SuperFake

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x9901…6046 with our methodology badges per row.

0x99012d12a47cb06e777cbacb156dbd82edfc6046·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

-57%

historical realized

Win rate

41.3%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$80.7K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 32 resolved trades · -57% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$132.0K

avg $2,587 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$78.6K / $53.3K

net direction

Recent trades

last 51 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jun 11, 01:50 PM	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.910	$1,547	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 12:32 PM	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	BUY NO	0.820	$2,050	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 12:31 PM	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.830	$1,828	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 07:41 PM	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	BUY YES	0.977	$1,389	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 07:40 PM	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	SELL NO	0.989	$2,206	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 02:17 PM	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	SELL NO	0.987	$1,967	— (SELL)
May 30, 04:17 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.986	$1,826	— (SELL)
May 29, 07:47 AM	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	SELL NO	0.985	$1,083	— (SELL)
May 21, 09:46 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.960	$5,760	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 09:43 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	SELL NO	0.989	$8,450	— (SELL)
May 15, 09:55 PM	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	BUY NO	0.969	$2,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 09:52 PM	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	SELL NO	0.985	$2,475	— (SELL)
May 13, 03:40 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	SELL NO	0.992	$1,724	— (SELL)
May 2, 08:22 AM	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.937	$2,624	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 08:21 AM	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.936	$1,030	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 05:37 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.940	$2,068	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 03:43 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	BUY NO	0.950	$3,040	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 08:00 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	BUY NO	0.984	$2,496	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 07:57 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.940	$7,346	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 07:46 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	BUY NO	0.920	$1,840	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 07:23 AM	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	BUY NO	0.970	$1,449	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 07:22 AM	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	BUY NO	0.969	$1,862	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 07:22 AM	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	BUY NO	0.968	$1,119	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 03:50 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	SELL NO	0.992	$2,531	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 09:26 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,860	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 09:25 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	BUY NO	0.983	$2,319	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 09:24 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	SELL NO	0.994	$4,286	— (SELL)
Apr 28, 08:38 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	SELL NO	0.994	$2,274	— (SELL)
Apr 27, 09:23 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	BUY NO	0.975	$2,922	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 09:22 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	SELL NO	0.994	$2,981	— (SELL)
Apr 25, 09:58 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	SELL NO	0.992	$3,552	— (SELL)
Apr 21, 01:41 PM	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	SELL NO	0.990	$1,485	— (SELL)
Apr 20, 12:23 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	BUY NO	0.940	$1,032	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 08:22 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	BUY NO	0.956	$1,718	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 08:20 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	SELL NO	0.977	$2,036	— (SELL)
Apr 18, 08:09 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	BUY NO	0.956	$3,641	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 08:08 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	BUY NO	0.953	$1,239	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 08:06 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	SELL NO	0.986	$7,857	— (SELL)
Apr 15, 10:30 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	SELL NO	0.979	$1,762	— (SELL)
Apr 15, 10:28 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	BUY NO	0.950	$1,138	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 10:27 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	SELL NO	0.980	$1,176	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 07:12 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY YES	0.980	$1,960	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 12:31 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	BUY NO	0.958	$1,997	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 09:22 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	BUY NO	0.957	$2,675	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 08:29 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,860	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 08:26 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	BUY NO	0.960	$2,875	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 05:47 PM	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.900	$10.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 05:46 PM	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	BUY NO	0.976	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 11:06 PM	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	BUY NO	0.961	$1,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 11:05 PM	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.890	$1,000	— (SELL)
Apr 8, 07:46 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	SELL NO	0.976	$1,103	— (SELL)

Markets active in

21 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Other	4	$17.0K	+$17.0K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Other	4	$16.1K	$-6,737
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Other	3	$13.3K	$-3,570
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	2	$11.0K	+$9,000
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Politics	6	$9,687	$-826
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Other	3	$9,092	$-9,092
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Other	4	$6,917	$-1,166
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Other	3	$6,597	+$6,597
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Other	3	$6,155	$-3,880
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	Tech	2	$4,475	$-475
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Other	2	$4,220	+$771
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	Other	2	$3,954	+$3,954
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Other	2	$3,686	+$34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Tech	2	$3,653	+$3,653
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Tech	2	$3,375	+$281
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Other	1	$2,500	+$2,500
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Tech	2	$2,485	$-485
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Other	1	$2,319	+$2,319
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Politics	1	$2,050	+$2,050
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Other	1	$1,960	+$1,960
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Politics	1	$1,389	+$1,389