| Jun 12, 10:26 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.851 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 10:26 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.851 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 10:25 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.088 | $10.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 06:01 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.802 | $1,318 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 01:54 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.964 | $6,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 01:06 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.549 | $1,084 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 12:52 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.598 | $1,644 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 12:52 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.603 | $2,256 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 02:06 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.820 | $1,037 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 02:00 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.795 | $10.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 12:29 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.985 | $11.2K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 07:18 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 03:21 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.090 | $4,000 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 02:11 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.090 | $2,000 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 01:34 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.090 | $2,000 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 12:44 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.090 | $3,000 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 12:43 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.220 | $1,219 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 05:08 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $11.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 12:59 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.910 | $3,638 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 02:45 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.933 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 02:21 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 10:00 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.813 | $3,185 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 08:22 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $2,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 01:54 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 04:57 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.910 | $2,115 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 07:28 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.730 | $1,253 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 07:13 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.730 | $2,505 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 06:52 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $1,094 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 04:25 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.748 | $1,804 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 04:46 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.650 | $1,079 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 04:39 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.650 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 02:00 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $1,200 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 10:49 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.870 | $1,214 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 10:10 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.860 | $1,200 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 07:46 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.810 | $2,250 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 07:11 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.719 | $1,909 | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 10:30 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.683 | $1,868 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 11:39 AM | Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17? | BUY YES | 0.986 | $1,400 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 12:17 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.660 | $1,298 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 01:55 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.631 | $1,557 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 01:11 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.610 | $1,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |