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ULYSSES18

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x9ef5…5d4f with our methodology badges per row.

0x9ef582748baf671ee716075658b870ae747c5d4f·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
7
lifetime
PnL per $
+1647%
historical realized
Win rate
78.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$30.5K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 7 resolved trades · 1647% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
15
Distinct markets
12
Volume (90d)
$165.4K
avg $11.0K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$151.8K / $13.6K
net direction

Recent trades

last 15 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
May 23, 05:02 AMIran closes its airspace by May 24?SELL YES0.986$7,221— (SELL)
May 22, 05:59 PMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?BUY YES0.860$4,772Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 10:54 PMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?BUY YES0.997$12.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 10:53 PMWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY NO0.999$12.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 09:19 PMWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY NO0.996$1,884Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 02:26 PMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?BUY YES0.976$1,218Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 12:36 PM0x9823d715BUY YES0.999$77.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 08:27 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?SELL NO0.969$4,300— (SELL)
Apr 8, 08:41 PMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY YES0.998$2,637Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 06:51 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?SELL NO0.977$2,129— (SELL)
Apr 8, 05:35 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY NO0.972$1,411Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 11:51 PMUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?BUY YES0.993$1,192Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 08:10 PM0x705479ccBUY NO0.991$2,021Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 04:56 PMWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY NO0.670$25.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 03:42 PM0x61ce3773BUY NO0.998$9,148Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

12 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
0x9823d7151$77.6K+$77.6K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Other1$25.3K+$25.3K
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Other2$14.2K+$14.2K
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Other1$12.3K+$12.3K
0x61ce37731$9,148+$9,148
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Other3$7,839$-5,018
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Tech1$7,221$-7,221
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Other1$4,772+$4,772
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Other1$2,637+$2,637
0x705479cc1$2,021+$2,021
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Sports1$1,218+$1,218
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Other1$1,192+$1,192