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0x9868786a7c2c6aFb4c3A2D9fc3abeD15875164B0-1773057782256
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x9868…64b0 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
3
lifetime
PnL per $
-4%
historical realized
Win rate
78.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$5,066
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 3 resolved trades · -4% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
7
Distinct markets
6
Volume (90d)
$21.6K
avg $3,081 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$18.3K / $3,239
net direction
Recent trades
last 7 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 04:51 AM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.196 | $10.9K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 07:50 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? | SELL NO | 0.800 | $1,050 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 01:05 AM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.206 | $2,000 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 3, 05:42 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | BUY NO | 0.600 | $1,979 | — |
| Apr 16, 07:21 AM | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.797 | $3,500 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 30, 05:16 AM | Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | SELL NO | 0.646 | $1,018 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 05:23 AM | 0x7e0a944a | SELL | 0.999 | $1,171 | — (SELL) |
Markets active in
6 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sports | 2 | $12.9K | +$12.9K |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Other | 1 | $3,500 | +$3,500 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | Crypto | 1 | $1,979 | +$1,979 |
| 0x7e0a944a | — | 1 | $1,171 | $-1,171 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? | Crypto | 1 | $1,050 | $-1,050 |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | Other | 1 | $1,018 | $-1,018 |