| Jun 20, 10:00 PM | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.840 | $42.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:42 PM | Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY YES | 0.500 | $4,250 | —— |
| Jun 13, 02:42 PM | Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY YES | 0.500 | $2,500 | —— |
| Jun 13, 02:27 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? | BUY YES | 0.738 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:27 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17? | BUY YES | 0.725 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:26 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | SELL YES | 0.350 | $2,634 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 02:10 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? | BUY YES | 0.605 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:10 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | BUY YES | 0.482 | $5,000 | —— |
| Jun 13, 02:10 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | BUY YES | 0.354 | $2,000 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 13, 12:53 AM | United States to score first vs. Paraguay? | BUY YES | 0.570 | $1,272 | —— |
| Jun 12, 10:23 PM | Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY YES | 0.490 | $5,500 | —— |
| Jun 12, 07:14 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | SELL YES | 0.401 | $1,751 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 09:26 PM | Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY YES | 0.510 | $1,020 | —— |
| Jun 11, 09:08 PM | Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY YES | 0.510 | $7,764 | —— |
| Jun 11, 06:55 PM | Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY YES | 0.257 | $2,900 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 11, 06:29 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL YES | 0.087 | $1,138 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 06:27 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL YES | 0.104 | $1,094 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 04:59 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.116 | $2,383 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 01:04 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.811 | $21.2K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 10:41 PM | Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5 | BUY YES | 0.490 | $1,500 | —— |
| Jun 10, 10:38 PM | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 10? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $4,188 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 06:04 AM | Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.560 | $4,419 | —— |
| Jun 10, 05:59 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.626 | $3,130 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 03:51 AM | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.700 | $5,298 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 12:36 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL YES | 0.090 | $1,193 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 12:29 AM | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.700 | $3,885 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 12:14 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? | BUY NO | 0.560 | $1,140 | —— |
| Jun 10, 12:13 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? | BUY NO | 0.550 | $1,119 | —— |
| Jun 9, 09:00 PM | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.700 | $5,298 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 05:20 PM | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.700 | $3,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 05:19 PM | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.700 | $4,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 06:20 AM | Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY NO | 0.540 | $3,559 | —— |
| Jun 8, 05:34 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.779 | $4,519 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 11:45 AM | Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.975 | $1,462 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 11:34 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.630 | $1,702 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 04:15 AM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.827 | $5,296 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 04:15 AM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.750 | $1,363 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 01:07 AM | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $5,291 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 01:07 AM | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $19.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 07:55 PM | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $14.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 07:23 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY YES | 0.711 | $1,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 07:23 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY YES | 0.717 | $2,300 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 04:32 AM | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL YES | 0.600 | $2,275 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 11:30 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.632 | $1,437 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 09:18 PM | Iran closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY YES | 0.254 | $1,271 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 5, 05:53 PM | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | SELL YES | 0.350 | $1,128 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 05:52 PM | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1? | SELL YES | 0.995 | $1,643 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 06:41 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | SELL YES | 0.560 | $3,690 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 06:41 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | SELL YES | 0.863 | $4,317 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 06:41 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | SELL YES | 0.700 | $8,862 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 06:39 AM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.894 | $1,824 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 06:39 AM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.971 | $1,214 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 05:45 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.166 | $1,943 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 04:45 AM | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY YES | 0.680 | $1,425 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 04:29 AM | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY YES | 0.628 | $1,422 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 04:29 AM | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY YES | 0.619 | $7,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 06:40 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | SELL YES | 0.600 | $1,812 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 11:22 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.340 | $1,499 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 2, 11:22 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY YES | 0.237 | $2,000 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 2, 04:34 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.670 | $1,675 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 01:41 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? | BUY NO | 0.720 | $1,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 12:38 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.930 | $14.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 11:46 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $5,804 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 01:18 AM | Will Solana dip to $80 in May? | SELL NO | 0.450 | $2,650 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 09:25 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.943 | $14.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 06:39 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 25-31? | BUY NO | 0.530 | $1,219 | —— |
| May 27, 06:38 AM | Will Solana dip to $80 in May? | BUY NO | 0.650 | $3,250 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 12:15 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.963 | $13.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 12:10 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | SELL NO | 0.969 | $6,070 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 12:10 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | SELL NO | 0.976 | $1,174 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 06:22 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY YES | 0.409 | $1,100 | —— |
| May 26, 12:05 PM | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BUY YES | 0.550 | $1,375 | —— |
| May 26, 12:05 PM | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BUY YES | 0.530 | $1,500 | —— |
| May 26, 12:03 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $2,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 12:03 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $1,400 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 12:03 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $1,400 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 05:04 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $2,200 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 06:52 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? | BUY NO | 0.889 | $1,700 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 05:17 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.481 | $1,300 | —— |
| May 24, 03:16 AM | Will Solana dip to $80 in May? | BUY NO | 0.760 | $1,701 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 03:08 AM | Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5 | SELL YES | 0.999 | $2,658 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 03:06 AM | Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5 | SELL YES | 0.999 | $4,312 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 11:43 PM | Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5 | BUY YES | 0.533 | $2,000 | —— |
| May 23, 09:24 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY YES | 0.690 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 09:24 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY YES | 0.678 | $2,200 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 08:41 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.762 | $3,800 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 08:41 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.833 | $1,700 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 08:32 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.610 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 08:32 PM | Will Solana dip to $80 in May? | BUY NO | 0.695 | $2,800 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 11:31 PM | Will Solana dip to $80 in May? | SELL NO | 0.564 | $3,003 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 11:25 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.409 | $1,180 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 11:24 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.598 | $12.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 03:54 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.757 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 03:54 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.750 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 06:53 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | BUY YES | 0.830 | $1,103 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 03:38 PM | Will Solana dip to $80 in May? | BUY NO | 0.610 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 03:38 PM | Will Solana dip to $80 in May? | BUY NO | 0.610 | $1,525 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 11:07 AM | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY NO | 0.500 | $1,000 | —— |
| May 20, 11:03 AM | Will Solana dip to $80 in May? | BUY NO | 0.496 | $1,600 | —— |
| May 18, 09:18 PM | Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May? | SELL NO | 0.379 | $1,136 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 12:08 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.650 | $1,455 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 12:08 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.650 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 11:08 PM | Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5 | BUY YES | 0.540 | $1,080 | —— |
| May 16, 06:47 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | BUY NO | 0.700 | $3,117 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |