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Soarin22
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x84db…aeeb with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
17
lifetime
PnL per $
+7%
historical realized
Win rate
74.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$76.9K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.
Trades (90d)
130
Distinct markets
83
Volume (90d)
$1.18M
avg $9,083 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$1.16M / $17.8K
net direction
Recent trades
last 130 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 06:42 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.680 | $51.5K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 06:38 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.680 | $13.6K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 06:19 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.680 | $81.6K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 09:44 PM | Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY YES | 0.468 | $1,201 | — |
| May 28, 06:41 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.285 | $11.4K | Conviction tier |
| May 27, 03:01 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.282 | $1,079 | Conviction tier |
| May 25, 04:05 PM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY YES | 0.620 | $1,093 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 04:04 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY NO | 0.615 | $3,198 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 04:54 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.253 | $1,181 | Conviction tier |
| May 24, 02:09 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.220 | $1,141 | Conviction tier |
| May 23, 01:22 AM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY NO | 0.521 | $1,218 | — |
| May 23, 01:06 AM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY YES | 0.486 | $1,015 | — |
| May 22, 11:38 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.201 | $2,568 | Conviction tier |
| May 22, 11:27 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.197 | $2,253 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 21, 08:52 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.309 | $2,239 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 21, 08:48 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.169 | $1,377 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 14, 04:04 PM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.590 | $20.5K | — |
| May 14, 03:59 PM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.580 | $19.1K | — |
| May 14, 05:38 AM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY YES | 0.710 | $6,395 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 04:32 AM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.590 | $16.9K | — |
| May 11, 11:31 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.127 | $3,893 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 5, 08:38 PM | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.037 | $1,087 | — |
| May 1, 04:40 AM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.530 | $35.9K | — |
| Apr 30, 06:25 PM | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.041 | $1,074 | — |
| Apr 29, 06:51 PM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.530 | $1,590 | — |
| Apr 29, 05:20 PM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.528 | $28.7K | — |
| Apr 29, 05:18 PM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.520 | $10.4K | — |
| Apr 28, 01:33 AM | Spread: Nuggets (-10.5) | BUY YES | 0.450 | $13.5K | — |
| Apr 28, 01:33 AM | Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | BUY YES | 0.190 | $6,830 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 26, 10:29 PM | Spread: Celtics (-6.5) | BUY YES | 0.491 | $4,180 | — |
| Apr 25, 01:06 AM | Spread: Spurs (-1.5) | BUY YES | 0.440 | $1,159 | — |
| Apr 22, 01:11 AM | Spread: Rockets (-4.5) | BUY | 0.550 | $2,348 | — |
| Apr 22, 01:11 AM | Rockets vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.660 | $4,734 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 21, 09:08 PM | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.045 | $1,240 | — |
| Apr 21, 05:19 PM | Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY NO | 0.983 | $13.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 20, 07:56 PM | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.047 | $2,127 | — |
| Apr 17, 07:28 PM | 0x6930e1f8 | BUY | 0.420 | $18.5K | — |
| Apr 17, 07:28 PM | 0x6930e1f8 | BUY | 0.420 | $10.4K | — |
| Apr 17, 06:23 PM | 0x6930e1f8 | BUY | 0.420 | $33.0K | — |
| Apr 17, 08:05 AM | 0x1132ea2c | SELL | 0.400 | $17.8K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 15, 07:45 PM | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY YES | 0.958 | $13.1K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 15, 06:39 AM | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY YES | 0.957 | $2,551 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 14, 02:01 PM | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY YES | 0.947 | $1,339 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 14, 02:01 PM | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY NO | 0.965 | $1,137 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 14, 02:25 AM | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY YES | 0.959 | $1,252 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 09:09 PM | 0x7360705d | BUY | 0.500 | $1,007 | — |
| Apr 12, 03:44 PM | 0x3011045a | BUY | 0.530 | $4,473 | — |
| Apr 12, 03:34 PM | 0x3b28a554 | BUY | 0.640 | $1,333 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 03:34 PM | 0x3b28a554 | BUY | 0.640 | $17.1K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 05:57 AM | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY YES | 0.958 | $4,768 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 03:55 AM | 0x4d93be7c | BUY NO | 0.879 | $26.3K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 11, 06:34 PM | 0xb1a0c0e3 | BUY | 0.629 | $1,684 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 11, 12:20 AM | 0xa2442d3d | BUY | 0.500 | $9,850 | — |
| Apr 10, 11:40 PM | 0x731d3440 | BUY | 0.400 | $11.8K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 10, 11:10 PM | 0x8b3c5c1f | BUY | 0.494 | $5,256 | — |
| Apr 9, 11:02 PM | 0x0b70029c | BUY | 0.520 | $12.9K | — |
| Apr 9, 09:54 PM | 0xf2681d21 | BUY | 0.520 | $6,477 | — |
| Apr 9, 09:42 PM | 0x07b86be2 | BUY | 0.360 | $14.1K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 9, 09:41 PM | 0x0b70029c | BUY | 0.470 | $9,841 | — |
| Apr 9, 06:11 AM | 0xffdbbf2c | BUY YES | 0.130 | $1,529 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 9, 05:22 AM | 0x2b38ba26 | BUY NO | 0.930 | $1,361 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 9, 05:07 AM | 0xffdbbf2c | BUY NO | 0.860 | $86.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 8, 11:00 PM | 0x15e73b7f | BUY | 0.480 | $4,909 | — |
| Apr 8, 10:50 PM | 0x4515b891 | BUY | 0.490 | $1,248 | — |
| Apr 7, 08:58 PM | 0x2b38ba26 | BUY NO | 0.930 | $11.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 6, 11:01 PM | 0x775647c5 | BUY | 0.500 | $11.0K | — |
| Apr 6, 04:45 PM | 0x22259c08 | BUY | 0.590 | $14.6K | — |
| Apr 5, 07:09 PM | 0xa0bf8da4 | BUY | 0.490 | $6,591 | — |
| Apr 5, 07:09 PM | 0xda55e55e | BUY | 0.530 | $5,081 | — |
| Apr 4, 12:01 AM | 0xe5c7d216 | BUY | 0.500 | $5,484 | — |
| Apr 3, 10:59 PM | 0x2b3fc437 | BUY | 0.100 | $6,811 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 3, 09:24 PM | 0x2b5d41cb | BUY | 0.410 | $7,230 | — |
| Apr 3, 09:24 PM | 0xeda28f3b | BUY | 0.520 | $3,155 | — |
| Apr 1, 11:07 PM | 0xa1422a05 | BUY | 0.510 | $3,518 | — |
| Apr 1, 09:31 PM | 0x6449a32e | BUY | 0.510 | $2,237 | — |
| Mar 31, 11:00 PM | 0x344fc62f | BUY | 0.510 | $2,526 | — |
| Mar 31, 11:00 PM | 0xf132bde3 | BUY | 0.420 | $9,816 | — |
| Mar 31, 05:17 PM | 0x76708680 | BUY | 0.520 | $1,452 | — |
| Mar 31, 05:16 PM | 0x32156857 | BUY | 0.460 | $8,342 | — |
| Mar 31, 05:16 PM | 0x32156857 | BUY | 0.460 | $1,271 | — |
| Mar 31, 01:00 AM | 0x87e4ca5f | BUY | 0.480 | $19.1K | — |
| Mar 31, 01:00 AM | 0x87e4ca5f | BUY | 0.470 | $1,427 | — |
| Mar 30, 11:33 PM | 0x318fcd38 | BUY | 0.490 | $19.5K | — |
| Mar 30, 11:13 PM | 0x322ca86c | BUY | 0.510 | $1,707 | — |
| Mar 30, 09:51 PM | 0x26bcc867 | BUY | 0.150 | $1,013 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 30, 09:24 PM | 0x87e4ca5f | BUY | 0.480 | $4,764 | — |
| Mar 30, 04:44 PM | 0x43ec63bd | BUY | 0.525 | $14.1K | — |
| Mar 30, 01:17 AM | 0xa5136399 | BUY | 0.500 | $2,000 | — |
| Mar 29, 10:29 PM | 0xca02d1b3 | BUY | 0.500 | $2,000 | — |
| Mar 29, 10:29 PM | 0xca02d1b3 | BUY | 0.500 | $2,004 | — |
| Mar 29, 10:28 PM | 0xdd01cba3 | BUY | 0.520 | $6,032 | — |
| Mar 29, 09:36 PM | 0xef54425d | BUY | 0.480 | $21.3K | — |
| Mar 29, 09:32 PM | 0x0f667610 | BUY | 0.520 | $3,018 | — |
| Mar 29, 05:57 PM | 0x33e71142 | BUY | 0.530 | $11.8K | — |
| Mar 29, 05:06 PM | 0x1b85fce2 | BUY | 0.530 | $1,060 | — |
| Mar 29, 04:51 PM | 0x1b85fce2 | BUY | 0.530 | $4,240 | — |
| Mar 29, 12:50 AM | 0x3a243e36 | BUY | 0.490 | $1,960 | — |
| Mar 28, 11:42 PM | 0xf09b2bc0 | BUY | 0.510 | $8,583 | — |
| Mar 28, 09:45 PM | 0x3e513798 | BUY | 0.520 | $4,160 | — |
| Mar 27, 06:38 PM | 0x8cdf3e7e | BUY | 0.380 | $1,064 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 26, 10:40 PM | 0xeb245640 | BUY | 0.790 | $31.6K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 26, 09:37 PM | 0xeb245640 | BUY | 0.770 | $15.4K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 26, 09:33 PM | 0xeb245640 | BUY | 0.770 | $11.6K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 26, 08:31 PM | 0x27c8a932 | BUY | 0.460 | $2,944 | — |
| Mar 26, 01:04 AM | 0x4084f58e | BUY | 0.470 | $11.1K | — |
| Mar 26, 12:03 AM | 0x0cb93f6e | BUY | 0.530 | $7,950 | — |
| Mar 25, 11:26 PM | 0x8019508a | BUY | 0.520 | $20.8K | — |
| Mar 25, 09:50 PM | 0x9f8ff091 | BUY | 0.440 | $8,800 | — |
| Mar 25, 09:29 PM | 0x9f8ff091 | BUY | 0.430 | $9,773 | — |
| Mar 25, 09:29 PM | 0x8a895104 | BUY | 0.480 | $9,796 | — |
| Mar 25, 05:27 PM | 0x742cccb8 | BUY | 0.410 | $20.5K | — |
| Mar 24, 10:55 PM | 0xc2e89812 | BUY | 0.510 | $5,952 | — |
| Mar 24, 04:01 AM | 0xee2e5609 | BUY | 0.999 | $18.6K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 11:39 PM | 0x3a218243 | BUY | 0.520 | $11.6K | — |
| Mar 23, 11:37 PM | 0x404ea064 | BUY | 0.530 | $6,172 | — |
| Mar 23, 11:23 PM | 0x3a218243 | BUY | 0.500 | $15.0K | — |
| Mar 23, 10:39 PM | 0xfc987460 | BUY | 0.540 | $2,160 | — |
| Mar 23, 10:19 PM | 0x9e5f2ffb | BUY | 0.880 | $12.3K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 09:53 PM | 0xfc987460 | BUY | 0.520 | $2,600 | — |
| Mar 23, 08:07 PM | 0x64c8f9ae | BUY | 0.517 | $1,121 | — |
| Mar 23, 07:43 PM | 0xc72cb438 | BUY | 0.910 | $7,256 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 07:38 PM | 0x64c8f9ae | BUY | 0.509 | $1,175 | — |
| Mar 23, 07:37 PM | 0x64c8f9ae | BUY | 0.495 | $1,668 | — |
| Mar 23, 07:37 PM | 0x440a4f67 | BUY | 0.540 | $3,935 | — |
| Mar 23, 06:10 PM | 0x1745319c | BUY | 0.620 | $6,200 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 05:45 PM | 0x7b55feee | BUY | 0.150 | $1,345 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 23, 05:45 PM | 0x7b55feee | BUY | 0.148 | $2,971 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 23, 04:06 PM | 0xfc987460 | BUY | 0.520 | $1,040 | — |
| Mar 23, 03:27 PM | 0xfc987460 | BUY | 0.529 | $4,284 | — |
| Mar 23, 03:14 PM | 0xfc987460 | BUY | 0.520 | $1,199 | — |
Markets active in
83 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Other | 3 | $146.7K | +$146.7K |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sports | 7 | $133.2K | +$133.2K |
| 0xffdbbf2c | — | 2 | $87.5K | +$87.5K |
| 0x6930e1f8 | — | 3 | $61.9K | +$61.9K |
| 0xeb245640 | — | 3 | $58.5K | +$58.5K |
| 0x3a218243 | — | 2 | $26.6K | +$26.6K |
| 0x4d93be7c | — | 1 | $26.3K | +$26.3K |
| 0x87e4ca5f | — | 3 | $25.2K | +$25.2K |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sports | 8 | $24.9K | +$24.9K |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Sports | 5 | $23.0K | +$23.0K |
| 0x0b70029c | — | 2 | $22.7K | +$22.7K |
| 0xef54425d | — | 1 | $21.3K | +$21.3K |
| 0x8019508a | — | 1 | $20.8K | +$20.8K |
| 0x742cccb8 | — | 1 | $20.5K | +$20.5K |
| 0x318fcd38 | — | 1 | $19.5K | +$19.5K |
| 0xee2e5609 | — | 1 | $18.6K | +$18.6K |
| 0x9f8ff091 | — | 2 | $18.6K | +$18.6K |
| 0x3b28a554 | — | 2 | $18.4K | +$18.4K |
| 0x1132ea2c | — | 1 | $17.8K | $-17,824 |
| 0x22259c08 | — | 1 | $14.6K | +$14.6K |
| 0x07b86be2 | — | 1 | $14.1K | +$14.1K |
| 0x43ec63bd | — | 1 | $14.1K | +$14.1K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-10.5) | Other | 1 | $13.5K | +$13.5K |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Sports | 1 | $13.0K | +$13.0K |
| 0x2b38ba26 | — | 2 | $12.3K | +$12.3K |
| 0x9e5f2ffb | — | 1 | $12.3K | +$12.3K |
| 0x731d3440 | — | 1 | $11.8K | +$11.8K |
| 0x33e71142 | — | 1 | $11.8K | +$11.8K |
| 0xfc987460 | — | 5 | $11.3K | +$11.3K |
| 0x4084f58e | — | 1 | $11.1K | +$11.1K |
Showing top 30 by volume.