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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x9b49…04a8 with our methodology badges per row.

0x9b491485819135564450669aeadb2d85f7b104a8·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

+25163%

historical realized

Win rate

48.8%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$409.1K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)

129

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$711.8K

avg $5,518 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$301.4K / $410.4K

net direction

Recent trades

last 129 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jun 20, 10:11 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.850	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:08 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	SELL YES	0.999	$22.7K	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 03:41 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.700	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 04:13 PM	LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.420	$2,100	—
Apr 29, 03:57 PM	LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.660	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 03:50 PM	LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$4,499	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 03:44 PM	LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$8,119	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 03:26 PM	LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	BUY YES	0.465	$2,326	—
Apr 29, 01:21 PM	LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$23.1K	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 12:43 PM	LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.700	$2,421	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 12:11 PM	LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$13.9K	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 11:53 AM	LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.880	$2,200	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 11:48 AM	LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	BUY YES	0.799	$4,504	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 11:45 AM	LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$10.8K	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 11:16 AM	LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.813	$4,066	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 11:15 AM	LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.860	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 11:05 AM	LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	BUY YES	0.870	$2,519	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 11:00 AM	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$7,239	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 10:20 AM	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.690	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 09:54 AM	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$6,457	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 09:33 AM	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	BUY YES	0.745	$4,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 09:32 AM	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$7,132	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 08:54 AM	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.700	$4,800	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 08:38 AM	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$7,204	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 08:04 AM	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	BUY YES	0.693	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 07:20 PM	LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	SELL YES	0.999	$6,993	— (SELL)
Apr 28, 06:31 PM	LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary - Game 2 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$1,809	— (SELL)
Apr 28, 05:57 PM	LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	SELL YES	0.999	$6,506	— (SELL)
Apr 28, 05:26 PM	LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	BUY YES	0.630	$1,260	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 05:26 PM	LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	BUY YES	0.620	$1,468	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 05:03 PM	LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$6,334	— (SELL)
Apr 28, 04:35 PM	LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 2 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$7,711	— (SELL)
Apr 28, 04:04 PM	LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.730	$3,650	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 04:01 PM	LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$3,693	— (SELL)
Apr 28, 03:40 PM	LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 1 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$6,058	— (SELL)
Apr 28, 03:38 PM	LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner	BUY YES	0.818	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 03:17 PM	LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 1 Winner	BUY YES	0.809	$2,691	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 10:49 AM	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$12.0K	— (SELL)
Apr 28, 10:18 AM	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.951	$5,697	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 10:13 AM	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.889	$4,983	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 09:42 AM	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$11.1K	— (SELL)
Apr 28, 09:13 AM	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	BUY YES	0.694	$7,729	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 05:28 PM	LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B	SELL YES	0.999	$7,801	— (SELL)
Apr 27, 04:44 PM	LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B	BUY YES	0.651	$5,085	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 04:43 PM	LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$5,139	— (SELL)
Apr 27, 04:25 PM	LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.971	$4,993	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 09:17 PM	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	SELL YES	0.999	$1,169	— (SELL)
Apr 26, 09:17 PM	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	SELL YES	0.999	$18.2K	— (SELL)
Apr 26, 09:01 PM	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	BUY YES	0.947	$12.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 08:52 PM	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	BUY YES	0.802	$4,970	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 08:49 PM	LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$5,478	— (SELL)
Apr 26, 08:20 PM	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$19.0K	— (SELL)
Apr 26, 08:02 PM	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.871	$4,975	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 07:18 PM	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.720	$1,044	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 07:07 PM	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.732	$3,643	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 06:29 PM	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner	BUY YES	0.770	$3,823	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 06:27 PM	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner	BUY YES	0.750	$1,593	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 05:59 PM	LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	SELL YES	0.999	$13.3K	— (SELL)
Apr 26, 05:32 PM	LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	BUY YES	0.838	$4,009	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 05:01 PM	LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	BUY YES	0.700	$5,946	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 04:02 PM	LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$6,204	— (SELL)
Apr 26, 03:17 PM	LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	BUY YES	0.770	$3,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 12:59 PM	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$13.6K	— (SELL)
Apr 26, 12:01 PM	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.712	$9,709	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 11:45 AM	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	BUY YES	0.744	$3,969	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 11:38 AM	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$13.7K	— (SELL)
Apr 26, 11:05 AM	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.760	$3,185	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 10:46 AM	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.750	$4,466	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 09:56 AM	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner	BUY YES	0.760	$8,028	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 09:32 AM	LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	BUY YES	0.965	$4,995	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 09:30 AM	LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	SELL YES	0.990	$5,983	— (SELL)
Apr 26, 09:30 AM	LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner	SELL YES	0.990	$7,107	— (SELL)
Apr 26, 08:49 AM	LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	BUY YES	0.890	$5,378	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 08:30 AM	LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.690	$4,954	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 06:13 PM	LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	SELL YES	0.990	$7,651	— (SELL)
Apr 25, 05:02 PM	LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	BUY YES	0.640	$4,946	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 05:01 PM	LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$7,748	— (SELL)
Apr 25, 04:09 PM	LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.631	$4,895	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 03:20 PM	LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	BUY YES	0.604	$2,964	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 01:37 PM	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	SELL YES	0.999	$9,450	— (SELL)
Apr 25, 12:58 PM	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	BUY YES	0.583	$5,511	—
Apr 25, 12:40 PM	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$5,582	— (SELL)
Apr 25, 12:22 PM	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.732	$4,090	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 12:18 PM	LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$4,123	— (SELL)
Apr 25, 11:23 AM	LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.810	$3,343	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 11:22 AM	LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$3,363	— (SELL)
Apr 25, 10:54 AM	LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner	BUY YES	0.770	$2,592	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 10:47 AM	LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	SELL YES	0.999	$2,610	— (SELL)
Apr 25, 10:02 AM	LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	BUY YES	0.820	$1,136	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 09:25 AM	LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	BUY YES	0.930	$1,994	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 11:47 AM	0xb881088c	SELL	0.999	$2,726	— (SELL)
Apr 17, 11:29 AM	0xb881088c	BUY	0.790	$2,155	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 12:47 PM	0x77625a91	BUY	0.747	$2,688	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 11:38 AM	0x4b66862c	BUY	0.680	$5,918	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 11:37 AM	0x1200ea52	SELL	0.990	$5,977	— (SELL)
Apr 16, 10:58 AM	0x1200ea52	BUY	0.750	$4,528	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 10:57 AM	0x6bd46089	SELL	0.990	$4,564	— (SELL)
Apr 16, 10:03 AM	0x6bd46089	BUY	0.792	$3,652	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 09:58 AM	0x45195ccf	SELL	0.999	$3,077	— (SELL)
Apr 16, 09:27 AM	0x45195ccf	BUY	0.910	$2,802	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 08:13 AM	0xb173a550	BUY	0.637	$1,970	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 08:11 AM	0xddad0d92	BUY	0.584	$1,972	—
Apr 12, 01:35 PM	0x1a9b8e5b	SELL	0.999	$10.1K	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 12:53 PM	0x58564dc9	SELL	0.999	$6,648	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 12:18 PM	0x1a9b8e5b	BUY	0.772	$6,025	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 11:56 AM	0x58564dc9	BUY	0.749	$1,985	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 11:53 AM	0x58564dc9	BUY	0.744	$2,977	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 11:35 AM	0x2dd78ec6	SELL	0.999	$11.1K	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 11:08 AM	0x2dd78ec6	BUY	0.958	$4,631	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 10:58 AM	0x2dd78ec6	BUY	0.823	$1,989	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 10:53 AM	0x2dd78ec6	BUY	0.779	$2,980	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 10:35 AM	0x40934896	SELL	0.999	$9,637	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 10:19 AM	0x40934896	BUY	0.906	$5,143	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 10:12 AM	0x40934896	BUY	0.750	$2,978	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 09:25 AM	0xabcdcac0	SELL	0.999	$3,294	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 09:25 AM	0xbf2576ba	SELL	0.999	$4,864	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 09:05 AM	0xabcdcac0	BUY	0.818	$2,696	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 08:38 AM	0xbf2576ba	BUY	0.609	$2,965	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 08:37 AM	0x4c8ba660	SELL	0.999	$5,711	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 08:18 AM	0x4c8ba660	BUY	0.848	$4,849	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 06:48 PM	0x4f4822fc	SELL	0.999	$4,872	— (SELL)
Apr 11, 06:11 PM	0x4f4822fc	BUY	0.720	$3,511	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 05:52 PM	0x65b25358	SELL	0.999	$3,541	— (SELL)
Apr 11, 05:33 PM	0x65b25358	BUY	0.844	$2,993	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 04:16 PM	0x6164dd3b	BUY	0.745	$3,673	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 03:53 PM	0xe263a8ea	SELL	0.999	$3,701	— (SELL)
Apr 11, 03:33 PM	0xe263a8ea	BUY	0.877	$3,247	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 02:26 PM	0xec88bb98	BUY	0.933	$2,280	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 02:16 PM	0x6164dd3b	BUY	0.688	$2,260	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

66 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Other	4	$36.6K	$-2,122
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner	Other	4	$28.6K	$-9,319
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Other	3	$27.7K	$-18,485
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Other	2	$23.3K	$-3,917
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Other	3	$23.2K	$-3,310
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Other	3	$22.7K	$-1,369
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Other	1	$22.7K	$-22,705
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	Other	3	$21.4K	$-6,098
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Other	3	$20.9K	$-6,885
0x2dd78ec6	—	4	$20.7K	$-1,467
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	Other	3	$19.9K	$-1,739
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	Other	2	$18.9K	$-3,393
0x40934896	—	3	$17.8K	$-1,516
0x1a9b8e5b	—	2	$16.1K	$-4,085
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Other	2	$15.0K	$-3,938
LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B	Other	2	$12.9K	$-2,716
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner	Other	2	$12.6K	$-2,853
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Other	2	$12.6K	$-2,705
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Other	2	$12.2K	$-2,239
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	Other	2	$12.2K	$-2,204
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner	Other	2	$12.1K	$-2,154
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	Other	2	$11.9K	$-2,332
0x58564dc9	—	3	$11.6K	$-1,686
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 2 Winner	Other	2	$11.4K	$-4,061
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Other	2	$11.4K	$-604
0x4c8ba660	—	2	$10.6K	$-862
0x1200ea52	—	2	$10.5K	$-1,449
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Other	2	$10.5K	$-2,457
LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner	Other	2	$10.1K	$-146
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	Other	2	$9,804	$-2,604

Showing top 30 by volume.