Back to whale feed
Lessgo123
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x8b24…c4be with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
9
lifetime
PnL per $
-67%
historical realized
Win rate
29.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$117.5K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 9 resolved trades · -67% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
17
Distinct markets
13
Volume (90d)
$195.2K
avg $11.5K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$35.7K / $159.5K
net direction
Recent trades
last 17 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 02:48 AM | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.884 | $5,306 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 02:48 AM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.465 | $11.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 12:49 AM | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY YES | 0.910 | $2,703 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 6, 11:27 AM | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY YES | 0.890 | $3,180 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 03:29 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $33.3K | — (SELL) |
| May 2, 03:29 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $17.0K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 22, 02:17 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $14.9K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 22, 02:17 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $14.9K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 22, 02:14 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $14.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 22, 02:14 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $14.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 8, 03:04 AM | 0x769cb428 | SELL | 0.999 | $1,898 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 8, 03:04 AM | 0x5bca8e83 | SELL | 0.999 | $4,917 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 8, 03:04 AM | 0x250b35b0 | SELL | 0.999 | $16.7K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 7, 11:51 PM | 0x8ab5da8d | SELL | 0.999 | $15.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 7, 08:21 PM | 0x112398b4 | SELL | 0.999 | $9,783 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 7, 08:21 PM | 0x690ca1d5 | SELL | 0.999 | $11.8K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 3, 02:44 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.180 | $1,586 | — (SELL) |
Markets active in
13 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Tech | 4 | $80.2K | $-20,517 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Other | 2 | $29.8K | $-29,825 |
| 0x250b35b0 | — | 1 | $16.7K | $-16,739 |
| 0x8ab5da8d | — | 1 | $15.9K | $-15,874 |
| 0x690ca1d5 | — | 1 | $11.8K | $-11,762 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sports | 1 | $11.5K | $-11,457 |
| 0x112398b4 | — | 1 | $9,783 | $-9,783 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | Other | 1 | $5,306 | $-5,306 |
| 0x5bca8e83 | — | 1 | $4,917 | $-4,917 |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Politics | 1 | $3,180 | +$3,180 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | Politics | 1 | $2,703 | +$2,703 |
| 0x769cb428 | — | 1 | $1,898 | $-1,898 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Other | 1 | $1,586 | $-1,586 |