bugmaster86

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x9108…eaad with our methodology badges per row.

0x9108740152eeb2bf19d28e6ff84e7b6f8b10eaad·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

-39%

historical realized

Win rate

53.9%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$89.7K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 15 resolved trades · -39% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$202.6K

avg $6,985 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$107.6K / $94.9K

net direction

Recent trades

last 29 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
May 22, 08:30 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	SELL NO	0.968	$7,906	— (SELL)
May 22, 08:30 AM	Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	SELL YES	0.809	$6,014	— (SELL)
May 22, 08:30 AM	0xc6e54956	SELL NO	0.559	$3,803	— (SELL)
May 22, 08:30 AM	0xc6e54956	SELL NO	0.814	$1,785	— (SELL)
May 22, 08:30 AM	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	SELL NO	0.934	$9,451	— (SELL)
May 22, 08:29 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	SELL NO	0.965	$4,739	— (SELL)
May 22, 08:29 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	SELL NO	0.980	$10.1K	— (SELL)
May 22, 08:29 AM	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.910	$20.4K	— (SELL)
May 22, 08:27 AM	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	SELL NO	0.961	$12.5K	— (SELL)
May 20, 02:38 PM	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	BUY NO	0.958	$1,580	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 08:43 AM	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	BUY NO	0.942	$1,830	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 07:27 AM	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	BUY YES	0.295	$2,000	Cheap band — no rep
May 18, 06:57 PM	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	BUY NO	0.993	$10.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:33 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	BUY NO	0.980	$8,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:16 AM	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	SELL NO	0.968	$18.1K	— (SELL)
May 17, 06:01 PM	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	BUY NO	0.951	$5,020	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 07:25 AM	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	BUY NO	0.950	$2,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 07:25 AM	0xc6e54956	BUY NO	0.830	$2,298	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 07:20 AM	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	BUY NO	0.950	$5,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 02:18 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	BUY NO	0.983	$15.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 07:01 PM	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.936	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 07:00 PM	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.935	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 11:18 AM	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	BUY NO	0.960	$7,900	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 11:17 AM	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	BUY NO	0.960	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 11:15 AM	Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	BUY YES	0.941	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 07:33 AM	Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	BUY YES	0.942	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 07:33 AM	0xc6e54956	BUY NO	0.804	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 02:21 PM	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.890	$9,998	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 02:19 PM	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.890	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

11 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	3	$40.4K	$-449
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Other	3	$36.0K	$-193
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Other	3	$29.8K	+$99
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Tech	5	$23.9K	$-1,126
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Tech	2	$19.5K	+$599
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Other	2	$15.9K	+$94
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	Politics	3	$13.0K	+$986
0xc6e54956	—	4	$12.9K	+$1,710
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Tech	1	$5,020	+$5,020
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Other	2	$4,000	+$4,000
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Politics	1	$2,000	+$2,000