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Redlu

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x81e0…aff6 with our methodology badges per row.

0x81e0595440b89dd65b1cedf081a5024ebef7aff6·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
3
lifetime
PnL per $
+53%
historical realized
Win rate
100.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$23.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 3 resolved trades · 53% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
13
Distinct markets
8
Volume (90d)
$107.3K
avg $8,253 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$97.6K / $9,671
net direction

Recent trades

last 13 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
May 18, 03:52 AMPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY NO0.920$28.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 03:48 AMErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?BUY NO0.917$4,453Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 03:46 AMWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY NO0.400$2,289Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 13, 05:38 AMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY NO0.820$22.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 04:41 PM0xfcde02afBUY YES0.750$1,660Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 04:41 PMTrump out as President before 2027?SELL NO0.830$1,660— (SELL)
Apr 11, 09:56 AM0xa312499cBUY NO0.760$8,011Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 09:55 AMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL NO0.810$8,011— (SELL)
Apr 1, 10:42 AM0xfcde02afBUY YES0.696$2,994Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 10:42 AMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY YES0.660$2,846Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 10:41 AMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY YES0.660$6,966Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 10:41 AM0xfcde02afBUY YES0.680$4,301Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 10:40 AMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY YES0.650$13.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

8 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Other2$30.7K+$14.7K
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics1$28.1K+$28.1K
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Other3$23.1K+$23.1K
0xfcde02af—3$8,956+$8,956
0xa312499c—1$8,011+$8,011
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Other1$4,453+$4,453
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics1$2,289+$2,289
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics1$1,660$-1,660