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0x8fef…06c9

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x8fef…06c9 with our methodology badges per row.

0x8fef9fd8a787d585c71ad1a3df50bef03b1d06c9·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
29
lifetime
PnL per $
-15%
historical realized
Win rate
80.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$354.7K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 29 resolved trades · -15% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
31
Distinct markets
23
Volume (90d)
$398.3K
avg $12.8K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$311.3K / $87.0K
net direction

Recent trades

last 31 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 13, 10:12 AMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? BUY NO0.994$26.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 06:35 AMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?BUY NO0.970$25.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 04:33 PMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.881$22.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 12:33 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.950$21.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 07:19 AMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?SELL YES0.946$21.2K— (SELL)
May 24, 07:42 AMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?BUY YES0.980$22.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 07:41 AMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?SELL YES0.998$22.6K— (SELL)
May 23, 04:09 PMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?BUY YES0.964$21.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 07:18 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?BUY NO0.972$11.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 07:34 AMIran closes its airspace by May 21?BUY NO0.870$9,988Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 07:33 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?SELL NO0.980$10.1K— (SELL)
May 19, 05:15 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?BUY NO0.972$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 06:04 PMIran closes its airspace by May 15?BUY NO0.977$11.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 03:38 PMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?BUY YES0.973$11.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 02:22 PMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?BUY YES0.974$11.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 02:57 PMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?BUY YES0.986$11.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 05:55 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?BUY NO0.970$10.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 6, 03:49 PMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 6?BUY YES0.975$10.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 08:05 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?BUY NO0.940$7,538Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 07:21 AMQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?BUY NO0.629$2,513Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 07:00 AMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?BUY NO0.947$10.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 06:38 AMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?BUY NO0.960$8,682Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 06:38 AMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?SELL NO0.996$8,726— (SELL)
Apr 27, 08:40 PMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?BUY NO0.910$5,227Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 08:17 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?BUY NO0.966$5,227Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 07:21 AMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?BUY NO0.948$8,303Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 07:21 AMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?SELL NO0.980$8,345— (SELL)
Apr 26, 06:59 AMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?BUY NO0.982$8,360Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 06:58 AMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?SELL NO0.993$8,402— (SELL)
Apr 25, 03:13 PMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?BUY NO0.890$7,527Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 03:12 PMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?SELL NO0.992$7,599— (SELL)

Markets active in

23 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Other2$44.5K$-768
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Other2$43.6K+$1,253
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Other3$41.5K+$21.3K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? Other1$26.1K+$26.1K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Other1$25.2K+$25.2K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Other1$22.5K+$22.5K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Other1$21.4K+$21.4K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?Other2$17.0K$-423
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Other2$16.7K+$15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Other2$15.9K$-875
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Other2$13.9K+$13.9K
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Tech1$11.8K+$11.8K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?Crypto1$11.5K+$11.5K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?Crypto1$11.2K+$11.2K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?Crypto1$11.1K+$11.1K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?Other1$10.8K+$10.8K
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 6?Crypto1$10.6K+$10.6K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Other1$10.1K+$10.1K
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Tech1$9,988+$9,988
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Other1$7,599$-7,599
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Other1$7,538+$7,538
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Politics1$5,227+$5,227
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Other1$2,513+$2,513