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Hydra
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xa099…94fe with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
4
lifetime
PnL per $
-43%
historical realized
Win rate
56.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$7,052
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 4 resolved trades · -43% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
5
Distinct markets
4
Volume (90d)
$19.8K
avg $3,960 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$16.7K / $3,055
net direction
Recent trades
last 5 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 03:36 AM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.162 | $12.7K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 6, 04:57 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $2,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 06:46 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $2,038 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 06:45 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,017 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 05:56 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $1,997 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
4 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $12.8K | +$12.8K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | Crypto | 2 | $4,035 | $-41 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May? | Crypto | 1 | $2,000 | +$2,000 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April? | Crypto | 1 | $1,017 | $-1,017 |