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mikelmoreno

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x8101…e7be with our methodology badges per row.

0x8101b9dedd1af262b2cb0a64f278d65695bbe7be·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
19
lifetime
PnL per $
+16%
historical realized
Win rate
69.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$71.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
36
Distinct markets
27
Volume (90d)
$130.9K
avg $3,636 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$75.8K / $55.1K
net direction

Recent trades

last 36 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
May 23, 07:56 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.173$3,039Killed band — neutral expectation
May 23, 07:56 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.822$22.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 07:59 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?BUY YES0.150$1,506Killed band — neutral expectation
May 19, 05:56 PMWill Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?BUY YES0.938$1,797Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 05:56 PMWill Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?SELL NO0.831$2,921— (SELL)
May 19, 05:55 PMWill Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?SELL YES0.850$1,257— (SELL)
May 19, 10:39 AMWill Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?BUY NO0.498$1,186—
May 19, 10:23 AMWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL NO0.947$1,104— (SELL)
May 10, 05:35 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY YES0.890$2,223Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 05:35 PMWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY NO0.890$7,952Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 04:01 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL YES0.420$12.1K— (SELL)
May 3, 09:01 AMWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?SELL NO0.508$3,596— (SELL)
May 3, 09:01 AMWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?SELL YES0.506$4,092— (SELL)
Apr 29, 04:41 PMWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?BUY NO0.560$2,800—
Apr 29, 04:38 PMWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?BUY YES0.560$2,352—
Apr 29, 04:31 PMWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?BUY NO0.563$1,091—
Apr 28, 10:02 PMWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL YES0.065$1,024— (SELL)
Apr 28, 10:02 PMWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL NO0.959$2,680— (SELL)
Apr 28, 10:01 PMWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL NO0.570$3,194— (SELL)
Apr 28, 10:01 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.840$5,040— (SELL)
Apr 28, 06:55 PMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?SELL YES0.590$8,884— (SELL)
Apr 28, 02:34 AM1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)BUY YES0.530$2,613—
Apr 27, 11:52 PMMadrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Cameron NorrieBUY YES0.950$2,371Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 11:47 PMMadrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Cameron NorrieBUY YES0.950$2,371Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 12:38 PMSpread: Pistons (-2.5)SELL YES0.470$1,880— (SELL)
Apr 17, 03:24 PM0xe0d5d809BUY0.550$1,766—
Apr 17, 10:58 AM0x2f7d2ab5SELL NO0.370$1,850— (SELL)
Apr 15, 04:33 PM0xc0be070bSELL0.390$1,950— (SELL)
Apr 14, 09:03 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.290$8,371Conviction tier
Apr 14, 01:53 PM0x068e189bSELL0.660$1,650— (SELL)
Apr 13, 04:32 PM0xd210a608BUY0.419$2,016—
Apr 13, 04:32 PM0x98546f40BUY0.723$4,257Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 05:19 PM0x36fda5c5BUY YES0.450$2,437—
Apr 8, 06:43 AM0x1c16b60cSELL YES0.540$1,904— (SELL)
Apr 4, 01:38 PM0x1c16b60cBUY YES0.556$1,344—
Apr 2, 01:22 PMPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY YES0.646$1,849Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

27 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$27.4K+$17.4K
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Other2$20.5K$-3,753
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Politics1$8,884$-8,884
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Other1$7,952+$7,952
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Politics3$7,488+$295
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Politics2$6,444$-1,740
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Cameron NorrieOther2$4,743+$4,743
0x98546f40—1$4,257+$4,257
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?Other2$4,107$-1,735
0x1c16b60c—2$3,248$-560
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Finance1$3,194$-3,194
Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?Other2$3,054+$540
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech1$3,039+$3,039
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Other1$2,680$-2,680
1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Other1$2,613+$2,613
0x36fda5c5—1$2,437+$2,437
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Other1$2,223+$2,223
0xd210a608—1$2,016+$2,016
0xc0be070b—1$1,950$-1,950
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Other1$1,880$-1,880
0x2f7d2ab5—1$1,850$-1,850
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Other1$1,849+$1,849
0xe0d5d809—1$1,766+$1,766
0x068e189b—1$1,650$-1,650
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Other1$1,506+$1,506
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto1$1,104$-1,104
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Tech1$1,024$-1,024