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ygggg1
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x9854…6bf2 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
9
lifetime
PnL per $
-42%
historical realized
Win rate
29.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$46.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 9 resolved trades · -42% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
42
Distinct markets
18
Volume (90d)
$342.4K
avg $8,152 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$205.7K / $136.7K
net direction
Recent trades
last 42 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 09:03 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY NO | 0.710 | $50.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 08:41 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | SELL YES | 0.348 | $17.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 20, 07:00 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.690 | $34.5K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 09:21 PM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.460 | $5,000 | — |
| Jun 12, 09:21 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.108 | $4,200 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 09:19 PM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.460 | $5,000 | — |
| May 30, 06:48 PM | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY YES | 0.539 | $19.9K | — |
| May 30, 06:10 PM | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY YES | 0.470 | $1,426 | — |
| May 30, 05:43 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY YES | 0.210 | $1,002 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 30, 05:36 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY YES | 0.270 | $3,459 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 30, 04:38 PM | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY YES | 0.550 | $3,300 | — |
| Mar 28, 04:39 PM | 0xd68a4a78 | BUY | 0.570 | $3,000 | — |
| Mar 27, 03:57 PM | 0xf5038731 | BUY | 0.380 | $3,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 27, 03:56 PM | 0xe8e998f7 | SELL | 0.999 | $18.0K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 27, 03:01 PM | 0xe8e998f7 | BUY | 0.690 | $2,941 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 27, 03:01 PM | 0xf5038731 | SELL | 0.370 | $2,921 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 27, 02:42 PM | 0xe8e998f7 | BUY | 0.641 | $8,793 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 27, 02:42 PM | 0xe8e998f7 | SELL | 0.385 | $2,312 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 27, 03:14 AM | 0xe8e998f7 | BUY | 0.500 | $3,000 | — |
| Mar 27, 03:12 AM | 0xf5038731 | BUY | 0.380 | $3,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 23, 09:52 PM | 0x0c5d3c6d | SELL | 0.561 | $5,429 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 23, 08:30 PM | 0x0c5d3c6d | BUY | 0.310 | $3,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 23, 08:14 PM | 0xe5d01c08 | SELL | 0.999 | $8,991 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 23, 08:13 PM | 0x48052326 | SELL | 0.999 | $14.2K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 23, 07:11 PM | 0xe5d01c08 | BUY | 0.478 | $1,469 | — |
| Mar 23, 07:09 PM | 0x5fcc37b9 | SELL | 0.999 | $11.2K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 23, 06:21 PM | 0x48052326 | BUY | 0.878 | $12.4K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 06:17 PM | 0x5fcc37b9 | BUY | 0.580 | $1,862 | — |
| Mar 23, 06:16 PM | 0x5fcc37b9 | BUY | 0.622 | $5,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 05:55 PM | 0x6da6c9ee | SELL | 0.999 | $19.3K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 23, 04:57 PM | 0x6da6c9ee | BUY | 0.671 | $13.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 04:56 PM | 0x6da6c9ee | SELL | 0.430 | $1,721 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 23, 04:46 PM | 0x6da6c9ee | BUY | 0.823 | $3,290 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 04:45 PM | 0x6da6c9ee | SELL | 0.180 | $3,290 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 23, 04:41 PM | 0x6da6c9ee | BUY | 0.350 | $3,600 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 23, 04:41 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL YES | 0.329 | $3,600 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 23, 01:07 PM | 0xb204ad74 | SELL | 0.999 | $8,130 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 23, 12:46 PM | 0x6da6c9ee | BUY | 0.630 | $5,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 12:43 PM | 0xb204ad74 | BUY | 0.812 | $1,624 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 12:10 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY YES | 0.355 | $3,880 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 23, 12:04 AM | 0xc6719b70 | SELL | 0.999 | $6,018 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 23, 12:03 AM | 0x632cd2ef | SELL | 0.999 | $14.2K | — (SELL) |
Markets active in
18 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Other | 3 | $101.9K | +$67.1K |
| 0x6da6c9ee | — | 7 | $49.2K | +$550 |
| 0xe8e998f7 | — | 5 | $35.0K | $-5,549 |
| 0x48052326 | — | 2 | $26.6K | $-1,717 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Other | 2 | $21.4K | +$21.4K |
| 0x5fcc37b9 | — | 3 | $18.1K | $-4,381 |
| 0x632cd2ef | — | 1 | $14.2K | $-14,248 |
| 0xe5d01c08 | — | 2 | $10.5K | $-7,522 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Other | 2 | $10.0K | +$10.0K |
| 0xb204ad74 | — | 2 | $9,754 | $-6,507 |
| 0xf5038731 | — | 3 | $8,921 | +$3,079 |
| 0x0c5d3c6d | — | 2 | $8,429 | $-2,429 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Tech | 2 | $7,480 | +$280 |
| 0xc6719b70 | — | 1 | $6,018 | $-6,018 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | Tech | 2 | $4,462 | +$4,462 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $4,200 | +$4,200 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | Other | 1 | $3,300 | +$3,300 |
| 0xd68a4a78 | — | 1 | $3,000 | +$3,000 |