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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x8a26…937e with our methodology badges per row.

0x8a269634753d90783f52c58e5ae9a8b9679e937e·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
43
lifetime
PnL per $
-21%
historical realized
Win rate
33.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$123.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 43 resolved trades · -21% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
53
Distinct markets
27
Volume (90d)
$199.7K
avg $3,768 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$76.8K / $123.0K
net direction

Recent trades

last 53 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 21, 01:55 AMWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?SELL YES0.990$21.6K— (SELL)
Jun 21, 01:18 AMWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?BUY YES0.311$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 01:12 AMWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?BUY YES0.260$1,500Cheap band — no rep
Jun 20, 09:59 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.990$14.8K— (SELL)
Jun 20, 09:32 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.410$6,150
Jun 20, 09:26 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.160$3,200— (SELL)
Jun 20, 06:24 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.680$13.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:19 PMNetherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreSELL YES0.990$7,425— (SELL)
Jun 13, 09:17 AMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?BUY YES0.570$2,500
Jun 13, 09:17 AMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?BUY YES0.630$2,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 08:50 AMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?BUY YES0.570$2,500
Jun 12, 03:55 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?SELL YES0.990$4,752— (SELL)
Jun 12, 03:32 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.250$1,200Cheap band — no rep
Jun 12, 03:21 AMWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?BUY YES0.270$1,500Cheap band — no rep
Jun 4, 03:53 AMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionSELL YES0.993$22.1K— (SELL)
Jun 3, 11:31 PMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionSELL YES0.970$3,815— (SELL)
Jun 3, 09:24 PMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY YES0.690$1,100Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 09:24 PMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY YES0.685$1,800Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 08:54 PMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY YES0.628$1,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 08:53 PMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY YES0.628$1,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 08:53 PMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY YES0.628$2,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 08:51 PMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY YES0.630$2,200Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 08:51 PMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY YES0.633$1,100Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 08:39 PMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY YES0.639$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 12:45 PMWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionSELL YES0.875$2,689— (SELL)
Jun 1, 12:45 PMWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?SELL YES0.805$4,713— (SELL)
Jun 1, 04:59 AMWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionSELL YES0.830$2,450— (SELL)
Jun 1, 12:21 AMWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles DodgersSELL NO0.999$1,012— (SELL)
May 31, 10:27 AMWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY YES0.830$2,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 10:25 AMWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?BUY YES0.854$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 06:02 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?SELL YES0.999$3,893— (SELL)
May 30, 05:42 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY YES0.630$1,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 05:33 PMParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreSELL YES0.990$2,856— (SELL)
May 30, 03:55 PMStephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5BUY YES0.587$2,500
May 30, 03:50 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY YES0.380$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 28, 06:12 PMWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red SoxBUY NO0.617$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 09:01 AMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?SELL YES0.821$1,791— (SELL)
May 24, 09:01 AMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?SELL YES0.658$2,463— (SELL)
May 23, 08:49 PMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?SELL YES0.997$1,511— (SELL)
May 23, 08:40 PMWill SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?SELL YES0.990$4,389— (SELL)
May 23, 07:55 PMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?SELL YES0.999$5,749— (SELL)
May 23, 03:48 PMWill SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?BUY YES0.560$1,500
May 23, 03:00 PMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.687$1,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 03:00 PMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.374$1,400Killed band — neutral expectation
May 23, 12:59 PMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?BUY YES0.710$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 03:22 AMOG Anunoby: Points O/U 13.5SELL YES0.999$1,245— (SELL)
May 17, 07:44 PMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?SELL YES0.999$2,180— (SELL)
May 17, 10:46 AMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.550$1,200
May 17, 10:43 AMWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?SELL YES0.971$3,417— (SELL)
May 17, 09:36 AMWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.710$2,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 04:36 AMWill the fight be won by KO or TKO?SELL YES0.999$1,833— (SELL)
May 17, 04:32 AMWill Dooho Choi win by KO or TKO?SELL YES0.999$1,840— (SELL)
May 5, 09:57 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?SELL YES0.999$1,128— (SELL)

Markets active in

27 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPolitics10$39.6K$-12,242
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Other4$37.8K+$1,700
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Other3$28.1K$-15,134
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Politics2$9,713+$287
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?Other2$8,749$-2,749
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPolitics3$7,639$-2,639
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreCrypto1$7,425$-7,425
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Other2$5,952$-3,552
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?Other2$5,917$-917
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?Other2$5,889$-2,889
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Tech2$5,393$-2,393
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Other2$5,000+$5,000
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Politics2$3,863$-1,063
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?Other2$3,380$-980
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Politics2$3,291$-291
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreTech1$2,856$-2,856
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Other1$2,500+$2,500
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Other1$2,500+$2,500
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Tech1$2,000+$2,000
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red SoxOther1$2,000+$2,000
Will Dooho Choi win by KO or TKO?Other1$1,840$-1,840
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Other1$1,833$-1,833
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?Other1$1,511$-1,511
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?Other1$1,500+$1,500
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 13.5Other1$1,245$-1,245
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Other1$1,128$-1,128
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles DodgersOther1$1,012$-1,012