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nuttypoo
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xa1e6…e1c2 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
4
lifetime
PnL per $
-63%
historical realized
Win rate
26.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$110.5K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 4 resolved trades · -63% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
8
Distinct markets
6
Volume (90d)
$242.5K
avg $30.3K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$201.6K / $41.0K
net direction
Recent trades
last 8 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 09:43 PM | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.840 | $112.7K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 07:49 PM | Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | BUY YES | 0.200 | $1,000 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 11, 10:08 PM | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY YES | 0.810 | $7,290 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 10:06 PM | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY YES | 0.810 | $33.5K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:03 PM | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $41.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 05:17 PM | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.700 | $28.7K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 03:11 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.161 | $8,292 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 03:09 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.170 | $10,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
Markets active in
6 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Other | 1 | $112.7K | +$112.7K |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Other | 2 | $69.7K | $-12,259 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Other | 2 | $40.8K | +$40.8K |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Tech | 1 | $10.0K | +$10.0K |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $8,292 | +$8,292 |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Other | 1 | $1,000 | +$1,000 |