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PredictorWC
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x8213…7c86 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
6
lifetime
PnL per $
-32%
historical realized
Win rate
32.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$60.7K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 6 resolved trades · -32% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
6
Distinct markets
4
Volume (90d)
$60.7K
avg $10.1K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$36.4K / $24.3K
net direction
Recent trades
last 6 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 02:53 PM | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY YES | 0.820 | $14.6K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 10:19 PM | Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $14.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 08:45 PM | Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY YES | 0.643 | $9,429 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 03:38 AM | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | SELL YES | 0.364 | $9,692 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 11:21 PM | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.380 | $10.1K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 02:03 PM | Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | BUY YES | 0.210 | $2,282 | Cheap band — no rep |
Markets active in
4 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Other | 2 | $24.1K | $-5,220 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Other | 2 | $19.8K | +$424 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Other | 1 | $14.6K | +$14.6K |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Other | 1 | $2,282 | +$2,282 |