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Albi5

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x7c8e…dd59 with our methodology badges per row.

0x7c8e23ff4d4d0022c86dd3e13bb7e93b2a2fdd59·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
18
lifetime
PnL per $
-28%
historical realized
Win rate
55.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$60.8K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 18 resolved trades · -28% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
30
Distinct markets
19
Volume (90d)
$116.1K
avg $3,871 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$64.4K / $51.7K
net direction

Recent trades

last 30 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
May 27, 08:33 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.822$4,621— (SELL)
May 19, 12:40 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.890$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:49 AMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?SELL NO0.808$2,158— (SELL)
May 18, 07:39 AMWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL NO0.683$4,635— (SELL)
May 12, 12:48 PMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?BUY NO0.749$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 01:43 PMWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.751$4,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 03:26 PMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?SELL YES0.465$1,186— (SELL)
May 7, 02:37 PMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?SELL YES0.531$1,301— (SELL)
May 6, 02:30 PMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?SELL YES0.770$4,998— (SELL)
May 6, 08:18 AMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?BUY YES0.770$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 6, 05:39 AMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?SELL NO0.821$5,007— (SELL)
May 5, 03:09 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?SELL NO0.979$5,605— (SELL)
May 3, 02:14 PMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?BUY NO0.820$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 11:38 AMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY YES0.570$2,000—
Apr 29, 07:56 AMWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?BUY NO0.670$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 09:41 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?BUY NO0.873$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 09:39 AMWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY YES0.850$1,988Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 11:33 AMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL YES0.590$1,942— (SELL)
Apr 16, 09:58 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY NO0.770$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 08:24 AMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY YES0.608$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 02:00 PM0x93ed1d89SELL YES0.974$4,215— (SELL)
Apr 14, 09:39 AM0x93ed1d89BUY YES0.797$3,449Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 08:08 AMWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?SELL NO0.728$1,265— (SELL)
Apr 8, 09:03 AM0x5c2e6aefSELL YES0.635$1,587— (SELL)
Mar 31, 10:44 AMBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?BUY NO0.660$12.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 10:34 AMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?SELL NO0.784$2,169— (SELL)
Mar 31, 10:31 AM0x93ab6cbbSELL NO0.880$1,070— (SELL)
Mar 31, 10:31 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?SELL NO0.864$9,927— (SELL)
Mar 24, 11:30 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?BUY NO0.861$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 11:21 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?BUY NO0.870$10.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

19 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Other2$19.9K+$73
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?Crypto4$12.5K$-2,484
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics1$12.0K+$12.0K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Tech2$10.6K$-605
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Politics2$10.0K$-7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Other2$9,621+$379
0x93ed1d89—2$7,664$-766
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics3$5,942+$2,058
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics1$4,635$-4,635
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?Other2$4,158$-158
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Politics1$4,000+$4,000
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Other1$3,000+$3,000
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Other1$2,169$-2,169
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Other1$2,000+$2,000
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Tech1$2,000+$2,000
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech1$1,988+$1,988
0x5c2e6aef—1$1,587$-1,587
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Other1$1,265$-1,265
0x93ab6cbb—1$1,070$-1,070