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0x8135f173c9DE4e7FCA6dcB41537cBD7fC27A24fd-1770892576789

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x8135…24fd with our methodology badges per row.

0x8135f173c9de4e7fca6dcb41537cbd7fc27a24fd·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
6
lifetime
PnL per $
-64%
historical realized
Win rate
26.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$9,666
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 6 resolved trades · -64% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
15
Distinct markets
9
Volume (90d)
$53.9K
avg $3,596 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$33.9K / $20.1K
net direction

Recent trades

last 15 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 21, 02:03 AMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.690$7,224Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 02:02 AMWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?SELL YES0.999$7,300— (SELL)
Jun 21, 01:50 AMWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?BUY YES0.777$4,923Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:48 AMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.345$5,747— (SELL)
Jun 20, 10:01 PMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.840$12.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:59 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.980$2,336— (SELL)
Jun 13, 03:07 AMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY YES0.580$2,085
Jun 13, 03:06 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?SELL YES0.999$2,112— (SELL)
May 13, 08:03 AMNetanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY YES0.530$1,496
May 12, 07:14 AMNetanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY YES0.520$1,600
May 10, 09:11 AMNetanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY YES0.515$1,599
Apr 21, 06:29 AMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?SELL YES0.219$1,034— (SELL)
Apr 18, 04:06 PMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?BUY YES0.332$1,568Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 18, 01:24 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?SELL YES0.260$1,567— (SELL)
Apr 17, 07:35 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY YES0.216$1,300Cheap band — no rep

Markets active in

9 markets · sorted by volume