:52 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on April 22?BUY NO0.999$2,691Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 08:09 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on April 22?BUY NO0.999$1,383Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 06:23 PM0xda5af93aBUY YES0.999$1,498Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 05:29 PMWang vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5BUY0.991$3,302Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 08:12 AM0x9fa25fbeBUY NO0.999$3,062Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 06:53 AM0x7bb9d939BUY NO0.999$1,806Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 06:20 AM0x7cef9a0dBUY NO0.999$2,011Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 05:05 PM0x12e1503fBUY0.999$1,898Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

25 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?Other3$26.3K+$26.3K
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?Other5$21.1K+$21.1K
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Tech2$17.0K+$17.0K
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Crypto2$12.7K+$12.7K
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?Other1$9,120+$9,120
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?Other3$8,622+$8,622
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09?Other1$7,605+$7,605
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida AguilarOther1$5,830+$5,830
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?Other1$4,223+$4,223
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on April 22?Other2$4,074+$4,074
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?Other2$4,042+$4,042
Wang vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Other1$3,302+$3,302
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-16?Other1$3,139+$3,139
0x9fa25fbe—1$3,062+$3,062
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?Politics1$2,991+$2,991
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C or below on April 27?Other1$2,445+$2,445
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Completed Match: Jannik Sinner vs Casper RuudOther1$2,215+$2,215
Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-06-02?Other1$2,014+$2,014
0x7cef9a0d—1$2,011+$2,011
0x12e1503f—1$1,898+$1,898
0x7bb9d939—1$1,806+$1,806
0xda5af93a—1$1,498+$1,498
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?Sports1$1,349+$1,349
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?Other1$1,267+$1,267
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?Other1$1,199+$1,199